Cardinals vs. Phillies Best Bet 7/1/22

by | Jul 1, 2022 | mlb

St. Louis Cardinals vs Philadelphia Phillies
Date: Friday, July 1st, 06:05 ET
Location: Citizens Bank Park
TV: Bally Sports Midwest
Money Line: Cardinals -125 / Phillies +105 (Get the best lines >>>)
Total Line: 9.5

STARTING PITCHING

St. Louis: Miles Mikolas (5-5, 2.57)
Philadelphia: Bailey Falter (0-2, 4.5)

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Brendan Donovan 3B
Edmundo Sosa SS
Juan Yepez LF
Albert Pujols 1B
Nolan Arenado 3B
Ivan Herrera C
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Tommy Edman SS
Dylan Carlson CF
Miles Mikolas P

Phillies Projected Lineup

Odubel Herrera CF
Alec Bohm 3B
J.T. Realmuto C
Nick Castellanos RF
Didi Gregorius SS
Bryson Stott 2B
Darick Hall 1B
Kyle Schwarber LF
Rhys Hoskins 1B
Bailey Falter P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

St. Louis Cardinals: 43-35-0 SU / OU 39-35-4 / Run Line W/L 44-34-0
Philadelphia Phillies: 40-37-0 SU / OU 43-32-2 / Run Line W/L 38-39-0

The Philadelphia Phillies host the St. Louis Cardinals on Friday, July 1st at Citizens Bank Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places St. Louis as the favorite (-125), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

After suffering a 1 run loss to the Marlins (4-3), the Cardinals will look to get back in the win column. St. Louis’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 7 hits, leading to 4 runs. On offense, the Cardinals finished with 3 runs on 7 hits. St. Louis’s loss came as the underdog, getting 120.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Cardinals and Marlins fell short of the over-under betting line of 7.5 runs. St. Louis games have still surpassed the over-under line more than half of the time, at 39-35-4.

The Cardinals are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +11. Offensively, the team has put up 27 runs in their last 5 games. St. Louis’s season average comes in at 4.78 (7th. So far, St. Louis has won over half of their 24 series played, going 12-6-6.

In their last game, the Philadelphia Phillies picked up a 10 run win over the Braves by a score of 14-4. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 4 runs on 9 hits. In the victory, the Phillies came up with 13 hits and 14 runs. Heading into action, Philadelphia was the favorite at -150.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 51 games, winning at a rate of 55%. In terms of the over-under, the Phillies and Braves combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is 43-32-2.

In their last 5 games, the Phillies have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +10. Overall, the Phillies are averaging 4.81 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 6.0 runs per contest. Philadelphia has a below .500 series record of just 10-13-1.

Pitching Matchup

St. Louis will roll with Miles Mikolas (5-5) as their starter. In his previous outings, Mikolas has lasted an average of 6.28 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.57. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.207. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.76 home runs allowed per 9 innings. On the season, Miles Mikolas has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. This includes a per game average of 5.2 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.81 walks per outing.

Philadelphia will roll with Bailey Falter (0-2) as their starter. So far, Falter has put together an ERA of 4.5. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 2.86 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.286. Opposing hitters are hitting home runs at an above average rate against Falter. This year, he is allowing 2.25 HRs per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Falter is averaging just 1.86 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 15.0% of the batters he has faced. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.7 walks per contest.

St. Louis vs Philadelphia History

Today’s game between the St. Louis Cardinals and Philadelphia Phillies is their first matchup of the year. Dating back to last season, Philadelphia picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. The average scoring margin in these games was 3.0 with an over-under record of 2-4. Last year, the two teams combined to average 7.29 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our recommeded bet for the 7/1/22 NYY at CLE game >>>

Betting Trends

  • St. Louis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of St. Louis’s last 5 games when playing Philadelphia
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia’s last 5 games when playing St. Louis
  • The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia’s last 14 games at home

St. Louis Cardinals at Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

Heading into Friday’s National League matchup between St Louis and Philadelphia, the Cardinals are the favorite on the moneyline (-125). After going through a short rough patch in early June, Miles Mikolas has put together 3 straight quality starts. In these outings, the Cardinals went 2-1. On the other side, Bailey Falter is coming off his best outing of the season vs Washington. However, Falter has not shown the ability to work deep into games. Look for St. Louis to pick up the win.

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