Giants vs. Reds Runline Pick 5/27/22

by | Last updated May 27, 2022 | mlb

San Francisco Giants vs Cincinnati Reds
Date: Friday, May 27th, 06:40 ET
Location: Great American Ball Park
TV: Bally Sports Ohio
Money Line: Giants OFF / Reds OFF
Total Line: OFF


San Francisco: Carlos Rodón (4-3, 3.43)
Cincinnati: Graham Ashcraft (0-0, 4.15)

Giants Projected Lineup

Thairo Estrada 2B
Luis Gonzalez P
Joc Pederson LF
Brandon Crawford SS
Evan Longoria 3B
Joey Bart C
Mike Yastrzemski RF
Tommy La Stella 2B
Wilmer Flores 1B
Carlos Rodón P

Reds Projected Lineup

Nick Senzel CF
Tyler Naquin RF
Tommy Pham LF
Aristides Aquino RF
Brandon Drury 2B
Matt Reynolds SS
Tyler Stephenson C
Joey Votto 1B
Kyle Farmer SS
Graham Ashcraft P


San Francisco Giants: 24-19-0 SU / OU 25-17-1 / Run Line W/L 19-24-0
Cincinnati Reds: 14-30-0 SU / OU 26-17-1 / Run Line W/L 19-25-0

The Cincinnati Reds host the San Francisco Giants on Friday, May 27th at Great American Ball Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 06:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Cincinnati as the favorite (OFF), with an OU line set at OFF.

Recent Form

The San Francisco Giants will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the NY Mets by a score of 9-3. Overall, the team’s pitching staff limited the NY Mets to 3 runs on 5 hits. The Giants benefited from an offense that generated 9 runs on 8 hits. In the matchup, San Francisco was favored at -112.0 on the moneyline. So far, the team has been the favorite in 37 of their games, winning at a rate of 62.0%. This game went over the posted over-under line of 9.0 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as San Francisco has the over has hit in more than half of their games (25-17-1).

After their 5 most recent games, the Giants have gone just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -13. In their last 5 contests, San Francisco is averaging 5.4 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 5.19. So far, San Francisco has won over half of their 15 series played, going 8-5-2.

The Cincinnati Reds are coming off a big win over Cubs by a score of 20-5. Cincinnati’s pitching staff gave up 8 hits, leading to 5 Cubs runs. At the plate, the Reds scored 20 times on 20 hits. Cincinnati picked up the win while being favored at -105.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 10 games, winning at a rate of 40.0%. The Reds and Cubs went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. Overall, the team has gone over the betting line in over half of their games, going 26-17-1.

Across their last 5 contests, the Reds are above .500, going 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at 7. Overall, the Reds are averaging 4.25 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 7.0 runs per contest. Cincinnati has a below .500 series record of just 3-8-3.

Pitching Matchup

San Francisco will roll with Carlos Rodón (4-3) as their starter. So far, Rodón has put together an ERA of 3.43. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.53 innings. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.216 against Rodón. In addition, to his strong BA allowed, he has been able to limit power, allowing just 0.41 home runs allowed per 9 innings. Per game, Carlos Rodón is averaging 7.75, on a strikeout percentage of 34.0%. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.43 walks per outing.

For the Reds, starting pitcher Graham Ashcraft has yet to factor into a decision. So far, Ashcraft has put together an ERA of 4.15. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.1 innings. So far, Ashcraft has a batting average allowed of 0.222. So far, Ashcraft has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.0 home runs per 9 innings. Up to this point, Ashcraft has a strikeout percentage of just 14.00% and a per game average of 3.0. Throughout the season, Ashcraft has avoided walking batters, allowing just 4.15 per contest.

San Francisco vs Cincinnati History

Today’s game between San Francisco Giants and Cincinnati Reds is their matchup of the year. Last season, San Francisco picked up the series win, winning 6 games compared to 1 for Cincinnati. The average scoring margin in these games was 4.43, with an over under record of 3-4. Last year, the two teams combined to average 8.71 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
  • San Francisco is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cincinnati
  • The total has gone OVER in 12 of Cincinnati’s last 13 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 7 of Cincinnati’s last 9 games when playing at home against San Francisco

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds Prediction

Heading into Friday’s matchup between the Reds and Giants, don’t count on Cincinnati going off anywhere close to 20 runs off San Francisco and Carlos Rodon. Look for the Giants to benefit from playing in one of the more home run friendly ball parks in the league. I like the Giants to cover the runline.

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