TCU Horned Frogs vs. Kansas Jayhawks Predictions

by | Mar 11, 2022 | cbb

TCU Horned Frogs (20-11 SU, 18-10-3 ATS) vs. Kansas Jayhawks (26-6 SU, 15-17-0 ATS)

When: Friday March 11 2022, 7:00 PM PM (ET)

Where: Sprint Center

Point Spread: TCU +8/Kansas -8 (BetOnline - Fastest bitcoin payouts on the web!)

Total: 140

Money Line: Horned Frogs +277/Kansas -364

Key Injuries

TCU
Maxwell Evans: Undisclosed (OUT)

Kansas
Bob Pettiford: Abdominal (OUT)
Kyle Cuffe Jr: Redshirt (OUT)

Recent Form

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this matchup with an overall record of 20-11. On the season, the Horned Frogs have struggled in Big 12 action. Through 19 games, the Horned Frogs are 5th in the conference with a record of 9-10. However, they have managed to put together an above .500 record when playing on the road. Through 31 road contests, TCU has a record of 8-7. Over their last 5 games, they have played above .500 basketball, holding a record of 3-2

The Kansas Jayhawks get set to host the Horned Frogs with an overall record of 26-6. On the season, the Jayhawks have performed well in their 19 conference games, posting a record of 15-4. This mark is good for 2nd in the Big 12. Heading into this matchup, the Jayhawks are looking to stay hot, as they try add on to their current 3 game win streak.

For the season, the TCU Horned Frogs are averaging 68.3 points per game, good for a rank of 233rd in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Horned Frogs’ scoring average drops to 65.6. The team’s defensive performance also takes a hit when playing away from home, giving up an additional 2.0 points per game. On the other side, the Kansas Jayhawks are the 15th ranked scoring offense, averaging 78.8 points per game.

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Efficiency Outlook

TCU take on the Jayhawks holding the advantage in defensive efficiency, giving up 66.0 per 70.0 (NCAA Average) compared to Kansas at 67.0. When playing as the superior defensive unit, the Horned Frogs have a record of 15-4. Even though Kansas trails TCU on the defensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on offense. So far, the Jayhawks are 26-5 with an edge in offensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 15.0.

I don’t expect this game to be heavily dictated by three-point shooting, as both the Horned Frogs and Jayhawks are near the bottom of the NCAA in their percentage of points from beyond the arc. So far, 24.4% of TCU’s points are coming from three-point shots. The same goes for Kansas, at 27.6%. In terms of efficiency, Kansas has been the more efficient team, connecting at a rate of 36.0%, compared to TCU at 30.1%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Horned Frogs are 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Horned Frogs are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Jayhawks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
  • Jayhawks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.

Joe’s Pick Against the Point Spread

This will be the third time these teams have played since March 1st. TCU has played KU TOUGH and looks like the best bet on Friday’s college basketball card! Bet your March Madness picks for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).