Total Bet: Astros vs. Nationals 5/14/22

by | May 14, 2022 | mlb

Houston Astros vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, May 14th, 07:05 ET

Location: Nationals Park

TV: ATT SportsNet-SW

Money Line: Astros -165 / Nationals +139 (GTBets - We have a special deal with them where they’ll give you a 100% real cash bonus up to $500!)

Total Line: 8.5

STARTING PITCHING

Houston: Cristian Javier (2-0, 0.83)
Washington: Erick Fedde (2-2, 3.9)

Astros Projected Lineup

Jeremy Peña SS
Chas McCormick LF
Yuli Gurriel 1B
Kyle Tucker RF
Alex Bregman 3B
Martín Maldonado C
Yordan Alvarez LF
Jose Altuve 2B
Michael Brantley LF
Cristian Javier P

Nationals Projected Lineup

Maikel Franco 3B
Victor Robles CF
Yadiel Hernandez LF
Juan Soto RF
Keibert Ruiz C
Alcides Escobar 2B
Josh Bell 1B
Nelson Cruz CF
César Hernández 2B
Erick Fedde P

STRAIGHT UP/ OVER/UNDER / RUN LINE RECORDS

Houston Astros: 21-11-0 SU / OU 9-24-0 / Run Line W/L 18-15-0
Washington Nationals: 11-22-0 SU / OU 14-17-3 / Run Line W/L 13-21-0

The Washington Nationals host the Houston Astros on Saturday, May 14th at Nationals Park. The first pitch in this matchup is scheduled for 07:05 ET. The MLB Odds Board places Houston as the favorite (-165), with an OU line set at 8.5.

Recent Form

The Houston Astros will look to pick up another big win after they defeated Washington by a score of 6-1. On their way to the victory, the pitching staff gave up 1 run on 8 hits. The Astros lineup had a good night at the plate, coming up 7 hits, leading to 6 runs. Heading into this game, Houston was the betting favorite, at -155.0. Through 26 games as the favorite, the team has found the win column at a rate of 73.0%. Combined, the Astros and Washington fell short of the over-under betting line of 8.5 runs. With this result, Houston’s over-under record dropped even further, moving to just 9-24-0.

The Astros come into this game having won all 5 of their recent games. During this time, they have an average scoring differential of 28. A key to their recent success has been an offense averaging 6.4 runs per game, compared to their season average at 4.15. So far, Houston has won over half of their 11 series played, going 6-4-1.

Washington will be looking to move on from a tough loss to the Astros by the score of 6-1. Washington’s pitching staff gave up 7 hits, leading to 6 runs for the Astros. The National’s offense ended the game with just 1 run on 8 hits. This loss came as no surprise, as Washington came into the game as the underdog, getting 130.0. In their 28 games as the underdog, their straight-up win percentage sits at 32.0%. Combined, the Nationals and the Astros’ run total fell below the OU line of 8.5 runs. This result comes as no surprise, as the team’s over-under record is just 14-17-3.

The Nationals come into today’s game looking to turn things around, as they are just 1-4 over their last 5 games. During this time, the team has a run differential of -6. Even with their recent struggles, the offense has been steady, averaging 3.2 runs per game. This is right in line with their season average of 4.03. Washington has a below .500 series record of just 2-8-1.

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Pitching Matchup

Cristian Javier gets the start for the Astros, with an overall record of 2-0. In his previous outings, Javier is lasting an average of 3.53 innings, putting together an ERA of just 0.83. Hits have been hard to come by against the right-hander, as his batting average allowed is just 0.153. Home runs have also not been an issue for Javier, as he is giving up just 0.42 per 9. Javier has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 31.0% and a per-game average of 4.16. Throughout the season, Javier has avoided walking batters, allowing just 2.49 per contest.

Erick Fedde gets the start for the Nationals, with an overall record of 2-2. To date, Fedde has an ERA of 3.9 while lasting an average of 5.0 innings per appearance. Teams have been able to rack up runs against him, as he has a batting average allowed of 0.246. Opposing batters are hitting for power at a below-average rate against Fedde, as he is allowing just 0.9 per 9 innings. Fedde has accumulated a strikeout percentage of 20.0% and a per-game average of 4.33. For the season, he has struggled with command averaging 4.5 walks per outing.

Houston vs Washington History

Today’s matchup between the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals will be their 1st meeting of the season. Houston has the lead in the series at 1-0. The over-under record in this series sits at 0-1. The average run total in these games is nan runs per game. In these matchups, the average scoring differential sits at 5.0 runs.

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Betting Trends

  • Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
  • Houston is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington’s last 6 games at home
  • Washington is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games when playing Houston

Houston Astros at Washington Nationals Prediction

It’s been a limited sample size for Astros starter Cristian Javier, but in his 2 starts, he has been excellent. On the other side, Erick Fedde has been solid in his 6 starts. But, look for Houston’s lineup to have a good night against the Nationals’ starter. However, instead of taking Houston to pick up the win, I see more value in taking the over at 8.5 runs. As of late, the Astros have found their groove at the plate, helping the team go undefeated over their last 10 games.

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