Guardians vs. Mariners Best Bet 8/25/22

by | Last updated Aug 26, 2022 | mlb

Cleveland Guardians vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Thursday August 25th, 04:10 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: YouTube

Money Line: Guardians -120 / Mariners +110 (Everygame – They just allowed us to offer our readers a 100% real cash bonus up to $500!)

Total Line: 7.5


Cleveland: Triston McKenzie (9-9, 3.11)
Seattle: Marco Gonzales (8-12, 4.08)

Guardians Projected Lineup

Andrés Giménez 2B
Austin Hedges C
Josh Naylor 1B
Oscar Gonzalez RF
Owen Miller 1B
José Ramírez 3B
Myles Straw CF
Steven Kwan LF
Amed Rosario SS
Triston McKenzie P

Mariners Projected Lineup

Cal Raleigh C
J.P. Crawford SS
Eugenio Suárez 3B
Sam Haggerty RF
Adam Frazier 2B
Jesse Winker LF
Mitch Haniger RF
Julio Rodriguez CF
Ty France 1B
Marco Gonzales P


Cleveland Guardians: 66-56-0 SU / OU 56-59-7 / Run Line W/L 66-56-0
Seattle Mariners: 67-57-0 SU / OU 60-58-6 / Run Line W/L 63-61-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Cleveland Guardians on Thursday August 25th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Cleveland as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

In Cleveland’s last game vs the San Diego, the Guardians came away with a 7-0 win. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 0 runs on 6 hits. The Guardians benefited from an offense that generated 7 runs on 13 hits. Cleveland picked up the win, despite getting 141.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Guardians and San Diego stayed below the over-under line set at 7.5 runs. So far, Cleveland has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 56-59-7.

The Guardians are looking to continue adding wins, as they are 4-1 over their last 5 games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +14. Cleveland’s offense heads into action averaging 4.6 runs per game in their last 5 contests. Similar to their season average of 4.35. So far, Cleveland has won over half of their 39 series played, going 18-11-10.

The Mariners will look to get back on track after dropping their last game by a score of 3-1 to the Nationals. For the game, the pitching staff held the Nationals to 3 runs on 9 hits. With their 5 hits, the Mariners could only plate 1 runner. Seattle dropped the game despite being favored at -310.0. So far, the team has won 63.0% of the games in which they were favored. With this result, the Mariners and Nationals combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. Seattle still has an above .500 over-under record at (60-58-6).

The Mariners come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. Despite this record, the team still has a positive run differential of +5 (last 5). Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 4.2 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.14. On the season, Seattle has won more than half of their series, going 20-16-3.

Pitching Matchup

Triston McKenzie gets the start for the Guardians, with an overall record of 9-9. Through 23 appearances, McKenzie has an ERA of just 3.11 while averaging 6.14 innings per appearance. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.200. Opponents have been able to hit for power against McKenzie, as he has HR/9 figure of 1.27. Per game, Triston McKenzie is averaging 6.0, on a strikeout percentage of 25.0%. In his previous outings, walks have been an issue, as McKenzie is averaging 2.22 free passes per outing.

Marco Gonzales gets the start for the Mariners, with an overall record of 8-12. So far, Gonzales has put together an ERA of 4.08. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.59 innings. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.28. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Gonzales, averaging 1.41 homers per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Marco Gonzales has a strong K% of 13.0%, including a per-game average of 3.12. Command has been a problem for Gonzales, as he is giving up 2.81 walks per outing.

Cleveland vs Seattle History

Today’s game between the Cleveland Guardians and Seattle Mariners is their first matchup of the year. Last year, Seattle won the season series 4-3. The average scoring margin in these games was 3.29, with an over-under record of 4-3. Last year, the two teams combined to average 7.86 runs per game.

More Picks: Get our Toronto at Boston Moneyline Bet 8/25/22

Betting Trends

  • Cleveland is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Cleveland is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games on the road
  • Seattle is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Cleveland
  • Seattle is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Cleveland

Cleveland Guardians at Seattle Mariners Prediction

Leading into Thursday’s matchup between Cleveland and Seattle, the Guardians are the slight favorite on the moneyline. Not only are the Guardians the hotter team of late, but they have Triston McKenzie on the mound, who has given up just 4 runs across his last 3 outings. This includes having to face the Toronto and Houston offenses. I see Cleveland coming away with a win over Seattle in today’s game.

Free MLB Pick: Guardians Moneyline.

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