Rockies vs. Diamondbacks Picks & Predictions

by | Jul 10, 2022 | mlb

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Sunday, July 10th, 04:10 ET

Location: Chase Field

TV: ATT SportsNet-RM

Money Line: Rockies -115 / Diamondbacks -105 (GTBets - You can score a 100% bonus up to $500 there!)

Total Line: 9.0

STARTING PITCHING

Colorado: Germán Márquez (4-7, 5.9)
Arizona: Tyler Gilbert (0-3, 6.86)

Rockies Projected Lineup

Ryan McMahon 3B
José Iglesias SS
Brendan Rodgers 2B
Randal Grichuk RF
Connor Joe 1B
Elias Díaz C
Kris Bryant LF
C.J. Cron 1B
Charlie Blackmon RF
Germán Márquez P

Diamondbacks Projected Lineup

Carson Kelly C
Buddy Kennedy 2B
David Peralta LF
Daulton Varsho CF
Josh Rojas 3B
Geraldo Perdomo SS
Ketel Marte 2B
Christian Walker 1B
Alek Thomas CF
Tyler Gilbert P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Colorado Rockies: 37-48-0 SU / OU 41-38-6 / Run Line W/L 43-42-0
Arizona Diamondbacks: 38-47-0 SU / OU 39-43-3 / Run Line W/L 47-38-0

The Arizona Diamondbacks host the Colorado Rockies on Sunday, July 10th at Chase Field. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 04:10 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Colorado as the favorite (-115), with an OU line set at 9.0.

Recent Form

The Rockies will look to bounce back from a tough loss to the Diamondbacks by the score of 9-2. In the loss, Colorado’s pitchers gave up 9 runs on 12 hits. On offense, the Rockies finished with 2 runs on 7 hits. The loss came as Colorado was the betting underdog, getting 115.0 on the moneyline. Together, the Rockies and Diamondbacks combined to surpass the over-under betting line set at 9.0 runs. This result is part of a larger trend, as Colorado has had the over hit in more than half of their games (41-38-6).

Over the Rockies’ last 5 contests, they have a record of just 2-3. In this rough stretch of games, the team’s run differential comes in at -9. On offense, Colorado’s offense has experienced a dip in production, averaging 3.0 runs per game over their last 5 contests. Colorado’s overall series record is just 12-13-2.

The Arizona Diamondbacks are coming off a big win over the Rockies by a score of 9-2. For the game, the pitching staff held the Rockies to 2 runs on 7 hits. At the plate, the Diamondbacks scored 9 times on 12 hits. In the game, Arizona was able to take care of business as they were the favorite at -125.0. So far, the team has won 46.0% of the games in which they were favored. The Diamondbacks and Rockies went over the run total line set at 9.0 runs. On the season, the team has an over-under record of just 39-43-3.

In their last 5 contests, the Diamondbacks have just 2 wins, going 2-3. Even though Arizona has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (+7). Their recent record comes while the offense has picked up its play, averaging 5.6 runs over their last 5 game, compared to their overall figure of 4.29. Arizona has a below .500 series record of just 9-13-5.

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Pitching Matchup

Colorado will roll with Germán Márquez (4-7) as their starter. So far, Márquez has put together an ERA of 5.9. In his appearances leading up to today, he has lasted an average of 5.62 innings. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.287. Home runs have been an issue for Márquez, as he is allowing an average of 1.7 per 9 innings pitched. In terms of strikeouts, Germán Márquez has a strong strikeout percentage of 19.0%, including a per game average of 4.81. Command has been a problem for Márquez, as he is giving up 3.5 walks per outing.

Arizona will roll with Tyler Gilbert (0-3) as their starter. To date, Gilbert has an ERA of 6.86 while lasting an average of 3.84 innings per appearance. Compared to other starters, the right-hander has a high BA allowed of 0.276. Opposing batters have been able to drive the ball with power against Gilbert, averaging 3.28 homers per 9 innings pitched. Gilbert is in the bottom half of the league in strikeouts, averaging just 3.2 K’s per game. This includes a strikeout percentage of 18.0%. Leading into the game, he has shown a strong command of his pitches, averaging just 3.2 walks per contest.

Colorado vs Arizona History

Today’s matchup between the Colorado Rockies and Arizona Diamondbacks will be their 10th meeting of the season. So far, Colorado is leading the season series, 5-4. The over-under record in this series sits at 4-4. The average run total in these games is 11.16 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 3.33 runs. Going back to last year, Colorado won the season series, 10 games to 9. The over-under record in last year’s matchups was 11-7, with the average run total being 11.16 runs per game. The average scoring differential in this series was 3.89 runs per game.

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Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado’s last 5 games when playing on the road against Arizona
  • Colorado is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Arizona
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona’s last 5 games when playing at home against Colorado
  • Arizona is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Colorado

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction

Heading into Sunday’s NL West matchup between Colorado and Arizona, look for be plenty of scoring to go around. German Marquez takes the mound with a WHIP sitting at 1.53, while Tyler Gilbert has also had his problems in his limited outings. With an over-under line set at 9 runs, I recommend grabbing the over.

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