Orioles vs. Red Sox Odds & Predictions 5/27/22

by | May 27, 2022 | mlb

Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, May 27th, 07:10 ET

Location: Fenway Park

TV: Apple TV+

Money Line: Orioles +156 / Red Sox -190 (Bovada - 50% Bonus! Rebates on ALL your bets! Best live betting platform! FAST payouts! Online for over 20 years! What more could you ask for!)

Total Line: 9.5

STARTING PITCHING

Baltimore: Kyle Bradish (1-3, 5.74)
Boston: Garrett Whitlock (1-1, 3.58)

Orioles Projected Lineup

Ramon Urias 3B
Rougned Odor 2B
Trey Mancini 1B
Adley Rutschman C
Anthony Santander RF
Jorge Mateo SS
Ryan Mountcastle 1B
Cedric Mullins CF
Austin Hays LF
Kyle Bradish P

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Franchy Cordero 1B
Christian Vázquez C
Alex Verdugo LF
Trevor Story 2B
Jackie Bradley Jr. RF
Rafael Devers 3B
J.D. Martinez LF
Xander Bogaerts SS
Enrique Hernández CF
Garrett Whitlock P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Baltimore Orioles: 18-27-0 SU / OU 17-27-1 / Run Line W/L 26-19-0
Boston Red Sox: 21-23-0 SU / OU 18-23-3 / Run Line W/L 24-20-0

The Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles on Friday, May 27th at Fenway Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Boston as the favorite (-190), with an OU line set at 9.5.

Recent Form

The Orioles come into this game having suffered a 2-0 loss to the NY Yankees. Even in the loss, the pitching staff gave up just 2 runs while allowing 6 hits. On offense, the Orioles finished with 5 hits. The loss came as Baltimore was the betting underdog, getting 138.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Orioles and NY Yankees stayed below the OU line set at 7.5 runs. With this result, Baltimore’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 17-27-1.

After their 5 most recent games, the Orioles have gone just 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -5. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 4.0 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 3.53. Baltimore’s overall series record is just 6-7-1.

The Boston Red Sox are coming off a big win over White Sox by a score of 16-7. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 5 hits, leading to 7 runs. Offensively, they finished with 16 runs on 7 hits. Heading into action, Boston was the favorite at -123.0. So far, the team has won 52.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Red Sox and White Sox went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 18-23-3.

In their last 5 games, the Red Sox have put together a record of 4-1. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of 25 (last 5). The Red Sox offense has elevated their play over their last 5 games, averaging 9.4 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.70. Boston has a below .500 series record of just 5-7-2.

Pitching Matchup

The Baltimore Orioles will send Kyle Bradish to the mound with an overall record of 1-3. So far, Bradish has put together an ERA of 5.74. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.24 innings. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.286. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Bradish, averaging 2.06 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Bradish has a strikeout percentage of just 25.0% and a per game average of 5.4. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 2.7 walks per contest.

The Boston Red Sox will send Garrett Whitlock to the mound with an overall record of 1-1. So far, Whitlock has put together an ERA of 3.58. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 3.22 innings. Whitlock comes into the game with a batting average allowed of 0.222. Home runs have been an issue for Whitlock, as he is allowing an average of 1.12 per 9 innings pitched. Overall, he is averaging 4.0 per game, on a K rate of 28.9%. Throughout the season, Whitlock has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.76 per contest.

Baltimore vs Boston History

Today’s matchup between the Baltimore Orioles and Boston Red Sox will be their 3rd meeting of the season. Baltimore has the lead in the series at 2-1. Through 3rd games, the series’ over-under record is 1-2, with the average run total sitting at 10.11 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 2.33 runs. Boston won last year’s head-to-head series grabbing 13 wins to 6. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 8-11, with the average run total being 10.11 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 4.63 runs per contest.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore’s last 6 games when playing Boston
  • Baltimore is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 games
  • Boston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore
  • Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Baltimore

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox Prediction

Heading into today’s AL East matchup between the Red Sox and Orioles, look for Boston to pick up the win, and cover the runline. In Kyle Bradish’s last 2 starts, Baltimore lost by 5 and 4 runs, respectively. Given that the Orioles are unlikely to provide much run support against Garrett Whitlock, I like Boston -1.5 runs.

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