Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves ML Pick

by | Last updated Sep 19, 2023 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
Date: Monday, September 18th, 7:20 ET
Location: Truist Park
TV: BSSO
Money Line: Phils -103/Atl -117 (STOP overpaying for odds! Bet at reduced odds at BAS!)
Total Line: 9.5

Betting Preview

Here’s our betting preview for the upcoming MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Phillies on Monday, September 18th at Truist Park. We provide you with a comprehensive analysis, odds, and predictions to help with your handicapping decision or tail our expert based on the projected lineups and listed starting pitchers.

Betting Odds

ML RL Total
PHI -103 -1.5 O 9.5 (-106)
ATL -117 +1.5 U 9.5 (-115)

Phillies vs. Braves Projected Lineup

 

Batting Order Position
Kyle Schwarber 1 DH
Trea Turner 2 SS
Bryce Harper 3 1B
Nick Castellanos 4 RF
Bryson Stott 5 2B
Alec Bohm 6 3B
J.T. Realmuto 7 C
Brandon Marsh 8 CF
Jake Cave 9 LF
Zack Wheeler SP

 

Batting Order Position
Ronald Acuña Jr. 1 RF
Ozzie Albies 2 2B
Austin Riley 3 3B
Matt Olson 4 1B
Marcell Ozuna 5 DH
Eddie Rosario 6 LF
Travis d’Arnaud 7 C
Orlando Arcia 8 SS
Michael Harris II 9 CF
Kyle Wright SP

 

Straight Up/Over-Under/ Runline Record

Philadelphia Phillies: 81-68 SU / OU 68-72 / Runline 66-83
Atlanta Braves: 96-53 SU / OU 83-62 / Runline 78-71

Heading into today’s action, the Phillies’ record of 81-68 has them sitting 2nd in the NL East. Currently, they are 15 games out of the division lead. Over their last five games, they are 2-3 and have a road and home record of 38-37 and 43-31, respectively. Philadelphia’s overall series record sits at 25-19-3.

 

  • The Phillies have covered the runline in 44.3% of their games and have an average run margin of 0.5
  • The Phillies have been favored in 68.5% of their games and have runline records of 32-42 and 34-41 at home and on the road, respectively
  • So far, the Phillies have an over/under record of just 68-72.

Against the Phillies, the Braves are looking to shake a three game losing streak. Yet, their record of 96-53 is stil good for 1st in the NL East. At home, Atlanta has gone 47-25 and 49-28 on the road. So far, their overall series record is 34-10-3.

 

  • The Braves have three straight losses vs. the runline and have a season-long run margin of 1.5.
  • The Braves have been favored in 90.6% of their games and have runline records of 37-35 and 41-36 at home and on the road, respectively
  • The over has hit in 57% of the Braves’ 149 games at 83-62.

Pitching Matchup

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Zack Wheeler 29 29 175 11-6 3.70 1.07 19


The Phillies will turn to starter Zack Wheeler who has an overall record of 11-6. After 29 appearances, his ERA is 3.70 and he has a K/9 figure of 10.08. Also, he has compiled a FIP of 3.17 and an OBP of .271.

In his last appearance, Zack Wheeler lasted five innings in the Phillies’ 7-6 loss to the Braves. Individually, Wheeler finished with a no-decision while giving up six runs on seven hits.

Pitcher Appearances Started IP Record ERA WHIP HR
Kyle Wright 6 6 21 0-2 7.48 1.89 2


Entering with a record of 0-2, Kyle Wright is making his 7th appearance of the season. So far, he has an ERA of 7.48 on a batting average allowed of .299. On the road, he is 0-1 with a 11.56 ERA and 0-1 at home on an ERA of 5.80. For the season, teams have a slugging percentage of .433 against him.

Kyle Wright will look to bounce back from a short outing against the Phillies. In the Braves’ 7-5 loss, Wright gave up six runs in three innings of work.

Phillies vs. Braves Offense Outlook

The Phillies have played 150 games this season and currently hold a 9th position in the league with an average of 4.9 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 198 times, putting Philadelphia 9th in the league. Their batting average stands at .259, including .244 on the road and .258 at home.

Philadelphia Phillies Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Phillies 150 4.9 (9th) 198 (9th) .259 (5th) .330 (5th) .330 (5th)


Philadelphia Phillies Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Nick Castellanos .354 5 2 1 .541
Alec Bohm .375 6 2 1 .562
Kyle Schwarber .113 2 2 1 .325
Johan Rojas .417 5 1 0 .562
Bryson Stott .250 4 2 0 .250


The Braves have played 150 games this season and currently hold a 1st position in the league with an average of 5.8 runs per game. In terms of home runs, they have gone deep 288 times, putting Atlanta 1st in the league. Their batting average stands at .275, including .260 on the road and .275 at home.

Atlanta Braves Team Hitting Stats

Team Games Runs HR BA OBP SLG
Braves 150 5.8 (1st) 288 (1st) .275 (1st) .343 (1st) .343 (1st)


Atlanta Braves Top Hitters: Last Five Games

Player BA H R HR SLG
Austin Riley .367 6 3 2 .817
Ozzie Albies .375 7 2 1 .688
Michael Harris II .338 6 3 2 .725
Ronald Acuña Jr. .633 5 3 0 .633
Marcell Ozuna .188 3 2 1 .438


Free MLB Pick

Take the Phillies +100

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