Oklahoma Sooners vs. Baylor Bears Predictions

by | Mar 10, 2022 | cbb

Oklahoma Sooners (17-14 SU, 15-16-0 ATS) vs. Baylor Bears (26-5 SU, 16-14-1 ATS)
When: Thursday March 10 2022, 7:00 PM PM (ET)
Where: Sprint Center

Point Spread: Oklahoma +9.5/Baylor -9.5
Total: 135.5
Money Line: Sooners +291/Baylor -378
(Reduced juice: Lay -105 instead of -110 >>>)

Key Injuries

Oklahoma
Elijah Harkless: Undisclosed (OUT)

Baylor
LJ Cryer: Foot (OUT)
Jonathan Tchamwa Tchatchoua: Knee (OUT)
Langston Love: Knee (OUT)

Recent Form

The Oklahoma Sooners come into this matchup with an overall record of 17-14. On the season, the Sooners have struggled in Big 12 action. Through 18 games, the Sooners are 8th in the conference with a record of 7-11. Not only is Oklahoma struggling in the Big 12, but they also have a below .500 record on the road or on neutral sites, sitting at 6-9. Heading into this matchup, the Sooners are looking to stay hot as they try to add on to their current 3 game win streak.

The Baylor Bears get set to host the Sooners with an overall record of 26-5. On the season, the Bears have performed well in their 18 conference games, posting a record of 14-4. This mark is good for 1st in the Big 12. Baylor will look to take down the Sooners pick up their 6th straight win.

For the season, the Oklahoma Sooners are averaging 68.8 points per game, good for a rank of 214th in the NCAA. When playing on the road, the Sooners’ scoring average drops to 62 points per game. The team’s defensive performance also takes a hit when playing away from home, giving up an additional 5.0 points per game. On the other side, the Baylor Bears are the 29th ranked scoring offense, averaging 76.8 points per game, while giving up 63.4

Efficiency Outlook

Baylor enters this matchup vs. Oklahoma, having played 19 games as the more efficient offense and defensive team. In these contests, they have posted a record of 18-1. Through 31 games, the Bears are averaging 76.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 76.0 for the Bears. In these situations, Baylor has an average scoring margin of 20.0 points. Until this point, the Sooners have not played a game in which they were the inferior team on both ends of the court. In terms of offensive efficiency, Baylor is averaging 76.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average), compared to 70.0 for the Sooners.

In this matchup between the Sooners and the Bears, both teams are near the NCAA average in their percentage of points coming from made three-pointers. So far, Baylor has been more efficient on these shots, connecting on 35.2% compared to 33.6% for Oklahoma.

More Picks: Get Dan’s Stanford vs. Arizona Predicted Point Spread Winner >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Oklahoma’s last 8 games when playing Baylor
  • Oklahoma is 2-6-1 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Baylor
  • Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oklahoma
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Baylor’s last 8 games when playing Oklahoma

Joe’s Pick Against the Spread

Between the past history where Baylor has beaten OU four straight games by double digits and the fact that the Sooners have allowed an ungly 48% from the field over their past give games, I’m betting the Baylor Bears to cover the spread. Question: Did you know that you could be betting for cheaper? Almost all sportsbooks charge the bettor -110 odds on sides and totals. Did you know that you could be laying only -105 at BetanySports? It doesn’t sound like much, but if you take a couple minutes to pencil out how much you’d have saved over the past year the numbers are astronomical! Be smart! Make the switch to reduced juice betting today! You’ll be SO glad you did! (Note: You must choose reduced juice over instead of the signup bonus when you sign up there). Click here to start saving big bucks TODAY!