Payback in St. Louis: Yankees vs. Cardinals Pick

by | Aug 6, 2022 | mlb

New York Yankees vs St. Louis Cardinals
Date: Saturday August 6th, 07:15 ET
Location: Busch Stadium
Money Line: Yankees -107 / Cardinals +103
Total Line: 8.0ov -120


New York: Domingo German (1-1, 6.39)
St. Louis: Jordan Montgomery (3-3, 3.69)

Yankees Projected Lineup

Aaron Hicks CF
Isiah Kiner-Falefa SS
Josh Donaldson 3B
Aaron Judge RF
Andrew Benintendi LF
Jose Trevino C
Anthony Rizzo 1B
Gleyber Torres 2B
DJ LeMahieu 3B
Domingo German P

Cardinals Projected Lineup

Lars Nootbaar RF
Yadier Molina C
Tyler O’Neill LF
Paul DeJong SS
Nolan Arenado 3B
Tommy Edman 2B
Paul Goldschmidt 1B
Dylan Carlson CF
Nolan Gorman 2B
Jordan Montgomery P


New York Yankees: 70-37-0 SU / OU 54-50-3 / Run Line W/L 51-56-0
St. Louis Cardinals: 58-48-0 SU / OU 48-54-4 / Run Line W/L 58-48-0

The St. Louis Cardinals host the New York Yankees on Saturday August 6th at Busch Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:15 ET. The MLB Odds Board at BetOnline places New York as the favorite (-107), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Yankees will look to rebound from a close, 4-3 loss to the Cardinals. New York’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 5 hits, leading to 4 runs. On offense, the Yankees finished with 3 runs on 10 hits. This defeat came despite being favored at -155.0. So far, the team has been the favorite in 99 of their games, winning at a rate of 67.0%. Together, the Yankees and Cardinals stayed below the over-under line set at 8.5 runs. However, for the season, New York still has an overall over-under record of 54-50-3.

The Yankees will be hoping to pick up a win in today’s matchup, as they have gone just 1-4 over their last 5 games. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -4. In their last 5 contests, New York is averaging 5.0 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 5.33. So far, New York has won over half of their 36 series played, going 23-8-5.

The Cardinals will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Yankees by a score of 4-3. In the win, the pitching staff allowed just 3 runs on 10 hits. The Cardinals offense ended the game with just 4 runs on 5 hits. Despite being the underdogs, getting 140.0 on the moneyline, the Cardinals still picked up the win. So far, the team has gone into 45 games as the underdog, still finding the win column at a rate of 38.0%. Combined, the Cardinals and Yankees run total fell below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 48-54-4.

The Cardinals come into the matchup looking to stay hot, going 5-0 over their last five contests. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +18. St. Louis is still playing winning baseball, even with their offense averaging just 5.2 runs per game, compared to a season-long mark of 4.64. On the season, St. Louis has won more than half of their series, going 16-9-8.

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Pitching Matchup

New York will roll with Domingo German (1-1) as their starter. So far, German has put together an ERA of 6.39. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 4.07 innings. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed, currently sitting at 0.304. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against German, averaging 2.95 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, German has a strikeout percentage of just 16.0% and a per game average of 3.33. Throughout the season, German has avoided walking batters, allowing just 4.26 per contest.

The St. Louis Cardinals will send Jordan Montgomery to the mound with an overall record of 3-3. Montgomery gets the start with an ERA of 3.69. On average, he has lasted 5.44 innings per appearance. So far, Montgomery has a batting average allowed of 0.236. Home runs have been an issue for Montgomery, as he is allowing an average of 1.18 per 9 innings pitched. Per game, Jordan Montgomery is averaging 4.62, on a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. Montgomery comes into the game hoping to improve his walk numbers, as he is averaging 1.81 free passes per outing.

New York vs St. Louis History

For the season, the New York Yankees and St. Louis Cardinals will be playing their 2nd game of the season. St. Louis holds the edge in the series at 1-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 0-1.

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Betting Trends

  • NY Yankees is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing St. Louis
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games
  • St. Louis is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
  • St. Louis is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games

New York Yankees at St. Louis Cardinals Prediction

Heading into Saturday’s matchup between New York and St. Louis, the Yankees have the slight edge on the moneyline. Look for former Yankee, Jordan Montgomery to struggle vs his old team, as he has given up 9 earned runs over his last 6 1/3 innings. I recommend taking New York on the moneyline.

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