Philadelphia 76ers at Miami Heat Predictions 3/5/22
Philadelphia 76ers (39-23 SU, 32-30-0 ATS) vs. Miami Heat (42-22 SU, 37-26-1 ATS)
When: Saturday March 05 2022, 08:00 PM (ET)
Where: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Point Spread: PHI +1.5/MIA -1.5 (Opened MIA -1.5 at BetNow)
Total: 220.5 (Opened at 220.5 )
Money Line: Philadelphia 76ers -106/Miami Heat -115
Power Rating: MIA -1
Probable Starting Lineups
Philadelphia 76ers PG James Harden, SG Tyrese Maxey, SF Matisse Thybulle, PF Tobias Harris, C Joel Embiid
Miami Heat PG Gabe Vincent, SG Duncan Robinson, SF Jimmy Butler Q, PF P.J. Tucker Q, C Bam Adebayo
No Reported Injuries
Jimmy Butler: toe (QUESTIONABLE) Kyle Lowry: personal (QUESTIONABLE) Markieff Morris: neck (OUT) Victor Oladipo: knee (OUT) P.J. Tucker: knee (QUESTIONABLE)
The Miami Heat host the Philadelphia 76ers in a Non-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 08:00 PM ET at the FTX Arena.
The Philadelphia 76ers come into this game with an overall record of 39-23, placing them 2nd in the Eastern Conference. So far, Philadelphia is above .500 on the road, holding a record of 21-10. Over their last five games, the 76ers have played well, picking up 5 wins. During this stretch, Philadelphia is averaging 126.0 points per game, 17.0 points more than their season average of 108.7. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 108.0 points per contest. Even though Philadelphia has been picking up wins, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 112.0 points per game, up from the 76ers’ usual rate of 106.2. In the Philadelphia 76ers’ most recent game, Philadelphia took down Cleveland by a score of 125-119
The Miami Heat come into this game with an overall record of 42-22, placing them 1st in the Eastern Conference. So far, Miami is above .500 at home, holding a record of 21-7. The Heat have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Miami is averaging 118.0 points per game, 8.0 points more than their season average of 109.7. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. Even though the Heat have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 111.0 points per game, up from Miami’s usual rate of 105.0. In the Miami Heat’s most recent game, Miami took down Brooklyn by a score of 113-107.
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Individual Player Analysis
As Philadelphia travels to take on the Miami Heat, the 76ers’ leading scorer is Joel Embiid. Through 51 games, Embiid is averaging 29 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 57.0% of his games. Against the Heat, Embiid will need to be on top of his game as Miami is allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their average in 43.0% of their games, placing them in the top 10. On the other side, Jimmy Butler leads the Heat in scoring, averaging 21 points across his 45 games. Throughout the season, Butler has outscored his season average in 49.0% of his outings. However, if he hopes to add to this total, Butler will need to do so against a 76ers defense that has been tough on their opponent’s top scorers. So far, leading scores have surpassed their season average at a rate of just 38.89%. This figure is good for a rank of 4th in the league.
Heading into this matchup, the Miami Heat are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 18 of Miami’s 58 games, leading to a winning percentage of 83%. So far, the Philadelphia 76ers have played 2 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 2 times, by an average margin of -35.0 points.
Heading into today’s matchup, the Philadelphia 76ers and Miami Heat have met up for 2 games. In their last meeting, Philadelphia picked up a 109-98 win.
How the Public is Betting the 76ers vs Heat
67% are betting the 76ers against the spread.
52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 220.5
Betting Trends Worth Noting
- 76ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
- 76ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games as a road underdog.
- Heat are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Heat are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread
The Miami Heat host the Philadelphia 76ers looking to finish up a brutal week that had them playing the Bucks, Nets and now the 76ers. Even though they are playing at home and just took down Brooklyn, I am taking the 76ers to cover this spread and pick up a win. As we have already seen, the combination of James Harden and Joel Embiid puts a lot of pressure on opposing defenses. Throughout the year, Miami has struggled to defend without fouling. This is not a good tendency to have in a matchup with two players who know how to get to the line. Bet your Sixers/Heat pick and ALL your NBA bets today for FREE by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $1000 at Betnow Sportsbook! It’s the best sportsbook bonus you’ll ever find on the web!