Cubs vs. Mets Total Bet 9/13/22

by | Last updated Sep 13, 2022 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday September 13th, 07:10 ET

Location: Citi Field


Money Line: Cubs +290 / Mets -380 (BAS – Bet on games for cheaper here! Saving money matters!)

Total Line: 6.5


Chicago: Adrian Sampson (1-5, 3.76)
New York: Jacob deGrom (5-1, 1.66)

Cubs Projected Lineup

Rafael Ortega CF
Yan Gomes C
Patrick Wisdom CF
Seiya Suzuki RF
Nico Hoerner SS
Christopher Morel SS
Ian Happ LF
Franmil Reyes RF
Zach McKinstry 2B
Adrian Sampson P

Mets Projected Lineup

Tyler Naquin RF
Eduardo Escobar 3B
Daniel Vogelbach 1B
Mark Canha LF
James McCann C
Jeff McNeil 2B
Pete Alonso 1B
Brandon Nimmo CF
Francisco Lindor SS
Jacob deGrom P


Chicago Cubs: 59-82-0 SU / OU 59-70-12 / Run Line W/L 71-70-0
New York Mets: 89-53-0 SU / OU 71-62-9 / Run Line W/L 77-65-0

The New York Mets host the Chicago Cubs on Tuesday September 13th at Citi Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-380), with an OU line set at 6.5.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Chicago will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the NY Mets by the score of 5-2. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the NY Mets to 2 runs on 8 hits. The Cubs lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 7 hits, leading to 5 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 240.0 on the moneyline. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. So far, Chicago has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 59-70-12.

In their last 5 games, the Cubs are below .500, at 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -1. A key reason for Chicago’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average of 4.06. Chicago’s overall series record is just 18-23-5.

New York will look to move on from a 3 run loss to the Cubs, falling by the score of 5-2. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 7 hits, leading to 5 runs. With their 8 hits, the Mets could only plate 2 runners. New York came away with a loss, despite being favored on the moneyline (-300.0). For the season, the team has been favored in 110 games, winning at a rate of 67.0%. With this result, the Mets and Cubs combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Even still, New York games have still gone over the betting total over half of the time, at 71-62-9.

Across their last 5 contests, the Mets are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +18 (last 5). Compared to their season average, the Mets come into this game swinging the bats well, averaging 7.0 runs per game. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 32-10-3.

Pitching Matchup

Chicago will roll with Adrian Sampson (1-5) as their starter. So far, Sampson has put together an ERA of 3.76. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.76 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.266. This season, Sampson has been able to avoid giving up home runs, allowing just 0.94 per 9 innings. Overall, he is averaging 3.44 per game, on a K rate of 17.0%. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as Sampson is averaging 2.23 free passes per outing.

New York will roll with Jacob deGrom (5-1) as their starter. Heading into the game, deGrom has appeared in 7 contests, posting an ERA of just 1.66. On average, he pitches 6.16 innings per appearance. So far, batters are hitting just 0.135 against him. Not only does deGrom have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. In his previous outings, opponents are averaging just 0.63 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Overall, Jacob deGrom has struck out 41.0% of the batters he has faced. On average, he averages 9.0 K’s per game. deGrom has done a good job at limiting walks, averaging just 0.83 per contest.

Chicago vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Chicago Cubs and New York Mets will be their 6th meeting of the season. Currently, New York is winning the season series 3-2. Through 5 games, the series over-under record is 1-3, with the average run total sitting at 7.71 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.8 runs. Last season, Chicago picked up the series win, 4 games to 3. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 2-5, with the average run total being 7.71 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.43 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Chi Cubs is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
  • Chi Cubs is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing NY Mets
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Mets’s last 6 games
  • NY Mets is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games

Chicago Cubs at New York Mets Prediction

Tuesday’s National Leauge matchup between Chicago and New York has a run total line set at just 6.5 runs. However, with Jacob deGrom and Adrian Sampson on the mound, look for the Mets and Cubs to remain below this number. I recommend taking the under.

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