Phillies vs. Mariners Best Bet 5/9/22

by | May 9, 2022 | mlb

Philadelphia Phillies vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Monday, May 9th, 09:40 ET

Location: T-Mobile Park

TV: ROOTNW

Money Line: Phillies +100 / Mariners -120 (Everygame - Get a 200% bonus! Sign up through our special link, deposit $25, go to their special promotions page and enter bonus code ROOKIE200 and they’ll give you a FREE $50 to bet with!)

Total Line: 7.5

STARTING PITCHING

Philadelphia: Ranger Suarez (2-1, 4.63)
Seattle: Chris Flexen (1-4, 3.1)

Key Injuries

Philadelphia Phillies
Zack Wheeler: Illness (COVID-19 IL)
Zach Eflin: Illness (COVID-19 IL)
Didi Gregorius: Knee (10-DAY IL)
Ryan Sherriff: Shoulder (60-DAY IL)
Sam Coonrod: Shoulder (60-DAY IL)
Mickey Moniak: Hand (10-DAY IL)
Rafael Alejandro Marchan: Hamstring (60-DAY IL)
Kent Emanuel: Elbow (60-DAY IL)
JoJo Romero: Elbow (60-DAY IL)

Seattle Mariners
Ken Giles: Finger (60-DAY IL)
J.P. Crawford: Back (QUESTIONABLE)
Tom Murphy: Shoulder (10-DAY IL)
Matthew Festa: Elbow (15-DAY IL)
Kyle Lewis: Knee (10-DAY IL)
Sergio Romo: Shoulder (10-DAY IL)
Mitch Haniger: Ankle (10-DAY IL)
Evan White: Groin (60-DAY IL)
Casey Sadler: Shoulder (60-DAY IL)

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Philadelphia Phillies: 12-16-0 SU / OU 13-13-2 / Run Line W/L 12-16-0
Seattle Mariners: 13-16-0 SU / OU 14-14-1 / Run Line W/L 15-14-0

The Seattle Mariners host the Philadelphia Phillies on Monday, May 9th at T-Mobile Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 09:40 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Seattle as the favorite (-120), with an OU line set at 7.5.

Recent Form

The Phillies come into this matchup having suffered a 5 run loss to the Mets (6-1). In the loss, Philadelphia’s pitchers gave up 6 runs on 6 hits. Offensively, they finished with just 1 run on 11 hits. Philadelphia’s loss came as the underdog, getting 130.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Phillies and Mets fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.0 runs. After the game, Philadelphia’s dropped back to an over-under record of 13-13-2.

Over the Phillies’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 1-4. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -8. A key reason for Philadelphia’s recent struggles is an offense averaging just 3.2 runs per game over their last 5 contests, compared to a season average 4.36. Philadelphia’s overall series record is just 2-7-0.

The Mariners are coming off a tight 2-1 win over the Rays. For the game, the pitching staff held the Rays to 1 runs on 5 hits. With their 8 hits, the Mariners could only muster 2 runs. Seattle picked up the win while being favored at -111.0. So far, the team has won 67.0% of their games in which they were favored. With this result, the Mariners and Rays combined to fall below the over-under line of 7.5 runs. With this outcome, the team’s over-under record drops back to even at 14-14-1.

The Reds come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 2-3 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -11. Despite their struggles in the win column, the offense has averaged 6.0 runs over their last 5 games. This is an improvement over their season-long mark of 3.57. Seattle has a below .500 series record of just 3-5-1.

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Pitching Matchup

For the Phillies, Ranger Suarez gets the start. Heading into action, he has a record of 2-1. To date, Suarez has an ERA of 4.63 while lasting an average of 4.62 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.295. In addition to a high a batting average allowed, opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Suarez, averaging 1.56 homers per 9 innings pitched. Up to this point, Suarez has a strikeout percentage of just 14% and a per game average of 3.0. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 3.86 walks per outing.

Seattle will send Chris Flexen to the mound with a record of 1-4. Flexen comes into this game with an ERA of 3.1. So far, he is averaging 5.8 innings per outing. Opposing teams have been able to string together hit against Flexen, with a batting average allowed of 0.231. Overall, Flexen is allowing 0.93 homers per 9 innings pitched. Heading into today’s action, Chris Flexen has yet to find his groove with strikeouts, averaging just 3.4 K’s per outing. Throughout the season, his strong command has led to an average of just 2.79 walks per contest.

Philadelphia vs Seattle History

Today’s matchup between the Philadelphia Phillies and Seattle Mariners will be their first meeting of the season.

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Betting Trends

  • Phillies are 5-2 in their last 7 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Phillies are 6-16 in their last 22 vs. American League West.
  • Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
  • Mariners are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing record.

Philadelphia Phillies at Seattle Mariners Prediction

In this interleague matchup between Seattle and Philadelphia, I like the Phillies to pick up the win, as their offense has been good against right-handed pitching, posting the 4th best slugging percentage. On the other side, the Mariners have struggled vs lefties, ranking 19th in runs per at bat.

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MLB Betting Guide

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