NBA Picks: Warriors vs. Jazz Prediction ATS 2/9/22

by | Feb 9, 2022 | nba

Golden State Warriors (41-13 SU, 29-21-4 ATS) vs. Utah Jazz (33-21 SU, 23-29-2 ATS)

When: Wednesday, February 9th, 2022, 10:00 pm (ET)

Where: Vivint Arena, Salt Lake City, UT

TV: ESPN

Point Spread: GSW +2.5/UTA -2.5 (Opened at 3.5 at MyBookie - Bonus code PREDICT100 gets you a special 100% bonus up to $300!)

Total: 219.5 (Opened at 219.5)

Money Line: GSW +115/UTA -140

Power Rating: PK

Probable Starting Lineups

Golden State Warriors: PG Stephen Curry, SG Jordan Poole, SF Andrew Wiggins, PF Otto Porter, C Kevon Looney

Utah Jazz: PG Mike Conley, SG Donovan Mitchell, SF Bojan Bogdanovic, PF Royce O’Neale, C Udoka Azubuike

Key Injuries

Golden State Warriors: G Klay Thompson *Out* (Rest), F Andre Iguodala *Out* (Back), C Kevon Looney *Questionable* (Quad), F Nemanja Bjelica *Out* (Back), F Draymond Green *Out* (Back), C James Wiseman *Out* (Knee)

Utah Jazz: C Rudy Gobert *Out* (Calf), F Joe Ingles *Out* (Knee), F Rudy Gay *Questionable* (Knee)

Recent Form

The Golden State Warriors come into this matchup with a 41-13 record and sit 2nd in the Western Conference. After hitting a shaky streak in January, the Warriors quickly turned things around and now ride a nine-game win streak, which is currently the best in the league. While the Warriors’ offense was to blame during their rough stretch, their defense has been steady all season and will be tested once again as they face the top scoring offense in the Jazz. Without Draymond Green, the team has been able to withstand some of the best scoring teams of the league as Wiggins, Porter, and Looney have been great protectors of the paint. Allowing just 43.0 points in the paint on the road this season, the Warriors are only 2nd to the Heat in that category. As the Jazz will be without Gobert and are questionable on the status of Gay, the Warriors will be able to focus more on the perimeter shooting of Conley and Mitchell. This is also an area that the Warriors dominate as they allow a league-best 33% from range. Without Klay Thompson active as well, Curry will be leaned upon to have a productive evening and should have an opportunity to be efficient from deep as Utah is 21st in the league at defending three-pointers at home. The Golden State offense is led by Curry, who is averaging 25.7 PPG this season. As a team, the Warriors sit 11th offensively as they average 110.9 PPG, though they averaged 120.0 PPG in their last three games. The Warriors’ defense is 2nd in the league as they allow 102.6 PPG.

The Utah Jazz come into this game with a 33-21 record and sit 4th in the Western Conference. After finishing January with five straight losses, the Jazz were able to turn the page into the new calendar month and are 3-0 to start February. While the Jazz has been known all season for their “lights out” offense, they’re beginning to become a complete team after their defensive efforts in their last three games. Utah allowed just 103.3 PPG in their last three wins while averaging 115.3 PPG on offense. While on paper, this looks impressive, it is also worth mentioning that two of those games were against the depleted Nets and a Knicks team that is among the worst in the league in scoring. Facing the Warriors in this game, the Jazz will be tested by a much more talented offense than their last few games. Aside from their aforementioned below-average efforts at defending three-point shots, the Utah defense typically comes out flat after halftime, which is an area the Warriors are one of the best offensive teams in the 3rd quarter. The Jazz gives up on average 28.1 points in the third, which is 24th in the NBA, as the Warriors average 28.7 points in the same frame, which is the 3rd best in the league. This means if the Warriors go into the half with the lead, the Jazz will have to break this trend. Otherwise, the game could get out of hand quickly. The Utah offense is led by Donovan Mitchell, who is averaging 25.7 PPG this season. The Utah offense is still 1st in the NBA as they average 113.6 PPG, but defensively they sit outside the top 10 with the 12th best scoring defense as they allow 107.6 PPG.

Warriors on the Road

The Warriors have traveled very well so far this season as they are 16-9 on the road. During their nine-game win streak, just two of the games came on the road, but looking back farther, they’ve been solid as they are 3-1 in their last four road games. Against the spread, the Warriors have also been a good bet as they are 3-1-1 in their last five road games. One stat that has been lackluster on the road is when they travel to teams who have winning home records, going 1-4 ATS in the last five. Given that this stat is taking into consideration games that were during their rough stretch a month ago, I’m not too concerned with them laying an egg coming into Utah for this one, as they have been able to contain some of the league’s better offenses consistently during their highs and lows.

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Jazz at Home

The Jazz have an admirable 18-10 record at home this season, though being home favorites hasn’t been a good look for them. The Jazz is 3-12-1 ATS in their last sixteen games as home favorites. While a 2.5-point spread isn’t a large margin to cover, it is taking into consideration that the Warriors are riding a hot streak and could very well steal this game from them. If the Utah defense had Gobert and Gay 100% healthy and available, I would consider leaning with the home team to keep the Warriors’ offense at bay, but since this isn’t the case, I see them continuing their second-half defensive struggles.

The Historicals

Wednesday night will be the third time that these teams face off this season. The first two contests took place last month, with the Warriors taking each game at home and on the road. Dating back to last season, the Warriors come in winners of four straight games.

How the Public is Betting the Warriors vs. Jazz

63% are betting the Warriors against the spread.

71% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 219.5.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The Golden State Warriors are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • The Golden State Warriors are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games as underdogs.
  • The Utah Jazz are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
  • The Utah Jazz are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. teams with a winning road record.
  • Over is 6-1 in Golden State’s last 7 games as road underdogs.
  • Under is 7-0 in Utah’s last 7 home games.
  • Over is 8-1 in the last 9 games between the Warriors and Jazz.
  • The Golden State Warriors are 3-0-1 ATS in their last 4 games vs. Utah.

Collin’s Pick for Warriors/Jazz

This Western Conference matchup features the top offense in the league, taking on one of the best defenses. The Warriors come in riding a hot streak and are back to firing on all cylinders on both ends of the floor. Despite being without some key starters, the Warriors have proven they can distribute the ball to everyone to eliminate needing a stellar performance from Curry night after night. While the Jazz is home favorites in this game, it has been a big ask for them to deliver for their Vivint Arena faithful as they are too inconsistent on defense. Even though the Warriors streak will come to an end at some point, I don’t see it being tonight against the Jazz. Take the Warriors to cover the 2.5-point spread. Bet your Warriors vs. Jazz pick and ALL your NBA picks for FREE this week by taking advantage of a massive 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook!