Wisconsin Badgers vs Nebraska Cornhuskers Betting Predictions
Wisconsin Badgers (5-5 SU, ATS 3-5-0) vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers (3-7 SU, ATS 2-6-0)
Date: Saturday, November 19th
Location: Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE), Lincoln, NE
Point Spread: Badgers -12.5/Cornhuskers +12.5 (Find out how you can get a FREE half point on your favorite teams every week!)
Money Line: Badgers -577/Cornhuskers +415
This year, the Badgers have a 3-4 record in the Big Ten. Their overall record comes in at 5-5. This season, the Badgers have been favored in 6 games while posting an ATS mark of 3-5-0. Their average over-under betting line is 37.7 leading to an over-under record of 5-3-0.
In their last game, the Badgers lost to Iowa by a score of 24-10. The spread going into the game was a pick’em for both teams. In the game, Wisconsin finished with one touchdown through the air while throwing for 176 yards. In the rushing game, the Badgers did not find the endzone while finishing with a total of 51 yards on the ground.
Graham Mertz heads into the game as the team’s top quarterback, with a current passer rating of 94.11. So far, he has completed 140 passes for a total of 1883 yards. Chimere Dike leads the team’s receiving corps with 39 catches for a total of 601 yards. The Badgers have turned to running back Braelon Allen a total of 189 times for a total of 1029 rushing yards.
Heading into this week’s game, the Cornhuskers have a record of 2-5 in Big Ten play. Their overall record currently sits at 3-7. This season, the Cornhuskers have been favored in 4 games while posting an ATS mark of 2-6-0. Their average over-under betting line is 43.65 leading to an over-under record of 2-6-0.
Nebraska is coming off a 31-point loss to Michigan by a score of 34-3. The Cornhuskers entered the game as 30.5-point home underdogs, making this an ATS loss. For the game, Nebraska threw for 71 yards but did not come up with a passing touchdown. Their overall completion percentage came in at 52.6%. In the rushing game, the Cornhuskers did not find the endzone, while finishing with a total of 75 yards on the ground.
So far, quarterback Casey Thompson has a passer rating of 91.42 while completing 141 of his 224 attempts. But, leading up to the game, he is listed as questionable on the injury report (Elbow). So far, the team’s most productive wide receiver is Trey Palmer, who has caught 58 passes for a total of 831 yards. The Badgers have turned to running back Anthony Grant a total of 188 times for a total of 880 rushing yards.
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Against the spread, the Badgers have gone 5-5-0 over their last 10 games. Straight up, they have a record of 5-5-0. Their last ten scoring differential sits at +7.8, as they averaged 28.7 points per game while allowing 20.9. The over-under record in these games was 6-4-0.
In their last five games away from home, the Badgers have a straight-up record of 2-3-0 while going 1-4-0 vs. the spread. The team’s offense averaged 24.2 points per game in these contests.
Looking back on their last ten games, the Cornhuskers have an ATS record of just 2-7-0. In addition, their straight-up record is only 3-7-0. The team averaged 23.3 points in these games while allowing 29.9. Their last ten over-under record is 2-7-0.
Although Nebraska has a straight-up record of 1-4-0 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3-0. The team averaged 22.6 points per game in these games.
KEY STATS AND ANALYSIS
Heading into this week’s matchup, the Badgers will look to improve their offensive output, as they are ranked just 66th in the NCAA in points scored at 27.7 points per game.
Although Wisconsin has struggled to move the chains on 3rd down throughout the season, they have a chance to take advantage against a Nebraska defense that is allowing an average of 29.9 points per game and has had its problems getting off the field on third down.
One aspect of the game that could benefit a Wisconsin offense that struggles to generate big plays in the passing attack is that they are facing off a Nebraska defense that has yet to generate a lot of pressure on opposing quarterbacks. So far, the Cornhuskers are just 121st in sacks per game.
On the season, the Wisconsin offense is averaging just 170.1 yards per game on the ground. This production has come on an average of 36.9 rush attempts per game (63rd). This week, the Badgers will be facing a Nebraska defense ranked 154th in rush yards allowed per game. This year, they have averaged 210.0 yards per game when facing defenses ranked outside the top 50.
Heading into this week’s matchup against the Badgers, the Cornhuskers are just 94th in the NCAA in points scored at 21.7 points per game. Going into the game, they are facing a Wisconsin defense that is allowing an average of 20.9 points per game.
Although the Cornhuskers have turned to the passing attack at a below-average rate this season, they have an opportunity to find success through the air vs. a Wisconsin defense allowing teams to complete passes at a rate of 61.8%.
So far, the Nebraska offense is averaging just 136.4 yards per game on the ground. This production has come on an average of 35.6 rush attempts per game (76th). This week, the Cornhuskers will be facing a Wisconsin defense that is 28th in rush yards allowed per game. So far, they have averaged 132.0 yards per game when facing top 25 rush defenses.
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