Golden State Warriors at Memphis Grizzlies Predictions 1/11/21

by | Last updated Jan 11, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (30-9 SU, 23-14-2 ATS) vs. Memphis Grizzlies (28-14 SU, 27-15 ATS)
When: Tuesday January 11 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)
Where: FedEx Forum: Memphis, Tennesee

Point Spread: GSW -1.0/MEM 1.0 (Opened at GSW -1 at BetNow)
Total: 218.5 (Opened at 218.5)
Money Line: Golden State -120/Memphis +100)
Power Rating: GSW -5.5

Probable Starting Lineups

Warriors: PG Stephen Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Otto Porter Jr., C Kevon Looney
Grizzlies: PG Ja Morant, SG Desmond Bane, SF Zaire Williams, PF Jaren Jackson, C Killian Tillie

Key Injuries

Warriors James Wiseman: knee (OUT)

Grizzlies Steven Adams: illness (OUT) Dillon Brooks: ankle (QUESTIONABLE) Yves Pons: ankle (OUT)

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors enter today’s game, having won 6 of their past ten games. When playing away from home, the Warriors are an above .500 team, having gone 12-6. Golden State travels to Memphis as the road team, with a positive plus-minus of rating 2.6 points. Overall, the Warriors are ranked 1st among NBA teams in point differential (0.9). Among NBA teams, they have played the 8th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Golden State Warriors to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered 62% of their games against the spread. Their season-long ATS plus-minus is 3.6.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Stephen Curry. So far, Curry is averaging 26.83 points per game while knocking down 5.11 three-pointers per game. His overall scoring output places him second among point guards. Draymond Green has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 7.56 boards per game.

The Memphis Grizzlies enter today’s game, having won 9 straight games. As of late, the Grizzlies have been one of the hottest teams in the league, winning nine of their past ten games. As they get set to host the Warriors, Memphis has a positive home plus-minus of 7.1 points. Overall the Grizzlies are ranked 6th among NBA teams in point differential (0.5). Overall, they have played the 17th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking Memphis to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered in 64.30% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 3.4.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is PG Ja Morant. So far, Morant is averaging 24.72 points per game. The Grizzlies’ best three-point shooter has been Desmond Bane, connecting on 2.98 shots from downtown per game. The team will need to find an additional source of rebounding as Steven Adams is out for tonight’s matchup.

An Eye On Pace

Coming into this game, the Grizzlies are the 11th ranked team in pace, averaging 99 possessions per game. So far, their up-tempo style of play has led to a 2 point field attempt ranking of 2nd in the NBA. Memphis is also a top-10 team in regards to free-throw attempts. On the other side, Golden State is the 15th ranked team in pace at 98.5 possessions per contest. However, unlike their opponent, they use most of their possessions to get shots from downtown, averaging 39.7 looks per game.

Key Matchups

As Memphis heads into this game as the underdogs, they will need to capitalize on some of their statistical advantages. So far, the Grizzlies have been a better team at taking care of the ball, ranking 7th in fewest turnovers compared to Golden State (29th). However, the Warriors are a much better shooting team, holding an effective field goal percentage of 55%, with Memphis at 51%, placing them 21st.

The Historicals

Tonight’s game between the Warriors and Grizzlies will be their third meeting of the year, with each team picking up one win.

How the Public is betting the Warriors vs. Grizzlies

60% are betting the Grizzlies against the spread.
55% are wagering on the game to go Under the posted total of 218.5

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Grizzlies are 6-0 ATS in their last six games overall.
  • Grizzlies are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following an ATS win.
  • Warriors are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a road favorite.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In tonight’s game, the Grizzlies have an opportunity to pick up a statement win over the top-seeded Warriors. Heading into the contest, Memphis is ranked 4th in the West, just a half-game behind the Jazz for the 3rd seed. I recommend taking Memphis to pick up a win at home as they enter this matchup as one of the league’s hottest teams. Point guard Ja Morant is one of the few players in the NBA who might be able to hang with Steph Curry as his length and athleticism has given opponents fits all season,

My favorite prop bet of the night is to take Ja Morant to have a big game scoring the ball. Morant is coming off a 16 point performance vs. the Clippers but played just 31 minutes. Look for the point guard to play big minutes vs. Golden State on his way to a +25 point night.