Pistons vs. Celtics Predictions 3/11/22

by | Mar 11, 2022 | nba

Detroit Pistons (18-48 SU, 34-31-1 ATS) vs. Boston Celtics (40-27 SU, 33-31-3 ATS)

When: Friday March 11 2022, 07:30 PM (ET)

Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts

TV: BSDET

Point Spread: DET +14/BOS -14 (Opened BOS -14 at Bookmaker - The biggest bookie on the web since the 1990’s!)

Total: 216.5 (Opened at 215.5)

Money Line: Detroit 767/Boston -1234

Power Rating:

Probable Starting Lineups

Detroit Pistons PG Cory Joseph, SG Cade Cunningham, SF Saddiq Bey, PF Jerami Grant, C Marvin Bagley III

Boston Celtics PG Marcus Smart, SG Jaylen Brown, SF Jayson Tatum, PF Al Horford, C Robert Williams

Key Injuries

Detroit Pistons
Frank Jackson: Back (OUT)
Chris Smith: Knee (OUT)
Killian Hayes: Thigh (OUT)
Rodney McGruder: Hamstring (OUT)
Hamidou Diallo: Finger (OUT)
Isaiah Stewart: Knee (OUT)
Jamorko Pickett: Toe (OUT)

Boston Celtics
Aaron Nesmith: Ankle (OUT)

The Boston Celtics host the Detroit Pistons in an Eastern-Conference matchup. Tip-off is set for 07:30 PM ET at the TD Garden.

Recent Form

The Detroit Pistons come into this game with an overall record of 18-48, placing them 14th in the Eastern Conference. Throughout the season, Detroit has struggled in their 33 road contests, sitting at 7-26. Over their last five games, the Pistons have played well, picking up 3 wins. During this stretch, Detroit is averaging 111.0 points per game, 7.0 points more than their season average of 103.6. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 111.0 points per contest. The Pistons have been picking up wins, while holding opponents to an average of 110.0 points per game, similar to their season average of 112.5. In the Detroit Pistons’ most recent game, the team fell to Chicago by a score of 114-108.

The Boston Celtics come into this game with an overall record of 40-27, placing them 5th in the Eastern Conference. So far, Boston is above .500 at home, holding a record of 23-11. The Celtics have played well over their last five games, picking up 4 wins. During this stretch, Boston is averaging 115.0 points per game, 5.0 points more than their season average of 109.7. This uptick in offensive play has come while playing a group of opponents who are collectively giving up 112.0 points per contest. Even though the Celtics have been adding to the win column, their opponents have had no trouble scoring the ball, averaging 111.0 points per game, up from Boston’s usual rate of 104.0. In the Boston Celtics’ most recent game, Boston took down Charlotte by a score of 115-101.

Individual Player Analysis

As Detroit travels to take on the Boston Celtics, the Pistons’ leading scorer is Jerami Grant. Through 41 games, Grant is averaging 18 points. On the season, he has surpassed his season average in 54.0% of his games. So far, the Celtics are allowing their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 47.06% of their games, placing them 12nd among NBA defenses. On the other side, Jayson Tatum leads the Celtics in scoring, averaging 26 points across his 62 games. Throughout the season, Tatum has outscored his season average in 47.0% of his outings. Given that Detroit’s defense has struggled to slow down their opponent’s top scorers, Jayson Tatum should be in line for a big performance. So far, the Pistons have allowed their opponent’s top scorer to surpass their season average in 54.9% of their games, giving them a rank of 28th among NBA defenses.

Matchup Analysis

Heading into this matchup, the Boston Celtics are the more efficient team on both ends of the court. This scenario has taken place in 19 of Boston’s 66 games, leading to a winning percentage of 63%. So far, the Detroit Pistons have played 27 games as the inferior offensive and defensive unit. In these instances, they have lost 27 times, by an average margin of -17.0 points.

The Historicals

Heading into today’s matchup, the Detroit Pistons and Boston Celtics have met up for 3 games. In their last meeting, Boston picked up a 113-104 win.

How the Public is Betting the Pistons vs Celtics

67% are betting the Celtics against the spread.

52% are wagering on the game to go over the posted total of 216.0

More Picks: Minnesota at Orlando Free NBA Pick ATS 3/11/22 >>>

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • Pistons are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
  • Pistons are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
  • Celtics are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

The Boston Celtics come into this game, having worked their way up to the 5th seed in the Eastern Conference, having rattled off four straight wins. The Celtics have an excellent opportunity to make it 5 in a row vs. a Pistons unit just 1.5 games ahead of the Magic for last place in the East. However, despite their struggles, the Pistons have covered the spread in four straight contests. Look for this to continue, as they are 14 point underdogs. For the season, the Pistons are losing games by an average of just under 9 points per contest. Look for this matchup to finish closer to that as opposed to 14 points. Note: March Madness is coming! Double your bankroll by grabbing one of numerous 100% bonuses offered on our best sportsbook bonuses page!