Indiana vs. Golden State Odds & Best Bet
When: Thursday, January 20th, 2022, 10:00 pm (ET)
Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
Point Spread: IND +11/GSW -11 (Opened at 11 at Bookmaker – The second oldest and most definitely the BIGGEST sportsbook on the web! No frills! Just rock-solid bookmaking!)
Total: 216 (Opened at 216)
Money Line: IND +600/GSW -900
Power Rating: GSW -13
Probable Starting Lineups
Indiana Pacers: PG Malcolm Brogdon, SG Caris LeVert, SF Justin Holiday, PF Torrey Craig, C Domantas Sabonis
Golden State Warriors: PG Steph Curry, SG Klay Thompson, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Jonathan Kuminga, C Kevon Looney
Indiana Pacers: C Myles Turner *Out* (Foot), G Jeremy Lamb *Probable* (knee), G Malcolm Brogdon *Probable* (Achilles), G T.J. McConnell *Out* (Wrist), F T.J. Warren *Out* (Foot)
Golden State Warriors: F Otto Porter Jr. *Out* (Rest), F Andre Iguodala *Out* (Hip), G Gary Payton *Probable* (Back), F Draymond Green *Out* (Calf), C James Wiseman *Out* (Knee)
The Indiana Pacers head into their matchup with the Warriors with a 16-29 record and sit 13th in the Eastern Conference. The Pacers are off to a slow start in January as they are 2-8 in ten games this month. One of their two wins came last time on the floor as they visited the Lakers. On the way to scoring 111 points, the Indiana defense did enough to secure the win. Nonetheless, they are still losers of four of their last five games and struggle to have a good offensive and defensive night lineup. For instance, earlier this week, the Pacers dropped 133 points on the Clippers, which often is enough to win games, but they gave up 139 in the loss. In a game last week against the Celtics, the Pacers held the opposition to just 101 points, which included an overtime period, but fell short due to just 98 points of offense. Going into this game against a high-scoring offense and the best defense in the league, the Pacers will need the offensive effort from the Clippers game and the defense they played against the Celtics to have a chance to keep this one close. The Pacers are led in scoring by Sabonis with 18.9 PPG and leads the team in rebounds and assists per game as well. As a team, Indiana is the 18th best scoring as they average 108.0 PPG, and their defense is ranked 16th as they allow 108.8 PPG. While both numbers aren’t as bad as their record shows. Anytime you have a negative point differential on the season, it’s hard to have a good record.
The Golden State Warriors head into this matchup with a 32-12 record and are 2nd in the Western Conference standings. The Warriors seemed almost invincible through the first few months of the season, holding the top spot both on offense and defense. Since the turn of the calendar, we’ve seen a very inconsistent team that has dropped unexpected games due to their lack of offense. After a slow start in his return, Klay Thompson dropped his season-high of 21 points in their win on Tuesday over the Pistons. While the win is most important, Steph Curry continues to be below average by his standard as he had just 18 points in the last game and has surpassed the 20-point mark just three times in his last eight games. Despite his cold stretch, Steph Curry leads the team in scoring with 26.1 PPG this season. After being among the top teams for the first few months, the Warriors have fallen to the 13th best scoring offense, averaging 109.7 PPG. Defensively, they’ve managed to hold onto the number one spot, giving up just 101.6 PPG.
Pacers on the Road
The trend of most of the bottom teams this season is a terrible record on the road, which is certainly the case for the Indiana Pacers. The Pacers have a 4-17 road record, with their win at the Lakers being their first road win since before Thanksgiving. While most of Indiana’s stats are middle of the pack, the most concerning area that has cost them games is their second-half scoring. The Pacers are 24th in the third quarter and 29th in the fourth, meaning in a lot of their games, either a halftime lead diminishes, or their deficit becomes too deep of a hole to come back from. Against the Warriors defense, who is 1st in both the third and fourth quarter for points given up, should the Pacers be down more than a few possessions at halftime, this game may not be in reach the rest of the night. For bettors, one area that the Pacers are one of the best teams in the league is playing back-to-back nights. The Pacers are 9-2 ATS when playing on 0 days’ rest this season. While this stat is impressive, the Warriors seem to be finding their groove again and will come into this game with more rest and the overall better team on both ends of the court.
Warriors at Home
The Warriors put their 20-point loss against the Timberwolves to bed with a dominant 102-86 win on Tuesday. Now with a 19-3 home record, another win would make them the first team to reach 20 home wins this season. Though getting the win is the goal each time on the floor, covering has been an issue for them recently. The Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as favorites. Turning around on a short schedule has also been a problem for Golden State this season, as they are 1-5 ATS when playing on just one day of rest. In their last game against the Pistons, the Warriors managed to cover by half a point. While a cover is a win no matter the margin, anytime, you can cover a 14.5 point spread against a team in this league, regardless of their record, you are showing dominance in every level of your game. Coming in as 11-point favorites in this one, the margin is more reasonable than the last game, and playing one of the worst second-half scoring teams while being the best defense in the league helps their case as well.
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Thursday night will be the second time these teams meet this season. The first contest back on December 13th ended with the Warriors on top in a close 102-100 final. Looking back at the last few years, the Warriors come in winners of two straight and four of the last six.
How the Public is Betting the Pacers vs. Warriors
73% are betting the Warriors against the spread.
63% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 216.
Betting Trends Worth Noting
- The Indiana Pacers are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 0 days’ rest.
- The Indiana Pacers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as road underdogs.
- The Golden State Warriors are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games as a favorite.
- The Golden State Warriors are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games vs. teams with a losing road record.
- The Under is 11-2 in the Pacers’ last 13 games as a road underdog.
- The Under is 4-0 in the Warriors’ last four games vs. teams with a losing record.
- The Under is 4-1 in the last five games between the Pacers and Warriors.
Collin’s Pick for Pacers/Warriors
This cross-conference matchup is between two teams at opposite ends of their conference. The Pacers are a middle-of-the-pack team in most of their team statistics but lack the most important aspect of wins, which is scoring in the final quarter. The Warriors come in as heavy favorites once again and proved in their last game that they can still cover big margins. Though the Pacers are one of the best teams in the league when playing back-to-back nights, hanging in with a team who is the best at home is a tall task when you lack the talent across the board when comparing apples to apples. Take the Golden State Warriors to cover the 11-point spread. Want more Thursday NBA picks? Check out what the Predictem Pros are betting!
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