Bet the Total: D’backs vs. Dodgers 9/22/22

by | Sep 22, 2022 | mlb

Arizona Diamondbacks vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Thursday September 22nd, 10:10 ET

Location: Dodger Stadium

TV: Bally Sports Arizona

Money Line: Diamondbacks +165 / Dodgers -200 (You’re not maxing out your potential if you’re not wagering using MLB Dimelines!)

Total Line: 7

STARTING PITCHING

Arizona: Zac Gallen (12-3, 2.58)
Los Angeles: Julio Urías (17-7, 2.27)

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Jordan Luplow RF
Daulton Varsho RF
Emmanuel Rivera 3B
Jake McCarthy LF
Stone Garrett LF
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Carson Kelly C
Christian Walker 1B
Ketel Marte 2B
Zac Gallen P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Chris Taylor LF
Cody Bellinger CF
Max Muncy 3B
Mookie Betts RF
Justin Turner 3B
Gavin Lux 2B
Will Smith C
Freddie Freeman 1B
Trea Turner SS
Julio Urías P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Arizona Diamondbacks: 69-80-0 SU / OU 68-78-4 / Run Line W/L 86-64-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 103-45-0 SU / OU 63-74-12 / Run Line W/L 91-58-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Arizona Diamondbacks on Thursday September 22nd at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 10:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-200), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Arizona Diamondbacks will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the LA Dodgers by a score of 6-1. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the LA Dodgers to 1 run on 3 hits. The Diamondbacks lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 7 hits, leading to 6 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 270.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Diamondbacks and LA Dodgers fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.5 runs. This outcome pushed Arizona’s over-under record further below .500 at 68-78-4.

Over the Diamondbacks’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -1. On offense, Arizona’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 3.8 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Arizona’s overall series record is just 17-22-8.

Los Angeles is coming off a 5 run loss to the Diamondbacks. Dropping the game 6-1. On their way to giving up 6 runs, the Dodgers staff allowed 7 hits. The Dodgers offense ended the game with just 1 run on 3 hits. Los Angeles came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-330.0). So far, the team has won 70.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Dodgers and Diamondbacks combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 63-74-12.

In their last 5 games, the Dodgers have put together a record of 3-2. Los Angeles has managed to play above .500 baseball, despite their last 5 scoring margin sitting at -3. Los Angeles has played above .500 baseball, despite averaging just 3.6 runs in their last 5 games. This is a drop in production compared to their season average of 5.36. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 34-10-3.

Pitching Matchup

Zac Gallen gets the start for the Diamondbacks, with an overall record of 12-3. Currently, Gallen has an ERA of just 2.58 while pitching an average of 5.86 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.188 against him. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.66 home runs allowed per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Zac Gallen has a strong strikeout percentage of 26.0%, including a per game average of 5.96. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Gallen is averaging 2.36 free passes per outing.

Julio Urías gets the start for the Dodgers, with an overall record of 17-7. Currently, Urías has a strong ERA of just 2.27 while pitching an average of 5.65 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.197 against him. This year, home runs have been an issue for Urías. So far, he has allowed 1.19 per 9 innings. Overall, Julio Urías has struck out 24.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 5.43 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.1 walks per outing.

Arizona vs Los Angeles History

Today’s matchup between the Arizona Diamondbacks and Los Angeles Dodgers will be their 19th meeting of the season. Los Angeles holds the edge in the series at 13-5. Through 18 games, the series’ over-under record is 5-13, with the average run total sitting at 9.32 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.5 runs. Dating back to last season, the Los Angeles picked up 16 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 10-8, with the average run total being 9.32 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.68 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Arizona’s last 9 games when playing LA Dodgers
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games
  • LA Dodgers is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Arizona
  • The total has gone UNDER in 8 of LA Dodgers’ last 9 games when playing Arizona

Arizona Diamondbacks at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s matchup between Arizona and Los Angeles, the over-under line is set at 7 runs. Despite playing in the same division, both teams don’t have a lot of experience against today’s starters. So far, Julio Urias has yet to face the Diamondbacks this year, while Zac Gallen has faced LA just 1 time. Look for this pitching matchup to live up to its hype in what should be a low-scoring contest. I recommend taking under.

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