Chicago Bulls (24-48 SU, 37-34-1 ATS) vs. Detroit Pistons (32-40 SU, 33-37-2 ATS) Betting Pick
Time: March 24th, 2018 7:05 PM ET
Where: Little Caesar’s Arena Detroit, MI
by Keith, Professional NBA Handicapper, Predictem
Point Spread: Detroit -11.5
Total Line: 210 (Over +105)
In this market, the Pistons opened as an initial eleven-point favorite. Since then, the market has moved upward by a half of a point thanks to action coming in on the Pistons. In the Over/Under market, the line has remained stationary. Nevertheless, to enchant takers into backing the Over a +105 price tag is now fixed next to the Over in this market. On the Money Line, Detroit comes in as a -1000 favorite as opposed to the Bulls who come in at +650 road dog.
The Detroit Pistons will curate the hosting duties as they host their Central Division rival Chicago Bulls at the Little Caesar’s Arena in Detroit, Michigan. This series is one that is historic and known for a rugged and in-your-face style of play. The likes of Isaiah Thomas and Michael Jordan have graced the court in this historic Midwestern rivalry. The next edition comes on Saturday, March 24th, 2018. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:05 PM and is scheduled to be televised on FSN live from the Motor City. The rivalry series has been one that has been quite competitive as of late. Each team has won three of the previous six meetings overall. The two teams last met in March in Detroit, where the Bulls would be smacked by the Pistons 99-83. Previous to this, Chicago had won three in a row.
There are a few betting trends worth taking into consideration. First off, the Bulls are just 9-24 SU on the road away from the Windy City. Secondly, the Pistons have been a force to be reckoned with in the Motor City. Detroit is 21-14 SU at home this season. Against the spread at home, the Pistons are 15-19. Chicago is 17-18 ATS on the road. Once again, this illustrates how teams with strong home records and weak away records perform far better or worse against the spread as opposed to what the data entails. As a result, Chicago is likely positioned here to have the value. However, the scenario at this point in the season may indicate otherwise.
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Detroit has the mojo working in this contest. The Pistons given the hype that surrounds them will be motivated to win this contest. In fact, given the fact it is at home against one of the weakest teams in the East, the Pistons will look to make an example out of the Bulls. On paper, Detroit is just the flat out the better team, and Chicago will have little motivation likely heading into this contest.
There is little appeal in backing Chicago other than the fact the Bulls are likely taking back an inflated point spread given the fact they are in such poor form. The Bulls have lost four straight, and as a result, takers can expect a friendly number to back them here.
From a public money edge, there is little data available at this point. However, we have learned in some forums that Chicago is a 68% consensus selection with the points.
This is the time of year where a majority of clubs have thrown up the white flag on their campaigns. As a result, these teams start subbing in reserves. The Bulls are one of those teams. Regarding Detroit, we are more likely to see their talented core play a majority of this game. After all, Detroit’s post-season hopes are not completely extinguished even if it looks so. Moreover, this is a team that would like to finish .500 and carries that momentum over to next season. Chicago will treat this game like a rehearsal. Detroit will treat it as a game of consequence. In this rare instance, swallowing the points looks certainly worth it.
KEITH’s PICK: Detroit -11.5. Guys are you looking for a sportsbook that has the best odds on NBA games including money line and point spread lines? Check out 5Dimes for -105 style pricing on most North American sports!