UCLA Bruins (1-0 SU, 0-0-1 ATS) vs. UNLV Runnin Rebels (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS)
College Football Week 2
Date/Time: Saturday, September 12 10:30pm
Where: Sam Boyd Stadium Las Vegas, Nevada
by Bob, NCAA Football Handicapper, Predictem.com
Point Spread: UCLA -29 / UNLV +29
Over/Under Total: 66
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This Saturday night, one of the Pac-12s top teams will travel into Sin City to take on the UNLV Runnin Rebels. UCLA, who is 1-0, will try to improve to 2-0 and continue pursuing the college football final four. Yes, that is rightUCL trying to make the final four. It may sound crazy, but I could see it happening. It probably wont, but it would not be a complete shock. Kickoff is 10:30pm EST and the line opens with UCLA as a 29 point road favorite.
As of Tuesday night, with the line at 29, 61% of bettors had put their money on the Bruins to cover the large road spread. The total points are set at 66, and 57% of the money was on the over. UCLA pushed against Virginia this past weekend, and UNLV covered their spread in a loss to Northern Illinois. These games are always tough to handicap due to the large spread. A single missed field goal, one bad call, or just lazy play when up big can ruin the entire spread. But, I digress, lets break this one down.
UCLA is the heavy favorite and is some experts pick to win the Pac-12 championship. Just last week, they beat Virginia 34-16 and freshman quarterback, Josh Rosen, looked GOOD. Rosen passed for 351 yards and 3 touchdowns. Not only that, his completion percentage was a staggering 80% against the Cavaliers defense. If this is a sign of things to come for Rosen, I see UCLA doing big things. Not only was the Bruins passing attack deadly, but they also gained 152 yards on the ground. Talk about a balanced attackand you know I am a fan of balanced offensive attacks. Well, here we are, UCLA coming in as a heavy favorite on the road. The key to this win and covering the large 29 point spread is to do just what they did against Virginiaall out offensive assault. The defense will be able to slow down the weaker UNLV team, but in order to cover a near 30 points means the offense has to be clicking. UCLA will need to score in the 40s to cover this spread I think. Can they do it? Absolutely. Will they? Hell if I know.
UNLV is coming off of a loss to Northern Illinois by a score of 38-30. The Rebels were able to keep that game closer than most thought and I think they can repeat that again this weekend. UNLV actually showed some promise on the offensive side of the ball. Blake Decker passed for over 300 yards and two scores while the stable of running backs rushed for 164 yards while averaging almost 4 yards per carry. Now, this week will not be as easy. UCLA has a much stronger defense than Northern Illinois, but I do think UNLV can at least move the ball enough to keep drives alive, and that is all we need here. If UNLV can create some long scoring drives, even if they result in field goals, I like their chances to keep this game closer than many think.
So here we are. UCLA 29 point favorites. I like this Bruins team a lot, but this is a huge spread. In my opinion, this is the type of game you stay away from. I will not touch this one, not with my hard earned cash, but I will say this: If I was forced to make a bet, I would take the home underdog plus the 29 points. It is just a no brainer to me. Two division one football teams. Night game, on the road, and you are giving the home team 29take the points. UCLA is going to win this game, no doubt about it, but I am seeing something like a 35-13 type final.
Bobs Pick to Cover the Point Spread: TAKE THE UNLV RUNNIN REBELS PLUS THE 29!
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