Bet the Runline: White Sox vs. Yankees 5/21/22

by | Last updated May 21, 2022 | mlb

Chicago White Sox vs New York Yankees
Date: Saturday, May 21st, 01:05 ET
Location: Yankee Stadium
Money Line: White Sox 180 / Yankees -220 (BAS – They allow you to bet on games at discounted odds! Who doesn’t like to save money every time they bet?)

Total Line: 9


Chicago: Dallas Keuchel (2-3, 5.88)
New York: Nestor Cortes (2-1, 1.35)

White Sox Projected Lineup

AJ Pollock LF
Adam Engel RF
Andrew Vaughn RF
Yasmani Grandal C
Yoán Moncada 3B
Josh Harrison 2B
Luis Robert CF
José Abreu 1B
Tim Anderson SS
Dallas Keuchel P

Yankees Projected Lineup

Gleyber Torres 2B
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Josh Donaldson 3B
Aaron Hicks CF
Giancarlo Stanton RF
DJ LeMahieu 2B
Kyle Higashioka C
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Aaron Judge RF
Nestor Cortes P


Chicago White Sox: 19-19-0 SU / OU 15-21-2 / Run Line W/L 18-20-0
New York Yankees: 28-10-0 SU / OU 17-21-0 / Run Line W/L 20-18-0

The New York Yankees host the Chicago White Sox on Friday, May 20th at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Chicago will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Kansas City by the score of 7-4. For the game, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4 runs on 11 hits. The White Sox lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up 14 hits, leading to 7 runs. In the matchup, Chicago was favored at -135.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 28 of their games, winning at a rate of 57%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 10.0 runs. On the season, Chicago’s over-under record is 15-21-2.

The White Sox come into this game with a 3-2 record of their last 5 contests. Over this stretch, the team has a positive run differential at 3. Chicago’s offense heads into action averaging 3.6 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 3.55. So far, Chicago has won over half of their 12 series played, going 6-4-2.

New York will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Orioles by the score of 9-6. New York’s pitching staff gave up 11 hits, leading to 9 runs for the Orioles. Offensively, they finished with 6 runs on 10 hits. Leading into the game, New York was the betting favorite at -200.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 36 games, winning at a rate of 72.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Yankees and Orioles combined to surpass the line of 8.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 17-21-0.

Across their last 5 contests, the Yankees are above .500, going 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of 7 (last 5). New York is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 5.0 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.92. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 10-1-1.

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Pitching Matchup

Chicago will roll with Dallas Keuchel (2-3) as their starter. So far, Keuchel has put together an ERA of 5.88. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.33 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the left-hander, with a batting average of 0.321. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Keuchel, as he is allowing just 1.04 per 9 innings. Keuchel is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 2.66 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 12.0%. Command has been a problem for Keuchel, as he is giving up 5.19 walks per outing.

New York will roll with Nestor Cortes (2-1) as their starter. Through 7 appearances, Cortes has an ERA of just 1.35 while averaging 5.71 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.164 against him. Home runs have also not been an issue for Cortes, as he’s giving up just 0.67 per 9. In terms of strikeouts, Nestor Cortes has a strong strikeout percentage of 32.0%, including a per-game average of 7.0. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.48 walks per outing.

Chicago vs New York History

For the season, Chicago White Sox and New York Yankees will be playing their 4th game of the season. New York holds the edge in the series at 3-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-2. The average run total in these games is 9.33 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 4.75 runs. Dating back to last season, the New York picked up 5 wins compared to 1, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-4, with the average run total being 9.33 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.33 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our betting opinion on the San Diego at San Francisco 5/21/22 game.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Chi White Sox’s last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
  • Chi White Sox is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 5 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox
  • NY Yankees is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games at home

Chicago White Sox at New York Yankees Prediction

In this matchup, I recommend grabbing the Yankees on the runline. Look for the New York lineup to jump on Chicago starter Dallas Keuchel. So far, the Yankees lead the MLB in home runs vs left-handed pitching, already hitting 17.

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