Angels vs. Astros Analysis & Moneyline Pick

by | Last updated Jul 2, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros

Date: Saturday, July 2nd, 04:10 ET

Location: Minute Maid Park

TV: ATT SportsNet-SW

Money Line: Angels +108 / Astros -130 (Get the best lines >>>)

Total Line: 8.5


Los Angeles: Patrick Sandoval (3-2, 2.63)
Houston: Jose Urquidy (6-3, 4.36)

Angels Projected Lineup

Max Stassi C
Brandon Marsh LF
Jared Walsh 1B
Luis Rengifo 2B
Taylor Ward RF
David MacKinnon 3B
Andrew Velazquez SS
DH Shohei Ohtani
Mike Trout CF
Patrick Sandoval P

Astros Projected Lineup

Jake Meyers CF
Mauricio Dubón SS
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Jeremy Peña SS
Jose Urquidy P


Los Angeles Angels: 37-42-0 SU / OU 34-40-5 / Run Line W/L 36-43-0
Houston Astros: 49-27-0 SU / OU 25-48-3 / Run Line W/L 40-36-0

The Houston Astros host the Los Angeles Angels on Saturday, July 2nd at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Angels are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Astros, by a score of 8-1. On their way to giving up 8 runs, the Angels staff allowed 11 hits. With their 2 hits, the Angels could only muster 1 run. The loss came as Los Angeles was the betting underdog, getting 145.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 7.5 runs. Even with this game going over the total, Los Angeles still has an over-under record of just 34-40-5.

In the Angels’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Despite their recent success, their last 5 run margin comes in at -9. Los Angeles has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.15. Los Angeles’s overall series record is just 11-12-2.

The Houston Astros will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Angels by 7 runs (8-1). In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 1 run on 2 hits. At the plate, the Astros scored 8 times on 11 hits. In the game, Houston was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -175.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 62 games, winning at a rate of 68.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Astros and Angels combined to surpass the line of 7.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 25-48-3.

In their last 5 games, the Astros have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +15 (last 5). Houston has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.8 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.34. On the season, Houston has won more than half of their series, going 16-8-2.

Pitching Matchup

Patrick Sandoval gets the start for the Angels, with an overall record of 3-2. Through 12 appearances, Sandoval has an ERA of just 2.63 while averaging 5.42 innings per appearance. Across his previous appearances, the left-hander has a batting average allowed of 0.24. This season, Sandoval has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.42 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Patrick Sandoval has a strong strikeout percentage of 23.0%, including a per game average of 5.42. Command has been a problem for Sandoval, as he is giving up 4.15 walks per outing.

Jose Urquidy gets the start for the Astros, with an overall record of 6-3. To date, Urquidy has an ERA of 4.36 while lasting an average of 5.29 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.285. Home runs have been an issue for Urquidy, as he is allowing an average of 1.7 per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 3.93 per game, on a K rate of 17.0%. Urquidy has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 1.94 per contest.

Los Angeles vs Houston History

Today’s matchup between the Los Angeles Angels and Houston Astros will be their 9th meeting of the season. Currently, Houston is winning the season series 5-3. Through 8 games, the series’ over-under record is 4-4, with the average run total sitting at 9.21 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.62 runs. Houston won last year’s head-to-head series, grabbing 13 wins to 6. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-9. Last year, the Angels and Astros averaged 9.21 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.16 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of LA Angels’s last 7 games on the road
  • LA Angels is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Houston is 8-1 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Houston is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home

Los Angeles Angels at Houston Astros Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s American League matchup between Los Angeles and Houston, the Astros have the slight edge on the moneyline. Look for Houston to come away with the win, as even though Patrick Sandoval has been throwing the ball well for LA, the team is just 1-4 in his last 5 outings.

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