Memphis vs. Minnesota Game 6 Predictions

by | Apr 29, 2022 | nba

Memphis Grizzlies (59-28 SU, 54-32-1 ATS) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (49-39 SU, 46-40-2 ATS)

When: Friday April 29 2022, 09:00 PM (ET)

Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, Minnesota

TV: BSSE-MEM

Point Spread: MEM -1.5/MIN +1.5 (Opened MIN 228.5 at BetOnline - Home of the fastest paying BTC payouts!)

Total: 229 (Opened at 0.5)

Money Line: Memphis Grizzlies -119/Minnesota Timberwolves -101

Power Rating: MEM -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Memphis Grizzlies PG Ja Morant, SG Dillon Brooks, SF Desmond Bane, PF Jaren Jackson Jr., C Xavier Tillman

Minnesota Timberwolves PG Patrick Beverley, SG D’Angelo Russell, SF Anthony Edwards, PF Jarred Vanderbilt, C Karl-Anthony Towns

Key Injuries

Memphis Grizzlies
Ziaire Williams: Knee (DOUBTFUL)
Santi Aldama: Knee (OUT)
Steven Adams: Illness (OUT)
Tyrell Terry: Foot (QUESTIONABLE)
Killian Tillie: Back (OUT)

Minnesota Timberwolves
Minnesota has no reported injuries at this time.

The Minnesota Timberwolves host the Memphis Grizzlies in a Western-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 09:00 PM ET at the Target Center.

Recent Form

The Memphis Grizzlies come into this game with an overall record of 56-26, placing them 2nd in the Western Conference. So far, Memphis is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 27-16. Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have played well, picking up 3 wins. In this stretch, Memphis’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 115.0 points per game. Combined, the Grizzlies’ last five opponents are giving up 113.0 points per contest. The Grizzlies have been picking up wins, while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 109.9. In the Memphis Grizzlies’ most recent game, Memphis took down Minnesota by a score of 111-109

The Minnesota Timberwolves come into this game with an overall record of 46-36, placing them 7th in the Western Conference. So far, Minnesota is above .500 at home, holding a record of 28-16. Over the Timberwolves’ last five games, they have picked up just 2 wins. In this stretch, Minnesota’s offense is scoring right in line with their season average, putting up 110.0 points per game. Combined, the Timberwolves’ last five opponents are giving up 110.0 points per contest. In this recent cold stretch, the Timberwolves are allowing an average of 115.0 points per game, similar to their usual rate of 113.3.In the Minnesota Timberwolves’ most recent game, the team fell to Memphis by a score of 111-109.

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Individual Player Analysis

As Memphis travels to take on the Minnesota Timberwolves, the Grizzlies’ leading scorer is Ja Morant. Through 57 games, Morant is averaging 27 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 49.0% of his games. So far, the Timberwolves are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, placing them 15th among NBA defenses. On the other side, Karl-Anthony Towns leads the Timberwolves in scoring, averaging 24 points across his 77 games. Throughout the season, Towns has outscored his season average in 49.0% of his outings. On the season, the Grizzlies have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 50.0% of their games, giving them a rank of 17th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 29 of Memphis’s 41 games, leading to a winning percentage of 72%. So far, the Minnesota Timberwolves have played 49 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 49 times, by an average margin of -12.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves have met up for 9 games. In their last meeting, Memphis picked up a 111-109 win.

How the Public is Betting the Grizzlies vs Timberwolves

67% are betting the Grizzlies against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 229

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Grizzlies are 19-7 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss.
  • Grizzlies are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 playoff games as a favorite.
  • Timberwolves are 7-3-1 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • Timberwolves are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Memphis Grizzlies and Minnesota Timberwolves are the only first-round series that has yet to be decided. As the Wolves host the Mavs, they hope to pick up the win and force a game 7. With the spread sitting at just 1.5 points in favor of Memphis, look for this to be another close game, as the last 2 meetings between these teams have been decided by a total of just 3 points. Even though Minnesota is trailing the series 3-2, they could easily be in a better position, as they have blown big leads in multiple games. However, look for the Wolves to have a short memory and bounce back with the home win, forcing the only game 7 in the first round. I like Minnesota ATS. Bet your Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves prediction FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit up to $300 when you use bonus/promo code PREDICT100 at MyBookie Sportsbook!