Magic vs. Jazz Betting Preview & Prediction ATS

by | Jan 13, 2023 | nba

Orlando Magic (16-26 SU, 22-19-1 ATS) vs. Utah Jazz (21-23 SU, 23-19-2 ATS)
When: Friday, January 13th, 9:00 PM (ET)
Where: Vivint Smart Home Arena, UT, Salt Lake City
TV: SN-RM

Point Spread: ORL +6/ UTA -6
Total: 233.0
Money Line: Orlando Magic +190/ -233

Notable Injuries

Magic

  • Chuma Okeke (Out) Knee
  • Jalen Suggs (Questionable) Ankle

Jazz

  • Kelly Olynyk (Out) Ankle
  • Collin Sexton (Questionable) Hamstring
  • Talen Horton-Tucker (Questionable) Ankle

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Orlando is 16-26 overall. When taking to the road, Orlando has a mark of 6-14 and a win percentage of 30%. Currently, the team is 13th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 22-19-1 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 3-2 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 5-5 SU and 5-5 ATS.

In their upcoming game, Orlando will be looking to capitalize on their recent win over the Trail Blazers. Franz Wagner led the way for the Magic with 29 points. Despite being 9-point underdogs on the spread, the Magic were able to secure an ATS win.

Heading into the game, Utah is 21-23 overall. When playing at home, Utah has a mark of 13-7 and a win percentage of 65%. Currently, the team is 9th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 23-19-2 vs. the spread. In Utah’s last five games, the Jazz has a straight-up record of 2-3 while going 3-2 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 3-7 and 5-5 ATS.

Utah will be looking to build on their most recent win over the Cavaliers. Jordan Clarkson led the team to a win with his 32 points. The Jazz were 2 point underdogs on the spread, giving them an ATS win.

The Historicals

In last season’s head-to-head matchups, the teams split the season series. In these games, each team won on their home floor. Similar to their season-long average, the Magic averaged 103.0 points per game vs. the Jazz. While the Magic were able to maintain their usual level of production against Utah, the Jazz averaged fewer points per game in the series, at 107.0. Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the Jazz have averaged 116 points per game compared to 100 for Orlando. This has led to an ATS record of 4-1 for Utah. Orlando and Utah averaged a combined 216 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 2-3.

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Analysis

Coming into the game, Orlando’s offense is ranked just 27th in scoring at 110.4 points per game. This has come while being the 19th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Magic are averaging 98.7 possessions per contest. Orlando has struggled with their 3-point shot this season, as they are currently ranked just 22nd in 3-point shooting percentage at 34.4%. In addition, they are near the bottom of the league in attempts, at just 31.1 attempts per contest. On defense, the Magic allow an average of 112.23 points per game, placing them 20th in the league. So far, teams have shot 36.62% on their looks from outside vs. Orlando. This figure places them 27th in 3-point shooting defense.

Franz Wagner is the top scorer for Orlando, averaging 20.2 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 49.0%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Paolo Banchero, with an average of 21.2 points per game.

This season, Utah is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 117.5 points per game. So far, the Jazz is also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 100.4 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Utah’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 4th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 36.2% of their looks from the outside. Defensively, the Jazz has been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.57 points per game. So far, they have allowed a 3-point shooting percentage of 35.09%, placing them 15th in the NBA.

Lauri Markkanen is the top scorer for the Jazz, with an average of 24.5 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 52.4%. Jordan Clarkson is the team’s second-leading scorer, averaging 20.7 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • The Magic are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games following an ATS win.
  • The Magic are 6-2 ATS in their last eight road games.
  • The Jazz are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight-up win.
  • The Jazz are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight games playing on two days’ rest.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Magic have looked pretty good recently, winners of two of their last three contests. The Jazz have stunk, going 2-7 over their last nine games. I like the Magic to cover the spread here. Trade talks are starting to heat up in Utah, and turmoil oftentimes leads to poor play. I’m also going to put 20% of my wager on the Orlando money line as well!