Philadelphia 76ers vs. NY Knicks Odds & Predictions

by | Oct 26, 2021 | nba

Philadelphia (2-1 SU, 2-1-0 ATS) vs. New York Knicks (2-0 SU, 2-1-0 ATS)

When: Tuesday, October 26th, 2021, 7:30 PM (ET)

Where: Madison Square Garden, New York, NY

TV: TNT

Point Spread: PHI(+1) /NYK(-1) (NKY Opened at -1)

Total: 218 (Opened at 218.5)

Money Line: Knicks -116

Power Rating: New York Knicks +3

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Probable Starting Lineups

76ers PG Trese Maxey, SG Seth Curry, SF Danny Green, PF Tobias Harris, C Joel Embid

Knicks: PG Kemba Walker, SG Evan Fournier, SF RJ Barret, PF Julius Randle, C Mitchell Robinson

Key Injuries

Philly: Andre Drummond (GTD),Joel Embiid (GTD),Shake Milton (OUT), Ben Simmons (OUT)

Knicks: Nerlens Noel (GTD)

Recent Form

Despite starting the season with a 2-1 record, the big storyline surrounding the 76ers is the off-court drama with Ben Simmons. The disgruntled Simmons is apparently not mentally prepared to take the court as the saga continues to unfold.

The Philadelphia 76ers last played on Sunday, pulling out a 115-103 road victory over Oklahoma City. The Sixers won three out of the four quarters in the game, including dropping 36 points in the opening period.

 

Philladelphia’s leading scorer was Seth Curry, who finished with 28 points in 34 minutes of action. Curr shot an impressive 70% from downtown, connection on 7/10 shots. Center Joel Embiid was the group’s second-leading scorer with 22 points. While Embiid was on the court, the team was +10 in point differential.

The New York Knicks are coming off two straight games vs. the Orlando Magic. In their most recent matchup, the Knicks fell 110-104. This came after the team won convincingly 121-96 last Friday night in Orlando.

In their losing effort. the Knicks gave up 36 fourth-quarter points. Until that point, the two teams went back and forth, with New York having the lead heading into the final frame. Forward Julius Randle led the team with 30 points and 16 rebounds. Veteran point guard Derrick Rose contributed 23 points as he continues to impress in New York.

Slow Paced Affair

The New York Knicks prefer to play a slower style of basketball. When the 76ers face off vs. slow-paced teams, the games end up going below their expected pace. On average, the Sixers win 61% of these contests.

In games, when the New York Knicks square of vs. teams preferring a faster style of play, they win just 46% of the time. However, they are often able to dictate the flow of the game. On average, these matchups end up with six fewer possessions.

76ers Should Limit The Knicks Offense

New York is one of the least efficient offensive teams in the NBA. When the 76ers play teams similar to the Knicks, they win 88% of the time. This includes an average margin of victory of 11 points.

Philadelphia has an offensive efficiency near the league average. The New York Knicks have the defensive capability to make it tough on the 76ers in tonight’s game. NBA teams who are similar to the 76ers average two fewer points/possession against the Knicks.

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Philly Can Handle A Good Defense

Both the 76ers and Knicks are two of the NBA’s best defensive teams. In tonight’s game, this favors Philadelphia, who is the superior offensive unit. When playing outstanding defenses, the 76ers average four points above the league’s expected output. They win these games at a rate of 48%.

For all of their offensive struggles, the Knicks surprisingly performed well vs. top defensive teams. However, they win just 38% of these contests. If there is a reason for optimism, it is that their average margin of loss was just two points

How the Public is Betting the 76ers vs Knicks

53% are betting the Knicks against the spread.

65% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 218.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

The 76ers are 5-0 when playing the Knicks in New York
At Madison Square Garden, the Knicks and Sixers have gone under the total in 5/6 games

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

This game has one the tightest spreads of tonight’s slate of games. My model has Philly pulling this one out 104 to 102. If throughout the day, the line moves towards the Knicks, I will jump on the 76ers. However, the better play is to take this game to go under its total of 218.

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

Because I see this game finishing below its over-under line, I will be targeting some player props to go under their total.

RJ Barrett has a player prop of 14.5 points. I recommend taking Barrett to finish below this number. There will be fewer opportunities in a slow-placed game, and Barrett is unlikely to get his normal amount of shots.

One player I see having a big night is Evan Fournier of the New York Knicks. In the game, Fournier has a line of 14.5 points. Because he is such an efficient scorer, he won’t be as affected by fewer opportunities. Bet your NBA picks for FREE this week by taking advantage of a special 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100).