Red Sox vs. Astros Moneyline Bet 8/1/22

by | Last updated Aug 1, 2022 | mlb

Boston Red Sox vs Houston Astros
Date: Monday August 1st, 08:10 ET
Location: Minute Maid Park
Money Line: Red Sox +145 / Astros -177
Total Line: 8.0
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Boston: Nathan Eovaldi (4-3, 4.32)
Houston: Luis Garcia (8-6, 3.71)

Red Sox Projected Lineup

Christian Arroyo 2B
Bobby Dalbec 3B
Christian Vázquez C
Jackie Bradley Jr. RF
Franchy Cordero 1B
Xander Bogaerts SS
J.D. Martinez LF
Jarren Duran CF
Alex Verdugo LF
Nathan Eovaldi P

Astros Projected Lineup

Aledmys Díaz LF
Jake Meyers LF
Kyle Tucker RF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Jeremy Peña SS
Luis Garcia P


Boston Red Sox: 51-52-0 SU / OU 47-49-7 / Run Line W/L 53-50-0
Houston Astros: 67-36-0 SU / OU 38-62-3 / Run Line W/L 53-50-0

The Houston Astros host the Boston Red Sox on Monday, August 1st at Minute Maid Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 08:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-177), with an OU line set at 8.0.

Recent Form

The Boston Red Sox will look to pick up another big win after they defeated the Brewers by a score of 7-2. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 2 runs on 11 hits. The Red Sox lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up with 11 hits, leading to 7 runs. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 122.0 on the moneyline. x Together, the Red Sox and Brewers stayed below the over-under line set at 9.5 runs. So far, Boston has been a good candidate to fall below the betting line, as their over-under record sits at just 47-49-7.

In their last 5 games, the Red Sox are below .500, at 2-3. This mark has come on an average run margin of just -2. In their last 5 contests, Boston is averaging 4.4 runs per game, right in line with their season average of 4.54. Boston’s overall series record is just 12-15-5.

In their last game, the Astros picked up a close win over the Mariners by a score of 3-2. For the game, the pitching staff held the Mariners to 2 runs on 4 hits. With their 6 hits, the Astros could only muster 3 runs. In the game, Houston was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -145.0. So far, the team has won 68.0% of the games in which they were favored. Combined, the Astros and Mariners’ run total fell below the over-under line of 8.0 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 38-62-3.

In their last 5 games, the Astros have put together a record of 3-2. During this time, the team’s run differential sits at +10. Houston has benefited from strong pitching, as their offense has slipped in their last 5 games, averaging just 4.8 runs per game. Their overall average sits at 4.48. On the season, Houston has won more than half of their series, going 22-10-2.


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Pitching Matchup

Nathan Eovaldi gets the start for the Red Sox, with an overall record of 4-3. To date, Eovaldi has an ERA of 4.32 while lasting an average of 5.41 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.268. Home runs have been an issue for Eovaldi, as he is allowing an average of 2.0 per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Nathan Eovaldi has a strong strikeout percentage of 23.0%, including a per-game average of 5.33. Throughout the season, Eovaldi has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.55 per contest.

Houston will roll with Luis Garcia (8-6) as their starter. To date, Garcia has an ERA of 3.71 while lasting an average of 5.51 innings per appearance. Across his previous outings, opponents are batting 0.203 against Garcia. This year, home runs have been an issue for Garcia. So far, he has allowed 1.54 per 9 innings. On the season, Luis Garcia has had no problem racking up strikeouts, posting a strikeout percentage of 26.0%. This has led to an average of 5.94 K’s per game. Command has been a problem for Garcia, as he is giving up 2.81 walks per outing.

Boston vs Houston History

For the season, the Boston Red Sox and Houston Astros will be playing their 4th game of the season. So far, Boston is leading the season series, 2-1. Through 3 games, the series’ over-under record is 1-2, with the average run total sitting at 10.08 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.33 runs. Houston won last year’s head to head series, grabbing 9 wins to 4. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 8-5, with the average run total being 10.08 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 5.15 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • Boston is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Houston
  • The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston’s last 5 games on the road
  • Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
  • The total has gone OVER in 8 of Houston’s last 11 games when playing Boston

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros Prediction

In Monday’s American League matchup between Boston and Houston, the Astros are the favorite on the moneyline. Even though Houston starter Luis Garcia took the loss in his last outing, I expect him to help carry the Astros to a win over the Red Sox. Boston salvaged 1 win in their series vs Milwaukee, but as a whole, aren’t playing good baseball. I like Houston on the moneyline.

Free MLB Pick: Astros Moneyline

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