NLCS Game 3: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview & Expert Picks

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Thursday, October 19th, 5:07 ET
Location: Chase Field
TV: TBS
Money Line: Phi -136/AZ +113 (Baseball betting odds are cheaper at BAS Sportsbook!)
Total Line: 9

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Arizona Diamondbacks and the Phillies on Thursday, October 19th at Chase Field. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Philadelphia Phillies: 90-72 SU / OU 79-80 / Runline 79-91
Arizona Diamondbacks: 84-78 SU / OU 75-86 / Runline 93-76

The Phillies head into today’s game vs. the Diamondbacks with an overall record of 90-72. This mark has them sitting 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 14 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 4-1 and have a road and home record of 41-40 and 49-32, respectively. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 30-20-4.

• The Phillies have covered the runline in nine straight games and have a season-long run margin of 0.7.
• The Phillies have been favored in 67.6% of their games and have runline records of 40-47 and 39-44 at home and on the road, respectively
• Through 162 games, the over has hit in half of the Phillies’ games at 79-80.

Heading into their game vs. the Phillies, the Diamondbacks have a record of 84-78 and have dropped four straight games. In the NL West, they are in 2nd place and have an overall series record of 32-20-3. At home, they have gone 43-38 and 41-40 on the road.

• The Diamondbacks have two straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of -0.0.
• The Diamondbacks have been favored in 43.8% of their games and have runline records of 45-37 and 48-39 at home and on the road, respectively
• So far, the Diamondbacks have an over/under record of just 75-86.

Pitching Matchup

Ranger Suárez has an overall record of 4-6, and will get the start for the Phillies. With 24 appearances, his ERA currently stands at 4.18, while his K/9 figure is 8.57. Additionally, he has a FIP of 3.90 and an OBP of .325.

Philadelphia is hoping that Ranger Suárez can help guide them to another win, as they defeated the Braves (3-1) the last time he pitched. He finished the game with one earned run on three hits across five innings.

The Diamondbacks will turn to starter Brandon Pfaadt who has an overall record of 3-9. After 21 appearances, his ERA is 5.72 and he has a K/9 figure of 8.81. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 5.18 and an OBP of .321.

Brandon Pfaadt is coming off an outing against the Dodgers in which he gave up zero runs and two hits across 4 1/3 innings. Even though he took a no-decision, the Diamondbacks won by a score of 4-2.

Phillies vs. Diamondbacks Offense Outlook

This season, the Phillies have proven to be one of the top home run hitting teams in baseball, with 220 home runs in total (7th). Currently, they are averaging 4.9 runs per game and have a collective batting average of .256. The team’s slugging percentage is .456 at home and .407 on the road.

Philadelphia Phillies Top Bats

Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

This season, Arizona has been scoring an average of 4.6 runs per game, ranking them 14th in the league. In terms of home runs, they have hit 166 long balls, placing them in the middle of the pack. Their batting average of .250 ranks 10th in the league. On the road, the Diamondbacks are 20th in batting average, compared to 8th at home.

Arizona Diamondbacks Team Hitting Stats

Arizona Diamondbacks Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Free MLB Pick

As this series shifts to Arizona for game three, the Diamondbacks are hoping to regain some of their post-season magic they had leading up to the series. However, I don’t feel good about them starting the game with Brandon Pfaadt. I’m taking the Phillies to pick up another win and like them on the moneyline.