Guardians vs. Dodgers Analysis & ML Bet

by | Jun 19, 2022 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs Los Angeles Dodgers

Date: Sunday, June 19th, 04:10 ET

Location: Dodger Stadium

TV: Bally Sports Great Lakes

Money Line: Guardians +162 / Dodgers -176 (BetOnline - Fastest paying Bitcoin sportsbook on the web! Awesome contest offerings too that make each sport season more fun!)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Cleveland: Shane Bieber (3-3, 3.14)
Los Angeles: Andrew Heaney (1-0, 0.0)

Guardians Projected Lineup

Ernie Clement 2B
Oscar Mercado LF
Owen Miller 1B
Oscar Gonzalez RF
Josh Naylor 1B
Austin Hedges C
José Ramírez 3B
Myles Straw CF
Amed Rosario SS
Shane Bieber P

Dodgers Projected Lineup

Cody Bellinger CF
Chris Taylor RF
Will Smith C
Mookie Betts RF
Justin Turner 3B
Max Muncy 3B
Gavin Lux LF
Trea Turner SS
Freddie Freeman 1B
Andrew Heaney P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Cleveland Guardians: 33-28-0 SU / OU 29-28-4 / Run Line W/L 33-28-0
Los Angeles Dodgers: 40-24-0 SU / OU 25-34-5 / Run Line W/L 36-28-0

The Los Angeles Dodgers host the Cleveland Guardians on Sunday, June 19th at Dodger Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Los Angeles as the favorite (-152), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Guardians are hoping to get back on track after falling to the Dodgers by a score of 7-1. On their way to giving up 7 runs, the Guardians staff allowed 11 hits. With their 2 hits, the Guardians could only muster 1 run. The loss came as Cleveland was the betting underdog, getting 230.0 on the moneyline. The Guardians and Dodgers played to an even match of the over-under line set at 8.0 runs. Cleveland games have still gone over the posted over-under line more than half of the time, at 29-28-4.

The Guardians are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. Even with this record, in these games, their scoring differential is just 0. Cleveland has put together this record, despite averaging just 3.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 4.56. So far, Cleveland has won over half of their 21 series played, going 9-7-5.

The Los Angeles Dodgers will be looking to pick up another win, as they most recently defeated the Guardians by 6 runs (7-1). For the game, the pitching staff held the Guardians to 1 run on 2 hits. In the victory, the Dodgers came up with 11 hits and 7 runs. Los Angeles picked up the win while being favored at -270.0. So far, the team has won 62.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Dodgers and the Guardians matched the over-under total of 8.0. For the year, Los Angeles now has an over-under record of 25-34-5.

In their last 5 games, the Dodgers have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +8. Los Angeles has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 2.8 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 5.05. On the season, Los Angeles has won more than half of their series, going 13-6-2.

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Pitching Matchup

Shane Bieber gets the start for the Guardians, with an overall record of 3-3. Currently, Bieber has an ERA of just 3.14 while pitching an average of 5.93 innings per outing. Across his previous starts, opposing teams have put together a batting average of 0.248. So far, Bieber has managed to keep the ball in the ballpark, allowing just 0.63 home runs per 9 innings. Per game, Shane Bieber is averaging 6.25, on a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. Throughout the season, Bieber has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.01 per contest.

Andrew Heaney gets the start for the Dodgers, with an overall record of 1-0. In his previous outings, Heaney has lasted an average of 5.05 innings and has not given up a run. So far, batters are hitting just 0.111 against him. Not only does Heaney have a strong batting average allowed, but he has also avoided giving up home runs. Up to this point, Heaney has a strikeout percentage of just 40.0% and a per game average of 8.0. Throughout the season, Heaney has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.61 per contest.

Cleveland vs Los Angeles History

For the season, the Cleveland Guardians and Los Angeles Dodgers will be playing their 3rd game of the season. So far, the teams have each won 1 time. Through 2 games, the series’ over-under record is 0-1, with the average run total sitting at nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.5 runs. Last year, the team’s split the season series at 0-0. In these 0 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 0-0. Last year, the Guardians and Dodgers averaged nan runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was nan runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Cleveland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Dodgers’s last 5 games
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Dodgers’s last 6 games when playing Cleveland

Cleveland Guardians at Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s interleague final between Cleveland and Los Angeles, the Dodgers are the betting favorite. LA pitcher Andrew Heaney will be taking the mound for the first time since April 17th but was excellent in his first two outings. On the other side, the Guardians have won 4 straight games with Shane Bieber as the starter. Led by another strong outing from Bieber, I see Cleveland picking up the win.

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