Grizzlies vs Lakers: Expert Analysis and Prediction for Tonight’s Showdown

by | Jan 20, 2023 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (31-13 SU, 22-20-2 ATS) vs. Los Angeles Lakers (20-25 SU, 20-22-3 ATS)
When: Friday, January 20th, 10:00 PM (ET)
Where: Crypto.com Arena, CA, Los Angeles
TV: ESPN

Point Spread: MEM -6.5/LAL +6.5 (Why bet on games at -110 when you could be laying only -105 at BetAnySports Sportsbook? Home of Reduced Juice Wagering!)
Total: 244.5
Money Line: Memphis Grizzlies -273/+222

Notable Injuries

Grizzlies

  • Danny Green (Out) ACL/LCL
  • Ziaire Williams (Questionable) Illness

Lakers

  • Anthony Davis (Out) Foot
  • LeBron James (Questionable) Ankle
  • Lonnie Walker IV (Out) Tailbone
  • Austin Reaves (Out) Hamstring

Recent Form

Memphis is 31-13 overall heading into the game. When taking to the road, Memphis has a mark of 11-10 and a win percentage of 52%. Currently, the team is 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, they are 22-20-2 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Los Angeles, the Memphis Grizzlies have won 11 straight games and will look to push that mark to 12 in a row.

The Grizzlies from Memphis triumphed in their last match against the Cavaliers, achieving a 115-114 victory. Desmond Bane had the most points for the Grizzlies with 25. Despite the win, the Grizzlies did not cover the spread as 7-point favorites.

Heading into the game, Los Angeles is 20-25 overall. When playing at home, Los Angeles has a mark of 11-11 and a win percentage of 50%. Currently, the team is 13th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 20-22-3 vs. the spread. In Los Angeles’ last five games, the Lakers have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 2-2-1 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 6-4 and 7-2-1 ATS.

In their last game, Los Angeles was defeated by Kings with a score of 116-111. Despite LeBron James scoring 32 points, the team was unable to come out on top. Going into the game, the Lakers were 2 point favorites.

The Historicals

Last season, the Grizzlies finished with a leg up in their head-to-head games vs. Los Angeles, going 3-1. When they played the Lakers on the road, the teams split the games. Similar to their season-long average, the Grizzlies averaged 114.25 points per game vs. the Lakers. Similar to the Grizzlies, the Lakers scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs. Memphis, the team averaged 108.5 points per game. Across the previous five meetings between the teams, the Grizzlies have an average scoring margin of +3 points per game, leading to an ATS mark of 3-2. A combined average of 221 points per game was achieved in these matchups, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

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Analysis

This season, Memphis is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.5 points per game. So far, the Grizzlies are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 101.3 possessions per game. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Grizzlies’ offense is ranked 18th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 35.1%. Defensively, the Grizzlies have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 109.93 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.88%.

Ja Morant is the top scorer for the Grizzlies, with an average of 27.4 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 46.9%. Dillon Brooks is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 16.3 points per game.

This season, Los Angeles is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 116.9 points per game. So far, the Lakers are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.5 possessions per game. Los Angeles has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 27th in 3-point shooting percentage at 33.7%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 30.6 attempts per contest. The defensive play has been a struggle for Los Angeles, as they are currently allowing 115.15 points per game. In terms of their 3-point defense, opposing teams have hit 35.38% of their looks from deep, placing the Lakers 18th in the NBA.

For this upcoming matchup with the Grizzlies, bettors should keep a close eye on the injury report for the Lakers, as they may be without two of their top scorers. Anthony Davis is already listed as out, while LeBron James is questionable. If he is able to play, LeBron James will likely be more assertive on offense, as he is 7th in the NBA in usage rate and has accounted for 25.4% of the team’s field goal attempts, averaging 29.8 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Grizzlies are 6-0-1 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
  • The Grizzlies are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
  • The Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up loss.
  • The Lakers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 Friday games.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

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