Cubs vs. Reds Total Pick 5/25/22

by | Last updated May 25, 2022 | mlb

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Wednesday, May 25th, 06:40 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: Marquee Sports Network
Money Line: Cubs +106 / Reds -126 (Get the best lines >>>)
Total Line: 8.5


Chicago: Kyle Hendricks (2-4, 4.89)
Cincinnati: Luis Castillo (4-1, 3.91)

Cubs Projected Lineup

Patrick Wisdom 3B
Jonathan Villar 2B
Alfonso Rivas 1B
Frank Schwindel 1B
Seiya Suzuki RF
Andrelton Simmons SS
Willson Contreras C
Ian Happ LF
Rafael Ortega CF
Kyle Hendricks P

Reds Projected Lineup

Tyler Naquin RF
Kyle Farmer SS
Mike Moustakas 3B
Nick Senzel CF
Colin Moran 1B
Tyler Stephenson C
Joey Votto 1B
Brandon Drury 2B
Tommy Pham LF
Luis Castillo P


Chicago Cubs: 18-24-0 SU / OU 20-19-3 / Run Line W/L 22-20-0
Cincinnati Reds: 12-30-0 SU / OU 25-16-1 / Run Line W/L 18-24-0

The Cincinnati Reds host the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday, May 25th at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Cincinnati as the favorite (-126), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Chicago Cubs will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Cincinnati by a score of 11-4. For the game, Chicago’s pitching staff allowed 4 runs on 8 hits. The Cubs lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up 5 hits, leading to 11 runs. Chicago picked up the win while getting 100.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as Chicago has the over has hit in more than half of their games (20-19-3).

The Cubs are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential 6. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 7.0 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.38. Chicago’s overall series record is just 5-7-2.

Cincinnati is coming off a 7 run loss to Cubs. Dropping the game 11-4. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 5 hits, leading to 11 runs. The Reds’ offense ended the game with just 4 runs on 8 hits. Cincinnati dropped the game despite being favored at -120.0. So far, the team has won 25.0% of the games in which they were favored. In terms of the over-under, the Reds and Cubs combined to surpass the line of 8.5 runs. For the season, the team’s over-under record is (25-16-1).

The Reds come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This recent slump is backed by a scoring margin of -12 over their last 5 games. If Cincinnati is going to pick up their play, they need to improve their offensive performance. Over their last 5 contests, they are averaging just 2.6 runs per game, compared to a season average of 3.88. Cincinnati has a below .500 series record of just 3-9-2.


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Pitching Matchup

Kyle Hendricks gets the start for the Cubs, with an overall record of 2-4. To date, Hendricks has an ERA of 4.89 while lasting an average of 5.47 innings per appearance. Through 9 outings, opposing teams have combined for a batting average of 0.258. Home runs have also not been an issue for Hendricks, as he’s giving up just 1.83 per 9. Up to this point, Hendricks has a strikeout percentage of just 17.0% and a per-game average of 3.88. Command has been a problem for Hendricks, as he is giving up 3.08 walks per outing.

Cincinnati will roll with Luis Castillo (4-1) as their starter. So far, Castillo has put together an ERA of 3.91. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.75 innings. So far, Castillo has a batting average allowed of 0.234. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Castillo, as he is allowing just 0.78 per 9 innings. Castillo is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 4.625 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 20.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.15 walks per contest.

Chicago vs Cincinnati History

Today’s matchup between the Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds will be their 2nd meeting of the season. So far, Chicago is leading the season series, 2-0. Through 2nd games, the series’ over-under record is 2-0, with the average run total sitting at 8.84 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.0 runs. Dating back to last season, the Cincinnati picked up 11 wins compared to 8, taking the season series. In these 19 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 7-11-1. Last year, the Cubs and Reds averaged 8.84 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 2.84 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our Philadelphia at Atlanta Best Bet for 5/25/22 >>>

Betting Trends

  • Chi Cubs is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Chi Cubs’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of Cincinnati’s last 5 games at home
  • Cincinnati is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games

Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Wednesday’s matchup between the Reds and Cubs has an over-under betting line set at 8.5 runs. Yesterday’s featured a lot of scoring, led by an 11-run performance from the Cubs. Look for this matchup to also surpass the betting line in what should be another high-scoring contest.

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