Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat Predictions 12/8/21

by | Dec 8, 2021 | nba

Milwaukee Bucks (16-9 SU, 11-14 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (14-11 SU, 14-11 ATS)

When: Wednesday December 08 2021, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: FTX Arena: Miami, Florida


Point Spread: MIL -6.5/MIA 6.5 (Opened at MIL -7 at MyBookie - Register with bonus/promo code PREDICT100 and they’ll give you a 100% real cash bonus on your first deposit up to $300!)

Total: 216.5 (Opened at 215.5)

Money Line: Milwaukee -275/Miami +245)

Power Rating: MIL -7

Probable Starting Lineups

Bucks: PG Jrue Holiday, SG Grayson Allen, SF Khris Middleton, PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, C Bobby Portis

Heat: PG Kyle Lowry, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Max Strus, PF P.J Tucker, C Dewayne Dedmon

Key Injuries

Donte DiVincenzo: foot (OUT) George Hill: knee (QUESTIONABLE) Brook Lopez: back (OUT) Semi Ojeleye: calf (OUT)

Heat Bam Adebayo: thumb (QUESTIONABLE) Jimmy Butler: tailbone (QUESTIONABLE) Marcus Garrett: wrist (OUT) Markieff Morris: neck (OUT) Victor Oladipo: quadricep (QUESTIONABLE)

Recent Form

The Milwaukee Bucks enter today’s game, having won 2 straight games. In their past ten contests, the Bucks have been one of the league’s hottest teams, going 9-1. As the road team, the Bucks travel to Miami with a positive plus-minus of rating of 1.3 points. Overall, Miami is ranked 5th among NBA teams in point differential (5.7). Among NBA teams, they have played the 23rd toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Milwaukee Bucks to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they are cove in 44.00%% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -0.3.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SF Giannis Antetokounmpo. So far, Antetokounmpo is averaging 27.59 points per game.
This output places him 2nd among small-forwards. The Greek Freak is also pulling down 11.82 rebounds per contest. Milwaukee’s best three-point shooter has been Grayson Allen, connecting on 3.08 shots from downtown per game.

The Miami Heat enter today’s game, having lost two straight games. In their last ten games, they have picked up four wins. As they get set to host the Bucks, Miami has a positive home plus-minus of +4.0 points. Overall, the Heat are ranked 8th among NBA teams in point differential (-1.1). On the year, they have played the 4th most challenging schedule

For bettors, taking the Heat to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they have covered in 56.00% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 0.3.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SG Tyler Herro. So far, Herro is averaging 21.36 points per game. The Heat’s best three-point shooter has been Duncan Robinson, connecting on 2.88 shots from downtown per game. Dewayne Dedmon has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 5.64 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

Coming into the game, the Milwaukee Bucks are the 8th ranked team in possessions per game. This up-tempo style of play has shown up in their number of three-point attempts, placing them 4th in the NBA. On the other side, Miami prefers to slow the game down, ranking 27th in possessions per game. Limiting a game’s possessions has helped them hold teams to just 104.5 points per game.

Key Matchups

After getting off to a slow start to the season, the Milwaukee Bucks have found their groove. Led by Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Bucks are ranked 8th in points per game. Even without Brook Lopez, the team is still the top rebounding unit in the NBA. So far, the Miami Heat have been one of the best defensive teams at generating turnovers. At 15.8 per game, Miami is ranked 7th in the league.

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The Historicals

The Bucks and the Heat have already played two games this season. So far, the teams have split these games. Each game has been decided by a wide margin, with Miami winning game one by 42.

How the Public is Betting the Bucks vs. Heat

60% are betting the Bucks against the spread.

55% are wagering on the game to go under the posted total of 215.5.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Bucks are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as a road favorite.
  • Bucks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite.
  • Heat are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog.
  • Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

Joe’s Pick To Cover The Spread

In recent seasons, the Milwaukee Bucks have struggled when heading to Miami. However, there is a good chance the Heat will be without Bam Adebayo, Jimmy Butler, and Victor Oladipo. If this is the case, they have little chance of keeping up with the red-hot Bucks. When Giannis Antetokounmpo, Jrue Holiday, and Khris Middleton have taken the court together, the team has yet to lose. Look for this to continue in tonight’s game, with at least a 10 point win.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

If the Miami Heat cannot roll out their usual lineup, this game could get out of hand early. The Bucks will likely use this as an opportunity to get some rest for Antetokounmpo. Therefore, I will be looking at Grayson Allen, who connects on 42% of his seven three-point attempts per game. Look for Allen to have a big night shooting the ball. Looking for some free bets? GTBets will give you a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $500! They have an AWESOME rewards program too! Click here to cash in!