Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Duke Blue Devils

Texas Tech Red Raiders (27-9 SU, 22-14-0 ATS) vs. Duke Blue Devils (30-6 SU, 18-16-2 ATS)

When: Thursday March 24 2022, 9:39 PM PM (ET)

Where: Chase Center

Point Spread: Texas Tech -1/Duke +1

Total: 136

Money Line: Red Raiders -115/Duke -105

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Key Injuries

Texas Tech
Ethan Duncan: Undisclosed (OUT)

Duke
Duke has no reported injuries at this time.

Recent Form

The Texas Tech Red Raiders come into this matchup with an overall record of 27-9. On the season, the Red Raiders have performed well in their 15 non-conference games, posting a record of 13-2. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Texas Tech has played well on neutral courts. Through 8 games, the Red Raiders are 6-2 away from home. Heading into this matchup, the Red Raiders are looking to stay hot as they try to add on to their current 2 game win streak.

The Duke Blue Devils get set to host the Red Raiders with an overall record of 30-6. On the season, the Blue Devils have performed well in their 13 non-conference games, posting a record of 12-1. In addition to their strong non-conference record, Duke has a good record at neutral sites. Through 7 games, the Blue Devils are 6-1. Heading into this matchup, the Blue Devils are looking to pick up their 3rd straight win.

For the season, the Texas Tech Red Raiders are averaging 72.1 points per game, good for a rank of 119th in the NCAA. Defensively, the Red Raiders are the 5th ranked scoring defense, giving up just 60 points per contest. On the other side, the Duke Blue Devils are the 6th ranked scoring offense, averaging 80.3 points per game while giving up an average of 67.2 (107th).

Efficiency Outlook

Texas Tech take on the Blue Devils, holding the advantage in defensive efficiency, giving up 60.0 points per 70.0 possessions (NCAA Average) compared to Duke at 67.0. When playing as the superior defensive unit, the Red Raiders have a record of 27-9. Even though Duke trails Texas Tech on the defensive end of the court, they enter this game holding the edge on offense. So far, the Blue Devils are 29-6 with an edge in offensive efficiency. In these games, they hold an average scoring margin of 13.0.

I don’t expect this game to be heavily dictated by three-point shooting, as both the Red Raiders and Blue Devils are near the bottom of the NCAA in their percentage of points from beyond the arc. So far, 25.3% of Texas Tech’s points are coming from three-point shots. The same goes for Duke, at 30.3%.

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Betting Trends Worth Noting

• Red Raiders are 14-3 ATS in their last 17 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
• Red Raiders are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a ATS loss.
• Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 neutral site games as an underdog.
• Blue Devils are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

Joe’s Pick Against the Spread

It’s the end of the road for Coach K! Texas Tech is a filthy team that is going to beat the Dukies handily! Be sure to check out the rest of our March Madness picks!