Washington Huskies vs. Michigan State Spartans Expert Pick

by | Last updated Sep 13, 2023 | cfb

Washington Huskies (2-0 SU, ATS 2-0) vs Michigan State Spartans (2-0 SU, ATS 1-0)

Date: Saturday, September 16th

Location: Spartan Stadium (MI), East Lansing, MI

TV: PEAC

Point Spread: UW -16.5/MSU +16.5 (Get a FREE $60 picks credit from the Sports Handicappers at Doc’s! – No strings attached!)

Money Line: Wash -826/Mich. St. +535

Over/Under: 57.5

The Washington Huskies and Michigan State Spartans matchup in a non-conference showdown at Spartan Stadium (MI) in East Lansing, MI. The over/under for this matchup is currently 57.5 while Washington is favored by -16.5.

Head-to-Head Matchup:

Michigan State will be looking for revenge in this week’s game, as the most recent matchup between the teams ended in a 39-28 win for Washington. This game featured plenty of action in the passing game. Washington finished with 397 passing yards while Michigan State ended the game with 323 yards of their own.

Washington Huskies Recent Form:

Prepping for this week’s matchup against Michigan State, the Washington Huskies remain undefeated at 2-0. Their latest encounter saw them beat Tulsa with a 43-10 score.

Combining for 53 points, the team’s fell short of the over/under line of 67. Washington was favord to win by 33.5 going into the game, giving them an ATS loss.

In the game against Tulsa, Michael Penix Jr. managed a passer rating of 123.68 while passing for 409 yards. He attempted 38 passes and had a completion rate of 73.7%.

In the game, Will Nixon carried the ball six times, leading the team with 30 yards in rushing. However, he was unable to score a touchdown on the ground. The team’s leading receiver was Jalen McMillan, who contributed one touchdown and caught eight balls for 120 yards.

Against Tulsa, the Huskies defense was excellent, giving up just 10 points on 318 yards allowed. Tulsa’s passing game finished with 150 yards. Up-front, Washington gave up 4.2 yards per attempt.

Away Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Cameron Davis RB Lower Body Out
Asa Turner S Hand Probable
Giles Jackson WR Thumb Out
Gaard Memmelaar OL Undisclosed Out
Dillon Johnson RB Undisclosed Probable
Armon Parker DL Undisclosed Questionable
Tybo Rogers RB Suspension Out

Michigan State Spartans Recent Form:

The Spartans head into this week’s matchup vs. Washington hoping to start the year 2-0 after beating Richmond (45-14) in their first game.

In the passing game, the Spartans threw the ball 23 times for 303 and three scores. On the ground, they averaged 4.3 yards per carry and finished with three rushing touchdowns

In the win, quarterback Noah Kim concluded with a QB rating of 158.33 while connecting on 18 of 22 passes for 292 yards. Moreover, he contributed three touchdowns to the game.

The top rusher for Michigan State against Richmond was Nathan Carter. He gained 111 rushing yards and scored three times in 19 attempts. Tre Mosley emerged as the team’s top receiver, scoring one touchdown and making five receptions for 84 yards.

Michigan State’s defense gave up 193 yards of offense. In the passing game, they allowed 118 while on the ground they gave up 75 yards.

Home Injury Report

FullName Position InjuryBodyPart InjuryStatus
Jarrett Jackson DL Undisclosed Questionable
Harold Joiner III LB Undisclosed Questionable
Semar Melvin DB Undisclosed Questionable
Alante Brown WR Concussion Questionable
Darius Snow LB Leg Questionable
Jalen Berger RB Undisclosed Questionable
Ma’a Gaoteote LB Undisclosed Questionable
Alex VanSumeren DL Undisclosed Questionable
Gavin Broscious OL Undisclosed Questionable
Stanton Ramil OL Undisclosed Questionable

Betting Trends

  • Washington is 3-7 in their last ten games road games.
  • Michigan State is 2-2-1 Against the spread in their last five games at home.
  • In the five most recent times they were the underdog, Michigan State has put together an ATS record of 3-1-1.
  • Washington’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 3-2.

Line Movement:

Considering the present moneyline odds, Michigan State is currently given a 16% chance of victory, along with a moneyline payout of +535. In contrast, the Huskies’ implied win percentage is 89%, with a moneyline of -826. From the time the lines were first set, Washington has moved from -17 point favorites to their present line of -16.5 (-112). Meanwhile, Michigan State is currently +16.5 (-110) point underdog on their home turf. This game opened with an over/under line of 59, as per the oddsmakers, but it has since been pushed down to its present line of 57.5, offering a payout of -111 for the over and -110 for the under.

Free Pick

The Huskies’ offense has been rolling with a combined 99 points in their two games and 1131 yards. That said, it’s difficult to give a true assessment of their offense. They’ve faced two teams that each returned only five starters on defense. Washington racked up 568 yards on the Boise State defense, but next time out, the Broncos allowed over 500 yards to UCF. They totaled 563 against Tulsa, but the Golden Hurricane have only played FCS Arkansas Pine Bluff, so we don’t have much to go on. Last season at home, the Huskies took care of the Spartans 39-28, and yes, the score was closer than the play, with MSU getting two late TDs. However, that was at home, and now they’re on the road against a Power 5 conference team that will not underestimate them after the 2022 game. Take the 16 points with MSU.