Texas A&M Aggies vs. Tennessee Volunteers Pick

by | Dec 15, 2020 | cfb

Texas A&M Aggies (7-1 SU, 4-4 ATS) vs. Tennessee Volunteers (3-6, 3-5-1), 12/19/20

Time: 12 pm ET Saturday, Dec. 19

Where: Neyland Stadium

TV: ABC

Point spread: Tex A&M -14/Tenn +14 (GTBets - Deposit $100 to $500 and get a 100% Bonus!)

Over/Under: 52

Texas A&M gets one more chance to make an impression on the College Football Playoff powers when it takes on Tennessee Saturday afternoon in Knoxville. The Aggies are on the outside of the CFP looking in heading into this game, but they know for sure someone on the inside is going to lose this week. So they need a victory, and style points might still count. A&M’s favored by two touchdowns for this one; how are we playing this game with our free college football pick?

College Football Betting Odds

College football betting odds opened the Aggies as 13-point favorites for Saturday’s game, with an over/under of 51.5. Early betting action then bumped A&M to -14 and that total to 52.

According to Sagarin’s ratings at USAToday.com, Texas A&M should be favored by about 12.5 points for this game.

Texas A&M Betting Preview

The Aggies ride a six-game winning streak into Saturday after beating Auburn two weeks ago 31-20. A&M then had last week’s game against Ole Miss canceled, again.

The Aggies took an early 7-0 lead two weeks ago against the Tigers, then trailed 20-14 into the fourth quarter. But A&M scored the last 17 points of the game for the victory and the cover as a five-point favorite.

Texas A&M out-gained Auburn 509-340, out-rushed the Tigers 313-196, and dominated time of possession by a 38:22 split. So the Aggies have now outgained five of their eight opponents this season and out-rushed seven of those eight foes.

A&M has also won its last three games, over Auburn, LSU, and South Carolina, by a combined score of 99-30.

At 7-1 on the season, the Aggies will not play in the SEC championship game, but they still harbor hopes of making the CFP. Texas A&M sits at No. 5 in the latest CFP rankings, and two teams above it, Clemson and Notre Dame meet Saturday in the ACC championship game. So if the Aggies can come up with an impressive performance Saturday and get a couple of other cards to fall right, they could earn themselves an invitation to the CFP.

More Picks: Big Ten Championship Game Pick >>>

Tennessee Betting Preview

Tennessee, on the other hand, is playing out the string on a lost season. The Volunteers were expected to contend in the SEC East this year; instead, they lost six games in a row, until breaking that skid with a 42-17 win over hapless and shorthanded Vanderbilt last week.

The Vols trailed the Commodores 10-7 in the second quarter, then used a 28-0 run spanning the halves to take control, on their way to the win and money as 14-point favorites.

Tennessee, with freshman Harrison Bailey making his second start at quarterback, out-gained Vandy 540-292 and out-rushed the Commodores 212-53. So the Vols have now out-gained two of their last three opponents and out-rushed each of their previous three foes. Unfortunately, that extra yardage only resulted in the one win.

Two games ago, Tennessee fell down to Florida 31-7 before making the final score a bit more respectable at 31-19. And three games ago, the Vols led Auburn 10-0 early, then gave up the next 27 points of the game and lost 30-17.

At 3-6 on the season, Tennessee ranks among the most disappointing teams in college football this season.

These two teams have played six common opponents this season; the Aggies are 5-1 SU, 3-3 ATS against Vanderbilt, Alabama, Florida, Arkansas, South Carolina, and Auburn, while the Volunteers are 2-4 SU, 2-3-1 ATS vs. those six foes.

These teams met most recently four seasons ago, a wild 45-38 Texas A&M victory in double-overtime.

College Football Betting Trends

  • Texas A&M is 3-0 ATS this season when favored by 14 points or less.
  • Texas A&M is 16-8 SU, 13-11 ATS in SEC games under Coach Fisher.
  • Tennessee is 1-3 ATS this season as an underdog.
  • Tennessee is 10-15 SU, 12-12-1 ATS in SEC play under Coach Pruitt.

Totals Report

Totals are split 4-4 in Aggies games this season, which are averaging 53 total points.

Unders are 6-3 in Volunteers games this season, which are averaging 52 points.

Free College Football Pick

Texas A&M needs this one, and not in a 20-17 sort of way. The motivation for piling on exists. The Aggies are averaging 35 points per game their last six times out while holding four of their last five opponents to 20 or less. Also, playing on the road keeps the spread a bit more manageable. Meanwhile, Tennessee is going with a freshman QB against a top-20 A&M defense. We’re giving the points here with the Aggies. Need a bankroll booster? You can receive a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow!

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