Dodgers vs. Marlins Total Play 8/28/22

by | Aug 28, 2022 | mlb

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Miami Marlins
Date: Sunday August 28th, 12:05 ET
Location: LoanDepot park
TV: Peacock
Money Line: Dodgers -260 / Marlins +210
Total Line: 7.0

STARTING PITCHING

Los Angeles: Julio Urías (13-7, 2.36) Miami: Edward Cabrera (4-1, 1.41)

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Gavin Lux 2B Chris Taylor 2B Max Muncy 1B Mookie Betts RF Justin Turner 3B Cody Bellinger CF Will Smith C Freddie Freeman 1B Trea Turner SS Julio Urías P

Marlins Projected Lineup

Peyton Burdick LF Charles LeBlanc 2B J.J. Bleday CF Brian Anderson RF Nick Fortes C Jon Berti 2B Luke Williams LF Garrett Cooper 1B Miguel Rojas SS Edward Cabrera P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Los Angeles Dodgers: 87-38-0 SU / OU 52-63-10 / Run Line W/L 78-47-0 Miami Marlins: 55-71-0 SU / OU 53-66-7 / Run Line W/L 58-68-0

The Miami Marlins host the Los Angeles Dodgers on Sunday August 28th at LoanDepot park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 12:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-260), with an OU line set at 7.0.

Recent Form

The Dodgers will look to rebound from a close, 2-1 loss to Miami. Even in the loss, the pitching staff gave up just 2 runs while allowing 6 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 1 run on 6 hits. Dodgers suffered the loss, despite being favored at -200.0. Through 122 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 70.0%. This matchup remained below the over-under line set at 6.5 runs. This outcome pushed Los Angeles’s over-under record further below .500 at 52-63-10.

The Dodgers are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 3-2 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +14. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 6.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 5.40. So far, Los Angeles has won over half of their 40 series played, going 28-9-3.

In their last game, the Marlins picked up a close win over the Dodgers by a score of 2-1. In the winning effort, the team’s pitchers held the Dodgers to 1 run and 6 hits. The Marlins offense ended the game with just 2 runs on 6 hits. This was a good win for the Marlins, as they were underdogs at 180.0 on the moneyline. In their 66 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 30.0%. With this result, the Marlins and Dodgers combined to fall below the over-under line of 6.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 53-66-7.

In their last 5 games, the Marlins have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +1 (last 5). Miami has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 3.6 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 3.67. Miami has a below .500 series record of just 12-23-6.

Pitching Matchup

Julio Urías gets the start for the Dodgers, with an overall record of 13-7. Currently, Urías has an ERA of just 2.36 while pitching an average of 5.55 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.206 against him. Urías is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.08 per 9 innings. Per game, Julio Urías is averaging 5.42, on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 1.82 walks per outing.

The Miami Marlins will send Edward Cabrera to the mound with an overall record of 4-1. Heading into the game, Cabrera has appeared in 7 contests, posting an ERA of just 1.41. On average, he pitches 5.44 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.138. This year Cabrera is allowing just 0.47 home runs per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Cabrera is averaging just 6.14 K’s per game. So far, he has struck out 28.0% of the batters he has faced. Cabrera comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 4.46 free passes per outing.

Los Angeles vs Miami History

Today’s matchup between the Los Angeles Dodgers and Miami Marlins will be their 6th meeting of the season. So far, Los Angeles is leading the season series, 4-1. Through 5 games, the series over-under record is 2-3, with the average run total sitting at 8.71 runs per game. The averge scoring margin in these meetings is 4.0 runs. Dating back to last season, Miami picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 3-3. Last year, the Dodgers and Marlins averaged 8.71 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.0 runs per game.

More Picks: Find out why the total is the bet on the Pirates at Phillies 8/28/22 game

Betting Trends

  • LA Dodgers is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Miami
  • LA Dodgers is 20-5 SU in its last 25 games
  • Miami is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers
  • Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against LA Dodgers

Los Angeles Dodgers at Miami Marlins Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s matchup between Los Angeles and Miami, the Dodgers are the heavy favorite to come away with the win. However, Edward Cabrera has been excellent on the mound for Miami, as he hasn’t given up a run in his past 4 outings. Look for today’s game to play out similar to yesterday’s low-scoring contests. I recommend taking the under.

Free MLB Pick: Under 7 Runs