Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State Warriors Pick 10/28/21

by | Oct 28, 2021 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (2-2 SU, 3-1-0 ATS) vs. Golden State Warriors (4-0 SU, 2-2-0 ATS)

When: Thursday, Oct. 28th, 2021, 10:00 pm (ET)

Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA

TV:ESPN

Point Spread: MEM +5.5/GSW -5.5. (Opened at -5.5)

Total: 233 (Opened at 233)

Money Line: MEM +180/GSW -220

Power Rating: GSW -5.5
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Probable Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies: PG Ja Morant, SG Desmond Bane, SF De’Anthony Melton, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Steven Adams

Golden State Warriors: PG Stephen Curry, SG Jordan Poole, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Draymond Green, C Kevon Looney

Key Injuries

Memphis Grizzlies: Dillion Brooks *Out* (Hand/Thigh)

Golden State Warriors:Johnathan Kuminga *Out* (Knee), Klay Thompson *Out*, James Wiseman *Out*

Recent Form

The Memphis Grizzlies jumped out to a 2-1 start on the year before heading to Portland last night, where they had a lead at the half but couldn’t keep it going in the second half, falling to 2-2 on the year. After going into last night’s game averaging 35 points, which led the league, Morant was held short of that mark with 17 points on the box score. Desmond Bane also exited the game in the third quarter due to a head injury, with 19 points, which led the team at the time. Bane returned to the bench, but given his team’s deficit, it didn’t make sense for him to return.

The Golden State Warriors have started the year with a perfect 4-0 record and currently look like one of the best teams in the NBA. Steph Curry is averaging 29 points a game, which currently sits third-best in the league. Aside from Curry’s terrific start, the Warriors have developed two of the young studs of today’s game in Jordan Poole and, when healthy, James Wiseman. Mind you, this Warriors team is still without Klay Thompson, so look for this team to take off when they get him back.

Rebuilding a Dynasty

The Golden State Warriors had arguably one of the best runs in NBA Finals history from 2015-2018, in which they won 3 of 4 titles. Fast-forward to 2021, the Warriors have missed the playoffs for two straight years. Four games into this season, the Warriors remain as one of three perfect teams. Steph Curry is off to another impressive season and only seems to get better with age. Looking at the rest of this Warriors team, there are still some familiar faces that have stuck around or returned to the team. One of the players who has stuck through the highs and lows is perennial defensive guru: Draymond Green. The other teammate, who is known as the other half of the splash brothers, is Klay Thompson. You could consider Thompson’s return to the court a missing piece in this “rebuild,” given he has been out with injury the past two full seasons. The last player worth mentioning that played a large part in the title run in Golden State is Andre Iguodala. Iguodala assists Draymond Green in his great defense but shows glimpses of range in his offense as well.

The core mentioned above all bring value to the team in many ways, but it often comes down to your young stars and bench to be a team that goes the distance in a playoff run as well as gives longevity to your team when the starters need a breather. Players like Jordan Poole and James Wiseman have proven to be difference makers when needed to step up. In their matchup with the Grizzlies tonight, we may see a well-rounded Warriors team coming off a days’ rest while the Grizzlies are playing back-to-back nights on the west coast.

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Best Shooter of All-Time

Going into Thursday night’s game, you can’t help but look at the Warriors and tip the cap to one of, if not the best, shooter of all-time: Steph Curry. Curry has the ability to take over a game from limitless range, forcing NBA defenses to be ready the moment he gets to the logo on any court. Not only does Curry take high percentage shots thanks to his ability to create space, but he is a true game manager and gets the ball into the hands of other Warriors playmakers. Given that we will likely see Morant matched up with Curry regularly in the game, look for Curry to get some high percentage shots over Morant, who, with a 113.9 defensive rating in his career, finds himself below the average mark.

Struggling on the Road

The Grizzlies jumped out to a 2-0 record on the year but have since fallen to 2-2, with both losses coming on the road. Dating back to the end of last season, the Grizzlies are now 7-10 in their last 17 road games. Looking back at the 20-21 season as a whole, the Grizzlies ended with a 20-16 road record, which was more wins than they got at home. Starting this year 1-2 is unfamiliar territory for Memphis, as they may have to bank on protecting home court this year since the Western Conference isn’t going to be a pushover. Memphis visits the Warriors Thursday night looking to break this road losing streak, but given the opponent they face and the recent history of this team on the road, I wouldn’t hold my breath on them getting the upset.

The Historicals

These two teams met three times last season. Under was 3-0 in all three games of those games. The Warriors won 2 of 3 games, one of which was without Steph Curry. In the game the Grizzlies won, Curry was also out, so the Warriors have shown they can win without him, but obviously play better and have a better chance to win with him on the floor.

How the Public is Betting the Grizzlies vs. Warriors

71% are betting the Golden State Warriors against the spread.

60% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 233.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The Golden State Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games as a favorite.
  • The Golden State Warriors are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games when playing on one days’ rest.
  • The Golden State Warriors are 6-1 ATS in their previous seven home games.
  • The Golden State Warriors are 8-2 ATS in their last ten games overall.
  • Over is 8-0 in the Grizzlies’ last eight games overall.
  • The Under is 4-1 in the Warriors’ last five games.
  • The Under is 20-7 in these two teams last 27 meetings.
  • The Under is 4-0 in the last four games between these two teams in Golden State.

Collin’s Pick to Cover the Spread

Going into Thursday night’s matchup, the Warriors are rising as a favorite to move to a perfect 5-0 on the year, as Steph Curry will continue his hot start off a days’ rest. Memphis, coming off a loss in Portland and no rest, will try to slow down the hot Warriors offense, but I think will fall short once again on the road. Take the Warriors to cover the spread (-5.5). Bet your NBA picks FREE this week by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100 when registering for an account!)