Florida Gators vs. Georgia Bulldogs Week 9 Point Spread – Pick ATS

by | Oct 26, 2022 | cfb

When Georgia Has the Ball

There are a few reasons to be concerned here. Georgia’s ground game isn’t entirely up to par this season, and while the Bulldogs are good running the ball, they’re not great. Good defenses tend to slow this run game down, which means that as Stetson Bennett goes, so goes the Georgia offense.

However, it might not matter this week because Florida’s defense cannot stop anyone on offense. Even Missouri’s tire-fire offense and FCS Eastern Washington managed 17 points on the Gators, who rank 91st against the pass and 115th against the run. There isn’t anything Florida does well on defense, and it’s clear that it’s going to take the Gators a long time to get things fixed on that side of the ball. This should be a game where Kirby Smart’s team does whatever it wants based on what’s working. Whether it’s Daijun Edwards on the ground or Bennett going to Brock Bowers, anything is likely to work in this game.

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Betting Trends

This rivalry game is fun, and the hype is real, but usually, what happens is that one team shows up to play, and the other looks like it got run over by a bus on Interstate 10 on the way to the stadium. Usually, it’s the underdog that gets run over, as the favorite has covered in six of the past seven meetings. It doesn’t help that if you’re betting on Florida, you’ve seen your bankroll reduced from the Gators getting killed ATS in SEC play. Florida has failed to cover in seven of eight league games, while Georgia has four covers in five SEC games.

The under also tends to be a strong Georgia bet; it has cashed in seven of nine Bulldogs games with one push.

Weather Report

Kicking might be a problem on an otherwise good day to play football. Winds will blow at 12 miles per hour sustained to the northeast, and wind gusts will measure up to 20 miles per hour. Temperatures will sit at 76 degrees.

Dan’s Pick to Cover the Spread

There’s little reason to think Florida is going to be able to hang around with Georgia. Your best bet in this one, if you like the Gators, is that they find a way to backdoor Georgia after Bennett has already taken a seat for the day.

I don’t want to rely on a backdoor cover here, especially when one side is superior in both talent and matchups. Give me the Bulldogs.

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When Georgia Has the Ball

There are a few reasons to be concerned here. Georgia’s ground game isn’t entirely up to par this season, and while the Bulldogs are good running the ball, they’re not great. Good defenses tend to slow this run game down, which means that as Stetson Bennett goes, so goes the Georgia offense.

However, it might not matter this week because Florida’s defense cannot stop anyone on offense. Even Missouri’s tire-fire offense and FCS Eastern Washington managed 17 points on the Gators, who rank 91st against the pass and 115th against the run. There isn’t anything Florida does well on defense, and it’s clear that it’s going to take the Gators a long time to get things fixed on that side of the ball. This should be a game where Kirby Smart’s team does whatever it wants based on what’s working. Whether it’s Daijun Edwards on the ground or Bennett going to Brock Bowers, anything is likely to work in this game.

Betting Trends

This rivalry game is fun, and the hype is real, but usually, what happens is that one team shows up to play, and the other looks like it got run over by a bus on Interstate 10 on the way to the stadium. Usually, it’s the underdog that gets run over, as the favorite has covered in six of the past seven meetings. It doesn’t help that if you’re betting on Florida, you’ve seen your bankroll reduced from the Gators getting killed ATS in SEC play. Florida has failed to cover in seven of eight league games, while Georgia has four covers in five SEC games.

The under also tends to be a strong Georgia bet; it has cashed in seven of nine Bulldogs games with one push.

Weather Report

Kicking might be a problem on an otherwise good day to play football. Winds will blow at 12 miles per hour sustained to the northeast, and wind gusts will measure up to 20 miles per hour. Temperatures will sit at 76 degrees.

Dan’s Pick to Cover the Spread

There’s little reason to think Florida is going to be able to hang around with Georgia. Your best bet in this one, if you like the Gators, is that they find a way to backdoor Georgia after Bennett has already taken a seat for the day.

I don’t want to rely on a backdoor cover here, especially when one side is superior in both talent and matchups. Give me the Bulldogs.

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