Cardinals vs. Cubs Lines & Predictions

by | Last updated Aug 22, 2022 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Monday August 22nd, 08:05 ET

Location: Wrigley Field

TV: Marquee Sports Network

Money Line: Cardinals -158 / Cubs +132 (Get MLB Dimelines – Risk less! Get paid more!)

Total Line: 8.0


St. Louis: Jordan Montgomery (3-3, 3.69)
Chicago: Drew Smyly (5-6, 3.67)


St. Louis Cardinals: 69-51-0 SU / OU 57-59-4 / Run Line W/L 69-51-0
Chicago Cubs: 52-68-0 SU / OU 53-59-8 / Run Line W/L 62-58-0

The Chicago Cubs host the St. Louis Cardinals on Monday August 22nd at Wrigley Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-158), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

St. Louis looks to keep things rolling, after taking down Arizona by the score of 6-4. Arizona came up with 8 hits leading to 4 runs against St. Louis’s pitchers. The Cardinals lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 12 hits, leading to 6 runs. In the matchup, St. Louis was favored at -125.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 73 of their games, winning at a rate of 70.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 7.5 runs. Games involving the Cardinals have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 57-59-4.

The Cardinals come into this game, having won all 5 of their recent games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +32. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 9.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.88. So far, St. Louis has won over half of their 37 series played, going 19-10-8.

Chicago will look to move on from a 3 run loss to the Brewers, falling by the score of 5-2. Chicago’s pitching staff gave up 7 hits, leading to 5 runs for the Brewers. With their 5 hits, the Cubs could only plate 2 runners. This loss came as no surprise, as Chicago came into the game as the underdog, getting 130.0. So far, the team has gone into 78 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 41.0%. With an over-under line set at 7.0, the Cubs and Brewers combined to match this total. This result drops Chicago’s over-under record down to 53-59-8.

In their last 5 games, the Cubs have put together a record of 4-1. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +1. Chicago is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.4 runs per game, compared to a season long mark of 4.19. Chicago has a below .500 series record of just 17-17-5.

Pitching Matchup

Jordan Montgomery gets the start for the Cardinals, with an overall record of 3-3. To date, Montgomery has an ERA of 3.69 while lasting an average of 5.44 innings per appearance. Montgomery comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.236. Opponents are hitting for power against Montgomery, as his HR/9 figure sits at 1.18. Per game, Jordan Montgomery is averaging 4.62, on a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.81 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Chicago turns to starter Drew Smyly. For the year, he has a record of 5-6. So far, Smyly has put together an ERA of 3.67. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.75 innings. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.259. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above-average rate against Smyly. This year, he is allowing 1.3 HR’s per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Drew Smyly has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 20.0%. This has led to an average of 4.06 K’s per game. Throughout the season, Smyly has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.01 per contest.

St. Louis vs Chicago History

For the season, the St. Louis Cardinals and Chicago Cubs will be playing their 12th game of the season. So far, St. Louis is leading the season series, 7-4. The over-under record in this series sits at 5-6. The average run total in these games is 9.0 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.55 runs. Last season, St. Louis picked up the series win, 10 games to 9. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 10-9. Last year, the Cardinals and Cubs averaged 9.0 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.11 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our Milwaukee at LA Dodgers O/U Total bet for 8/22/22

Betting Trends

  • Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cardinals are 6-0 in their last 6 games following a win.
  • Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
  • Cubs are 5-1 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.

St. Louis Cardinals at Chicago Cubs Prediction

Heading into Monday’s NL Central matchup between St. Louis and Chicago, the Cardinals are the strong favorite on the moneyline. Even though the Cubs lost their finale vs Milwaukee, they took 2 of 3 from the Brewers and are playing the spoiler role in the division. Look for this to be a tightly contested game, but for St. Louis to prevail.

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