Cubs vs. Giants Total Bet 7/28/22

by | Last updated Jul 28, 2022 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs San Francisco Giants
Date: Thursday July 28th, 09:45 ET
Location: Oracle Park
Money Line: Cubs +108 / Giants -130
Total Line: 8.0
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Chicago: Justin Steele (4-6, 4.02)
San Francisco: Alex Wood (6-8, 4.21)

Cubs Projected Lineup

Frank Schwindel 1B
Yan Gomes C
Nico Hoerner SS
Seiya Suzuki RF
Patrick Wisdom 3B
Nelson Velazquez RF
Ian Happ LF
Christopher Morel 2B
Willson Contreras C
Justin Steele P

Giants Projected Lineup

Austin Wynns C
David Villar 3B
Yermin Mercedes 1B
Mike Yastrzemski CF
Joey Bart C
Darin Ruf LF
Thairo Estrada SS
Austin Slater CF
Wilmer Flores 2B
Alex Wood P


Chicago Cubs: 40-57-0 SU / OU 44-47-6 / Run Line W/L 50-47-0
San Francisco Giants: 48-50-0 SU / OU 48-45-5 / Run Line W/L 45-53-0

The San Francisco Giants host the Chicago Cubs on Thursday, July 28th at Oracle Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:45 ET. The MLB Odds Board places San Francisco as the favorite (-130), with an OU line set at 8.0.

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Recent Form

In their most recent game, Chicago picked up a 2-run win over the Pirates (4-2). Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the Pirates to 2 runs on 4 hits. The Cubs benefited from an offense that generated 4 runs on 10 hits. Heading into their last game, Chicago was the betting favorite at -190.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 32 of their games, winning at a rate of 44.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. So far, Chicago has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 44-47-6.

In their last 5 games, the Cubs have gone a perfect 5-0. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +21. Offensively, the team has put up 32 runs in their last 5 games. Chicago’s season average comes in at 4.31 (19th. Chicago’s overall series record is just 11-15-5.

The Giants will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 5-3 to the Diamondbacks. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 8 hits, leading to 5 runs. The Giant’s offense ended the game with just 3 runs on 7 hits. San Francisco dropped the game despite being favored at -115.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 74 games, winning at a rate of 54.0%. With an over-under line set at 8.0, the Giants and Diamondbacks combined to match this total. On the season, San Francisco’s overall over-under record sits at 48-45-5.

In their last 5 contests, the Giants have just 0 wins, going 0-5. During this time, the team has a run differential of -18. The team’s offense is partly to blame for their recent slump, as they have averaged just 2.4 runs over their last 5 game. On the season, San Francisco has won more than half of their series, going 14-13-5.

Pitching Matchup

Chicago will roll with Justin Steele (4-6) as their starter. To date, Steele has an ERA of 4.02 while lasting an average of 4.84 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.246. So far, Steele has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.62 home runs per 9 innings. On the season, Justin Steele has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.5 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.23 walks per outing.

The San Francisco Giants will send Alex Wood to the mound with an overall record of 6-8. Wood gets the start with an ERA of 4.21. On average, he has lasted 4.95 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.262. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Wood, as he is allowing just 0.96 per 9 innings. In terms of strikeouts, Alex Wood has a strong K% of 24.0%, including a per game average of 5.05. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.2 walks per outing.

Chicago vs San Francisco History

Today’s matchup between the Chicago Cubs and San Francisco Giants will be their first meeting of the season. Last year, San Francisco won the season series 6-1. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 4-3, with the average scoring differential sitting at 3.86 runs. Between the games, the average run total was 10.43 runs per game.

Betting Trends

  • Chi Cubs is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Chi Cubs is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games
  • San Francisco is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Chi Cubs
  • San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

Chicago Cubs at San Francisco Giants Prediction

Heading into Thursday’s National League matchup between Chicago and San Francisco, the over-under line is set at 8 runs. For today’s best bet, I recommend tanking the Cubs and Giants to remain below this line, as both teams have been inconsistent at the plate. Justin Steele has given up more than 1 run just once in his last 4 outings, while Alex Wood has been racking up the strikeouts over his last several apperances.

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