Texas Longhorns (2-3 SU, 0-0 ATS) vs. Oklahoma Sooners (4-1 SU, 0-0 ATS)
College Football Week 7
Date and Time: Saturday, October 11, 12:00pmn EST
Where: Cotton Bowl – Dallas, Texas
by Bob, Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: TEX +14/OKL -14
Over/Under Total: 46.5
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The Red River Showdown!! Here we go. For the 109th time since 1900, the Texas Longhorns will battle the Oklahoma Sooners for not only bragging rights, but for Big 12 title hopes. Texas leads the all time series 60-43, with five ties included, but this year one would think that Oklahoma would get the upper hand. Well, one WOULD think that, but that is what many thought last year too before Texas came in as a two touchdown underdog and not only covered, but stunned Oklahoma with a 36-20 win over the Sooners. Oklahoma has revenge on their mind from last season. Will they get it?
Just like 2013, the Oklahoma Sooners come into this game highly ranked and again as 14 point favorites over the Longhorns. The total points are set at 46.5 for this match-up as well. Other than last season’s shocker, Oklahoma has covered the spread in the previous three contests, but before that, Texas dominated this series on the Vegas line covering every year from 2005-2009. This is one of the rivalry games that you can throw out rankings and records and I believe we are in for another good one this Saturday.
Oklahoma was in my football final four and in my opinion was in consideration as the nation’s best team…until last Saturday. The fourth ranked Oklahoma Sooners went into TCU and were stunned by the Horned Frogs 37-33. Now the Sooners sit at 4-1 and ranked just 11th in the nation with the Longhorns licking their chops to end any and all hope the Sooners have of still making the college playoffs. Oklahoma is a pretty solid team from top to bottom. They have a top 15 scoring offense, and their passing game, led by Trevor Knight are averaging almost 280 yards a game. This Oklahoma team is good, really good. I still believe they are on of the overall best teams in the country and they will come out Saturday and do their best to prove that.
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The Texas Longhorns are a mess. New head coach, Charlie Strong, has come in and made a statement to his program that he will not tolerate any nonsense. As of now, Strong has kicked off nine players since the spring and at first appeared the fan base and alumni were okay with that but now that Texas is getting dominated on both sides of the ball, their patience is wearing thin. A win over the Sooners would give Charlie Strong a little breathing room, and could possibly boost the team moral for a strong finish to the 2014 season. Texas sits at 2-3 overall with two of those losses being absolutely humiliating. BYU beat Texas 41-7, and just this past weekend lost to Baylor 28-7. Texas has a lot of improving and growing to do, and they better do it quick because Oklahoma wants noting more than to run the score up in this one. Statistically, I cannot find any area that Texas may have an edge here. They are ranked 104th in passing yards, 97th in rushing, and have been held to just a single score in two of their games which contributes to their 117th national ranking in points scored (18.4 per game). The key to this game for Texas is to do what they did last year: Have an out of body experience and play well above their heads. If Texas can keep this game manageable headed to the fourth quarter, they will have a chance…a slim chance.
Bob’s Pick to Cover the Point Spread: Oklahoma favored by 14 seems a bit high for a rivalry game, especially after what happened last season. The more I look into this, the more and more I get torn on which side to lean. I am going to make this simple. Texas sucks. I do not type those words very much, but they are bad. Oklahoma is coming off an upset loss….they are hungry to get back on track. A win for Texas would be good for them, but a loss for Oklahoma would be devastating. I believe the Sooners have more to lose than Texas does to win. I like Oklahoma to come in and destroy Texas by something like a 38-10 score. PICK THE OKLAHOMA SOONERS -14!