Bulls vs. Raptors Point Spread Pick 2/28/23

by | Last updated Feb 28, 2023 | nba

Chicago Bulls (28-33 SU, 31-30-0 ATS) vs. Toronto Raptors (30-32 SU, 30-32-0 ATS)

When: Tuesday, February 28th, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Scotiabank Arena, ON, Toronto

TV: NBCS

Point Spread: Chi +4.5/Tor -4.5 (Bet the game for FREE by using one of our sportsbook promo codes!)

Total: 220.0

Money Line: Chicago Bulls +165/-200

Notable Injuries

Bulls

  • Goran Dragic (Out) Knee
  • Lonzo Ball (Out) Knee
  • Javonte Green (Out) Knee

Raptors

  • Otto Porter Jr. (Out) Foot

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Chicago is 28-33 overall. When taking to the road, Chicago has a mark of 10-20 and a win percentage of 33%. Currently, the team is 11th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 31-30-0 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Toronto, the Chicago Bulls have won 2 straight games and will look to push that mark to 3 in a row.

In their previous game, the Chicago team emerged victorious against the Wizards, winning by a margin of 5 points as predicted. DeMar DeRozan shone for the Bulls, scoring 29 points on a shooting percentage of 73.3%. The Bulls not only won the game but also successfully covered the spread.

Heading into the game, Toronto is 30-32 overall. When playing at home, Toronto has a mark of 19-13 and a win percentage of 59%. Currently, the team is 9th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 30-32-0 vs. the spread. In Toronto’s last five games, the Raptors have a straight-up record of 4-1 while going 2-3 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 7-3 and 4-6 ATS.

Toronto most recently lost to the Cavaliers by a score of 118-93. The team high 25 points from Pascal Siakam was not enough to come home with the win. The Raptors were 7-point favorites going into the game.

The Historicals

In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the Raptors picked up the 113-104 win over the Bulls. The Raptors’ margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 4.0 point favorite. So far, the two teams have split their season series, with each team at 1-1. In terms of betting, Chicago has an ATS record of 3-2 in the previous five matchups vs. Toronto. This mark has come on an average scoring margin of +3 points per game in favor of the Bulls. A combined average of 219 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

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Analysis

This year, the Chicago offense is not only near the NBA average in points at 113.2 points per game, but they are also playing at a pace similar to the league average. So far, the Bulls are ranked 15th in possessions per contest. Chicago comes into the game ranked just 30th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.9% of their shots from deep, which places them 30th in the NBA. On defense, the Bulls are allowing an average of 112.0 points per game, placing them 17th in the league. So far, teams have shot 36.4% on their looks from outside vs. Chicago. This figure places them 23rd in 3-point shooting defense.

DeMar DeRozan is the top scorer for Chicago, averaging 25.3 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 51.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Zach LaVine, with an average of 24.2 points per game.

This season, Toronto is averaging just 112.7 points per game, which places them 23rd in the league. A major reason for these low numbers is the fact that they play at one of the slower paces in the NBA at just 97.5 possessions per game. Toronto has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 27th in 3-point shooting percentage at 33.5%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 32.1 attempts per contest. Defensively, the Raptors have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.1 points per game. So far, they have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 35.34%, placing them 17th in the NBA.

Going into today’s game, Pascal Siakam is the leading scorer for the Toronto team with an average of 25.3 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 47.9%. The team’s second top scorer is Fred VanVleet, who is averaging 19.7 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Bulls are 13-4-1 ATS in their last 18 games following a straight-up win.
  • The Bulls are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing straight-up record.
  • The Raptors are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • The Raptors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Chicago Bulls are getting a bit much respect at +5 after losing eight of their last nine road games. Meanwhile, the Toronto Raptors are starting to gel, as they’ve won seven out of their last nine games. I’m laying the points with the Raptors! Bet this game and ALL your sports bets at discounted odds