Nets vs. Pistons Odds, Analysis, Recommended Bet

by | Dec 18, 2022 | nba

 

Brooklyn Nets (18-12 SU, 14-15-1 ATS) vs. Detroit Pistons (8-23 SU, 16-14-1 ATS)

When: Sunday, December 18th, 6:00 PM (ET)

Where: Little Caesars Arena, MI, Detroit

TV: BSDE

Point Spread: BKN -7.0/ DET +7

Total: 230.5

Money Line: Brooklyn Nets -288/ +232

Notable Injuries

Nets

  • Patty Mills (Out) Illness

Pistons

  • Cade Cunningham (Out) Shin
  • Isaiah Livers (Out) Shoulder

Recent Form

Heading into the game, Brooklyn is 18-12 overall. When taking to the road, Brooklyn has a mark of 8-7 and a win percentage of 53%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 14-15-1 vs. the spread. In their matchup against Detroit, the Brooklyn Nets have won 5 straight games and will look to push that mark to 6 in a row.

After their win against the Raptors, Brooklyn will be looking to continue their momentum. Kyrie Irving had a big game, scoring 32 points to help lead the team to victory.

Heading into the game, Detroit is 8-23 overall. When playing at home, Detroit has a mark of 4-10 and a win percentage of 29%. Currently, the team is 14th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 16-14-1 vs. the spread. In Detroit’s last five games, the Pistons have a straight-up record of 1-4 while going 2-2-1 in those games. Going back to the last 10, they are 3-7 and 4-5-1 ATS.

In their most recent game, Detroit was unable to come home with a victory against the Kings, losing by a score of 122-113. Despite Bojan Bogdanovic leading the team with 22 points, the Pistons were unable to overcome their status as 6-point underdogs. The Pistons also ended up with an ATS loss in the game.

The Historicals

Last season, the Nets did a good job on the road in their meetings vs. the Pistons, going 2-0. This led to an overall series record of 4-0. Similar to their season-long average, the Nets averaged 114.8 points per game vs. the Pistons. Similar to the Nets, the Pistons scored at a rate near the league average. In their games vs. Brooklyn, the team averaged 102.0 points per game. Although the Pistons have the better ATS mark across the previous five head-head matchups at 3-2, the average scoring margin sits in favor of Brooklyn, as they averaged 114 points per game while allowing 103. Brooklyn and Detroit averaged a combined 217 points per game in these games, leading to an over-under mark of 3-2.

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Analysis

This season, the Nets’ offense averages 112.7 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Brooklyn has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 98.1 possessions per game. Brooklyn heads into the game as one of the top 3-point shooting teams in terms of percentage. So far, they have hit 37.0% of their looks from deep. However, they are currently ranked just 24th in 3-point attempts per contest. On defense, the Nets allow an average of 112.12 points per game, placing them 18th in the league. So far, they have done a good job defending the 3-point arc, as teams are hitting just 34.46% of their looks from deep.

Kevin Durant is the top scorer for Brooklyn, averaging 29.9 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 56.2%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Kyrie Irving, with an average of 25.6 points per game.

Coming into the game, Detroit’s offense is ranked just 22nd in scoring at 111.0 points per game. This has come while being the 16th-ranked unit in pace. So far, the Pistons are averaging 99.6 possessions per contest. When looking at the team’s 3-point shooting numbers, they profile as an average team in both percentage and attempts. For the season, the Pistons’ offense is ranked 14th in 3-point attempts per game while connecting at a rate of 34.9%. The defense has not been a strong point for Detroit, as they are currently allowing 112.55 points per game. The team’s 3-point shooting defense has been a problem this year. So far, opposing offenses have hit 36.41% of their looks from the outside.

Going into today’s game, Bojan Bogdanovic is the leading scorer for the Detroit team, with an average of 21.1 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 49.9%. The team’s second top scorer is Jaden Ivey, who is averaging 14.8 points per game.

Betting Trends

  • Nets are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
  • Nets are 3-1-2 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Pistons are 6-0-1 ATS in their last seven games following an ATS loss.
  • Pistons are 8-2-2 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.

Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

The Nets have been hot, but if you look at their game log, they’re not beating teams by very much. They will probably win this game, but not by seven points or more. I’m betting the Pistons as my best bet of the day!