Pirates vs. Yankees Runline Wager 9/21/22

by | Last updated Sep 21, 2022 | mlb

Pittsburgh Pirates vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday September 21st, 07:05 ET

Location: Yankee Stadium

TV: ATT SportsNet-PIT

Money Line: Pirates +240 / Yankees -300 (MLB Dimelines – If you’re not betting with a dimeline, you’re wasting money!)

Total Line: 8


Pittsburgh: Roansy Contreras (5-4, 3.24)
New York: Luis Severino (5-3, 3.45)


Pittsburgh Pirates: 55-93-0 SU / OU 66-72-10 / Run Line W/L 74-74-0
New York Yankees: 89-58-0 SU / OU 70-73-4 / Run Line W/L 64-83-0

The New York Yankees host the Pittsburgh Pirates on Wednesday September 21st at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places New York as the favorite (-300), with an OU line set at 8 runs.

Recent Form

The Pirates will look to rebound from a close, 9-8 loss to the NY Yankees. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff finished the game by allowing 11 hits, leading to 9 runs. On offense, the Pirates’ 10 hits and 8 runs ended up not being enough to pull out the win. Pittsburgh’s loss came as the underdog, getting 260.0 on the moneyline. This game went over the posted over-under line of 8.0 runs. Games involving the Pirates have stayed below the over-under line more than half of the time, at 66-72-10.

In their last 5 games, the Pirates are below .500, at 0-5. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -16. During this stretch, the offense is averaging 3.2 runs per game, similar to their season-long average of 3.59. Pittsburgh’s overall series record is just 10-31-7.

The Yankees will look to add another win, as in their last game, they defeated the Pirates by a score of 9-8. In the game, the team’s pitching staff allowed a total of 10 hits, leading to 8 runs. In the victory, the Yankees came up with 11 hits and 9 runs. New York picked up the win while being favored at -320.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 134 games, winning at a rate of 63.0%. In terms of the over-under, the Yankees and Pirates combined to surpass the line of 8.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 70-73-4.

In their last 5 games, the Yankees have put together a record of 3-2. Their recent success is backed by an average scoring margin of +3 (last 5). Overall, the Yankees are averaging 5.01 runs per contest. But, over their last 5 outings, they have been scoring at a clip of 6.6 runs per contest. On the season, New York has won more than half of their series, going 28-15-6.

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Pitching Matchup

Pittsburgh will roll with Roansy Contreras (5-4) as their starter. Currently, Contreras has an ERA of just 3.24 while pitching an average of 4.62 innings per outing. So far, batters are hitting just 0.219 against him. Contreras is giving up home runs at a rate similar to the league average, allowing 1.08 per 9 innings. On the season, Roansy Contreras has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 21.0%. This includes a per game average of 4.11 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Contreras, as he is giving up 3.78 walks per outing.

New York will roll with Luis Severino (5-3) as their starter. Severino gets the start with an ERA of 3.45. On average, he has lasted 5.38 innings per appearance. Severino will take the mound with a BA allowed of 0.211. Despite a strong batting average allowed, Severino is prone to giving up home runs, averaging 1.47 homers per 9 innings pitched. On the season, Luis Severino has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 27.0%. This has led to an average of 5.94 K’s per game. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 2.62 walks per outing.

Pittsburgh vs New York History

Today’s matchup between the Pittsburgh Pirates and New York Yankees will be their 4th meeting of the season. New York holds the edge in the series at 2-1. The over-under record in this series sits at 2-1. The average run total in these games is nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 6.67 runs.

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Betting Trends

  • Pittsburgh is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing NY Yankees
  • The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Pittsburgh’s last 9 games when playing NY Yankees
  • NY Yankees is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
  • The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees’s last 6 games at home

Pittsburgh Pirates at New York Yankees Prediction

Heading into Wednesday’s matchup between Pittsburgh and New York, the Yankees are the heavy favorite on the moneyline. Even though Roansy Contreras has been pitching well for the Pirates, he is facing a tough New York lineup and hasn’t been working deep into games. I like the Yankees on the runline.

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