Royals vs. Blue Jays Runline Pick 7/15/22

by | Jul 15, 2022 | mlb

Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, July 15th, 07:07 ET

Location: Rogers Centre

TV: Bally Sports Kansas City

Money Line: Royals +265 / Blue Jays -335 (GTBets - Offers Predictem readers a SPECIAL 100% real cash bonus up to $500!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Kansas City: Zack Greinke (3-5, 4.52)
Toronto: Alek Manoah (9-4, 2.34)

Royals Projected Lineup

Dairon Blanco CF
Brewer Hicklen LF
Emmanuel Rivera 3B
Edward Olivares RF
Ryan O’Hearn 1B
Sebastian Rivero C
Bobby Witt Jr. SS
Vinnie Pasquantino 1B
Nicky Lopez 2B
Zack Greinke P

Blue Jays Projected Lineup

Matt Chapman 3B
Santiago Espinal 2B
Teoscar Hernández RF
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. LF
Danny Jansen C
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 1B
Alejandro Kirk C
George Springer CF
Bo Bichette SS
Alek Manoah P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Kansas City Royals: 36-53-0 SU / OU 43-42-4 / Run Line W/L 40-49-0
Toronto Blue Jays: 47-43-0 SU / OU 48-41-1 / Run Line W/L 37-53-0

The Toronto Blue Jays host the Kansas City Royals on Friday, July 15th at Rogers Centre. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:07 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Toronto as the favorite (-335), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

Heading into today’s game, Kansas City will be looking to tack on another win after taking down the Blue Jays by the score of 3-1. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 7 hits. The team was able to pick up the win despite scoring just 3 runs on their 12 hits. This victory came despite being the betting underdog, getting 325.0 on the moneyline. Combined, the Royals and Blue Jays fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.5 runs. Even after this game, Kansas City’s overall over-under record sits at 43-42-4.

In the Royals’ last 5 games, they are above .500, going 4-1. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of +9. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 4.6 runs per game, compared to their season average of 3.94. Kansas City’s overall series record is just 9-17-3.

In Toronto’s last outing, they fell by a score of 3-1 to the Royals. For the game, the pitching staff held the Royals to 3 runs on 12 hits. The Blue Jays’ offense ended the game with just 1 run on 7 hits. Toronto dropped the game despite being favored at -425.0. For the season, the team has been favored in 71 games, winning at a rate of 55%. With this result, the Blue Jays and Royals combined to fall below the over-under line of 8.5 runs. Toronto still has an above .500 over-under record at (48-41-1).

In their last 5 contests, the Blue Jays have just 2 wins, going 2-3. Even though Toronto has notched just 2 in their last 5 games, they still have a positive run differential in this stretch (+3). Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 3.8 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.56. On the season, Toronto has won more than half of their series, going 14-12-3.

Pitching Matchup

Kansas City will roll with Zack Greinke (3-5) as their starter. To date, Greinke has an ERA of 4.52 while lasting an average of 5.23 innings per appearance. Opposing teams have hit the ball well against the right-hander, with a batting average of 0.276. Home runs have been an issue for Greinke, as he is allowing an average of 1.23 per 9 innings pitched. Greinke has had trouble generating strikeouts, averaging just 2.79 K’s per game on a K rate of 12.0%. Throughout the season, Greinke has avoided walking batters, allowing just 1.71 per contest.

Toronto will roll with Alek Manoah (9-4) as their starter. In his previous outings, Manoah has lasted an average of 6.31 innings, putting together an ERA of just 2.34. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.208. Per 9 innings pitched, Manoah is giving up 0.84 home runs. In terms of strikeouts, Alek Manoah has a strong K% of 23.0%, including a per game average of 5.71. Command has been a problem for Manoah, as he is giving up 2.09 walks per outing.

Kansas City vs Toronto History

For the season, the Kansas City Royals and Toronto Blue Jays will be playing their 5th game of the season. Today’s game will be a rubber match for the two teams, as Kansas City and Toronto each have 2 wins. The over-under record in this series sits at 1-3. The average run total in these games is 6.43 runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.25 runs. Dating back to last season, Toronto picked up 4 wins compared to 3, taking the season series. In these 7 meetings, the two teams combined for an over-under record of 1-5. Last year, the Royals and Blue Jays averaged 6.43 runs per game. On average, the winning team won by a margin of 2.71 runs per contest.

More Picks: Get our Dodgers vs. Angels free pick 7/15/22

Betting Trends

  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City’s last 6 games when playing Toronto
  • Kansas City is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Toronto’s last 6 games when playing Kansas City
  • Toronto is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against Kansas City

Kansas City Royals at Toronto Blue Jays Prediction

Heading into Friday’s matchup between Kansas City and Toronto, the Blue Jays are once again the heavy favorites on the moneyline. However, like yesterday’s game, I expect the Royals to put up more of a fight than expected. Toronto has now lost 3 straight games with Alek Manoah on the mound. I recommend taking the Royals on the runline.

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