Padres vs. Mariners Picks & Predictions 9/13/22

by | Last updated Sep 13, 2022 | mlb

San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Tuesday September 13th, 09:40 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: Bally Sports San Diego

Money Line: Padres 100 / Mariners -120 (BAS – Cheaper odds means you save BIG $$$!)

Total Line: 7.5


San Diego: Yu Darvish (13-7, 3.31)
Seattle: Logan Gilbert (12-5, 3.28)

Padres Projected Lineup

Ha-seong Kim SS
Wil Myers P
Jake Cronenworth 2B
Juan Soto RF
Trent Grisham CF
Manny Machado 3B
Austin Nola C
Josh Bell 1B
Jurickson Profar LF
Yu Darvish P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Adam Frazier 2B
J.P. Crawford SS
Jesse Winker LF
Mitch Haniger RF
Cal Raleigh C
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Sam Haggerty LF
Julio Rodriguez CF
Ty France 1B
Logan Gilbert P


San Diego Padres: 77-64-0 SU / OU 67-69-5 / Run Line W/L 61-80-0
Seattle Mariners: 79-61-0 SU / OU 65-68-7 / Run Line W/L 76-64-0

The Seattle Mariners host the San Diego Padres on Tuesday September 13th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Padres are hoping to get back on track after falling to the LA Dodgers by a score of 11-2. On their way to giving up 11 runs, the Padres staff allowed 12 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 2 runs on 6 hits. The loss came as San Diego was the betting underdog, getting 110.0 on the moneyline. With the over-under line set at 8.0 runs, the Padres and LA Dodgers combined to go over this total. On the season, San Diego’s over-under record is 67-69-5.

The Padres are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just -8. San Diego’s offense heads into action averaging 4.6 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.40. So far, San Diego has won over half of their 44 series played, going 22-16-6.

In their last game, the Mariners picked up a close win over the Braves by a score of 8-7. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 6 hits, leading to 7 runs. At the plate, the Mariners scored 8 times on 9 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 115.0 on the moneyline, the Mariners still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 66 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 45.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Mariners and Braves combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 65-68-7.

Across their last 5 contests, the Mariners are above .500, going 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +1 (last 5). Seattle is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 4.8 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.21. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 24-17-3.

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Pitching Matchup

The San Diego Padres will send Yu Darvish to the mound with an overall record of 13-7. Currently, Darvish has an ERA of just 3.31 while pitching an average of 6.47 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.212 against him. Darvish is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.07 per 9 innings. Per game, Yu Darvish is averaging 6.46, on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. Command has been a problem for Darvish, as he is giving up 1.81 walks per outing.

In today’s game, Seattle turns to starter Logan Gilbert. For the year, he has a record of 12-5. Through 28 appearances, Gilbert has an ERA of just 3.28 while averaging 5.76 innings per appearance. Across his previous starts, opposing teams have put together a batting average of 0.246. Throughout the season, Gilbert has done a good job at limiting home runs, allowing 0.95 per 9 innings. On the season, Logan Gilbert has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 23.0%. This has led to an average of 5.39 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.34 walks per outing.

San Diego vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Currently, Seattle is winning the season series 2-0. Through 2 games, the series over-under record is 2-0, with the average run total sitting at 12.67 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.0 runs. Last season, San Diego picked up the series win, 3 games to 0. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 3-0, with the average run total being 12.67 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 8.0 runs per contest.

Betting Trends

  • Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
  • Padres are 6-2 in their last 8 Tuesday games.
  • Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
  • Mariners are 13-3 in their last 16 vs. a team with a winning record.

San Diego Padres at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Heading into Tuesday’s interleague matchup between San Diego and Seattle, the Mariners are the slight favorite on the moneyline. I recommend taking Seattle to come away with the win, as Logan Gilbert has been excellent of late, with his team winning 3 straight games with the right-hander on the mound.

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