Nebraska Cornhuskers vs Colorado Buffaloes Pick ATS

by | Last updated Sep 7, 2023 | cfb

Nebraska Cornhuskers (0-1 SU, ATS 0-1) vs Colorado Buffaloes (1-0 SU, ATS 0-1)

Date: Saturday, September 9th

Location: Folsom Field, Boulder, CO

TV: Fox

Point Spread: Neb +3.5/Col -3.5 (Teaser CFB games up to 20 points at Wagerweb!)

Money Line: Huskers +132/Buffs -162

Over/Under: 59.5

The Nebraska Cornhuskers and Colorado Buffaloes matchup in a non-conference showdown at Folsom Field in Boulder, CO. The over/under for this matchup is currently 59.5 while Colorado is favored by -3.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Nebraska and Colorado did not meet up last season, but over their last three head-to-head matchups, each team is 1-2. Colorado had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 3-0. These games averaged a combined total of 40 points per game, leading to an over/under record of 3-0.

Nebraska Cornhuskers Recent Form:

The Cornhuskers head into their second game of the season looking to bounce back from their season-opening loss to Minnesota (13-10).

Looking at how the teams fared against the spread, Nebraska was 7.5 point underdogs. This gave them a straight-up loss but an ATS win. As they combined for 23 points, the under hit in this matchup.

Quarterback Jeff Sims threw for one touchdown in Nebraska’s loss over Minnesota. Overall, he had a passer rating of 53.29 while completing 57.9% of his passes for 114 yards.

In addition to his work in the passing game, Jeff Sims led the team in rushing yards, with 91 on 19 attempts. Alex Bullock paced Nebraska with his three receptions for 56 yards and one touchdown.

On defense, Nebraska finished the game by giving up a total of 251 yards. Minnesota threw the ball 44 times for 196 vs. Nebraska. While on the ground, the Cornhuskers gave up 55 rushing yards.

Away Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Anthony Grant RB Suspension Out
Nick Henrich LB Undisclosed Questionable
Arik Gilbert TE Eligibility Questionable
Jimari Butler LB Undisclosed Questionable
Isaiah Garcia-Castaneda WR Knee Out
Brodie Tagaloa DL Knee Out
Maverick Noonan LB Knee Out

Colorado Buffaloes Recent Form:

The Buffaloes head into this week’s matchup vs. Nebraska hoping to start the year 2-0 after beating TCU (45-42) in their first game.

Going into the game, Colorado was the underdog at +21, giving them both a straight-up and ATS win. The over hit in this matchup as the line was 63 pre-game.

In the win, quarterback Shedeur Sanders finished with a QB rating of 140.25 while completing 38 of 47 passes for 510 yards. He also ended the game with four touchdowns.

Sy’veon Wilkerson carried the ball 13 times against TCU, leading the team with 45 yards and one touchdown. Dylan Edwards paced Colorado with his five receptions for 135 yards and three touchdowns.

Defensively, Colorado allowed a total of 541 yards. This includes giving up 262 yards allowed on the ground and 279 passing yards.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Caleb Fauria TE Foot Questionable
Louis Passarello TE Knee Out
Alton McCaskill RB Knee Questionable

Betting Trends

  • Nebraska’s ten most recent games vs. the spread has seen them go 5-4 against the spread.
  • At home, Colorado has gone 1-2 against the spread (last three).
  • Looking back at the last five times Colorado went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 1-4.
  • Looking back on the last three times Nebraska was favored, their ATS record was 1-2.

Line Movement:

Currently, Nebraska has an implied win percentage of 43% with a moneyline payout of +131. Nebraska actually opened at -150 on the moneyline. As for Colorado, they opened at +120 and are currently at -161 with an implied win percentage of 62%. On the point-spread lines there has been some action worth noting. Nebraska opened as the 3.0-point favorite. But now, Colorado is favored by 3.5. The oddsmakers opened this game with an over/under line of 57.5 and since then it has been bet up to its current line of 59.5, with the over paying out at -110 and under at -110.

Free Pick

The Cornhuskers QB Jeff Simms struggled through the air in his opener and first start for Nebraska throwing three INTs, but he did do damage with his feet running for 91 yards on 19 carries. Colorado under tutelage of Dion Sanders had a huge win on the road knocking off TCU as a +21 dog. The Buffs gave up a ton of points and yards in the 45-42 win while Nebraska finished -3 in turnover ratio in the narrow 13-10 loss to Minnesota. I think Jeff Simms can improve in his second game and maybe lead the team to a straight up win. I’m going to grab the points though. Take Nebraska +3.

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