Bet the Runline: Nationals vs. Cardinals 9/8/22

by | Sep 8, 2022 | mlb

Washington Nationals vs St. Louis Cardinals

Date: Thursday September 8th, 01:15 ET

Location: Busch Stadium

TV: Bally Sports Midwest

Money Line: Wash +235/Stl -295 (The BEST betting odds are ALWAYS found at BAS!)

Total Line: 8.0

STARTING PITCHING

Washington: Josiah Gray (7-9, 4.91)
St. Louis: Adam Wainwright (10-9, 3.21)

Nationals Projected Lineup

César Hernández 2B
Ildemaro Vargas 3B
Keibert Ruiz C
Joey Meneses RF
Luis Garcia 2B
C.J. Abrams SS
Luke Voit 1B
Nelson Cruz CF
Lane Thomas CF
Josiah Gray P

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Nolan Gorman 2B
Yadier Molina C
Corey Dickerson LF
Lars Nootbaar RF
Tyler O’Neill LF
Nolan Arenado 3B
Tommy Edman 3B
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Brendan Donovan 3B
Adam Wainwright P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Washington Nationals: 48-89-0 SU / OU 65-65-7 / Run Line W/L 61-76-0
St. Louis Cardinals: 81-56-0 SU / OU 65-67-5 / Run Line W/L 79-58-0

The St. Louis Cardinals host the Washington Nationals on Thursday September 8th at Busch Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 01:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-295), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Nationals will look to rebound from a close, 6-5 loss to St. Louis. In the loss, Washington’s pitchers gave up 6 runs on 9 hits. On offense, the Nationals’ 10 hits and 5 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. Washington’s loss came as the underdog, getting 250.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Nationals and St. Louis combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 8.0 runs. Washington once again has a .500 over-under record of 65-65-7.

In the Nationals last 5 games, they are above .500, going 3-2. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at +14. Their hot play has been driven by an offense that typically averages 3.80 runs per game. But, over this stretch this figure has bumped up to 5.2. Washington’s overall series record is just 10-29-4.

The Cardinals are coming off a tight 6-5 win over the Nationals. On their way to giving up 5 runs, the Cardinals staff allowed 10 hits. At the plate, the Cardinals scored 6 times on 9 hits. In the game, St. Louis was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -310.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 89 games, winning at a rate of 71.0%. The Cardinals and Nationals went over the run total line set at 8.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 65-67-5.

In their last 5 games, the Cardinals have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +4 (last 5). St. Louis is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.0 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.91. On the season, St. Louis has won more than half of their series, going 24-10-8.

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Pitching Matchup

Washington will roll with Josiah Gray (7-9) as their starter. So far, Gray has put together an ERA of 4.91. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.34 innings. So far, Gray has a batting average allowed of 0.236. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Gray, averaging 2.39 homers per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Josiah Gray is averaging 5.92, on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.0 walks per outing.

St. Louis will roll with Adam Wainwright (10-9) as their starter. In his previous outings, Wainwright has lasted an average of 6.22 innings, putting together an ERA of just 3.21. Together, opponents have a batting average of 0.247 against Wainwright. So far, Wainwright has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.75 home runs per 9 innings. Overall, Adam Wainwright has struck out 19.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 4.89 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Wainwright, as he is giving up 2.41 walks per outing.

Washington vs St. Louis History

Today’s matchup between the Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals will be their 7th meeting of the season. St. Louis holds the edge in the series at 4-2. Through 6 games, the series over-under record is 2-4, with the average run total sitting at 8.83 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.33 runs. Last season, Washington picked up the series win, 4 games to 2. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-4, with the average run total being 8.83 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 4.83 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Washington’s last 8 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Washington’s last 7 games when playing St. Louis
  • The total has gone UNDER in 7 of St. Louis’s last 8 games when playing at home against Washington
  • St. Louis is 19-3 SU in its last 22 games at home

Washington Nationals at St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s NL matchup between Washington and St. Louis, the Cardinals are the huge favorites on the moneyline. Even though the Nationals have played St. Louis tough in this series, I expect the Cardinals to cruise to an easy win. I recommend taking the Cardinals to win by multiple runs on the runline.

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