Thunder vs. 76ers Analysis & Prediction ATS

by | Jan 12, 2023 | nba

Oklahoma City Thunder (18-23 SU, 25-16-0 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (25-15 SU, 23-16-1 ATS)
When: Thursday, January 12th, 7:00 PM (ET)
Where: Wells Fargo Center, PA, Philadelphia
TV: NBCS

Point Spread: OKC +10/ PHI -10
Total: 231.5
Money Line: Oklahoma City Thunder +375/ -494

Notable Injuries

Thunder

  • Aleksej Pokusevski (Out) Leg
  • Jeremiah Robinson-Earl (Out) Ankle
  • Chet Holmgren (Out) Foot
  • Ousmane Dieng (Out) Wrist

76ers

    Recent Form

    Heading into the game, Oklahoma City is 18-23 overall. When taking to the road, Oklahoma City has a mark of 5-14 and a win percentage of 26%. Currently, the team is 13th in the Western Conference. So far, they are 25-16-0 vs. the spread. When looking at how the team has performed of late straight and vs. the spread, they are 3-2 in their past five games and 4-1 ATS. Over their past ten games, they are 5-5 SU and 6-4 ATS.

    After suffering a 112-111 loss to the Heat, Oklahoma City will be looking to bounce back. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the team’s leading scorer with 26 points on a shooting percentage of 50.0%. In terms of betting, the Thunder managed to cover the spread as 2-point underdogs heading into the game.

    Heading into the game, Philadelphia is 25-15 overall. When playing at home, Philadelphia has a mark of 17-6 and a win percentage of 74%. Currently, the team is 4th in the Eastern Conference. So far, they are 23-16-1 vs. the spread. Philadelphia will look to stay hot in today’s game vs. Oklahoma City as they are the winners of 2 straight games.

    In their preceding game, the 76ers overpowered the Pistons, earning a 147-116 win as a 14-point favorites. Joel Embiid led the way for the 76ers, putting up 36 points on 60.0% shooting. The 76ers not only secured the victory but also covered the spread.

    The Historicals

    In the most recent matchup between the two teams, the 76ers picked up the 115-96 win over the Thunder. The 76ers margin of victory was enough to cover the spread as 2.5 point favorite. This has been the only matchup between the two teams this season. Over the last five head-to-head meetings, the 76ers have averaged 113 points per game compared to 93 for Oklahoma City. This has led to an ATS record of 4-1 for Philadelphia. In these contests, they averaged a combined 206 points per game, leading to an over-under mark of 1-4.

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    h2>Analysis

    This season, Oklahoma City is among the league leaders in scoring, averaging 116.3 points per game. So far, the Thunder are also one of the more up-tempo teams in the league, sitting at 102.4 possessions per game. The three-point shot has been a big part of Oklahoma City’s offensive game plan, as they are ranked 11th in 3-point attempts per game. So far, they have connected on 35.5% of their looks from the outside. On defense, the Thunder allow an average of 111.83 points per game, placing them 15th in the league. So far, opposing teams are hitting 34.97% of their looks from deep vs. Oklahoma City.

    Coming into today’s game, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the leading scorer for Oklahoma City at 30.8 points per game. This season, Gilgeous-Alexander has a field goal percentage of 50.1%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Luguentz Dort, at 14.2 points per contest.

    This season, the 76ers offense is averaging 113.7 points per game, which is 16th in the NBA. In terms of pace, Philadelphia has been playing at one of the slower tempo’s in the league, averaging just 98.3 possessions per game. Philadelphia’s 3-point shooting numbers are below the league average, as they have hit just 38.0% of their looks from deep. On average, the team gets up 33.5 3-point shots per game, placing them 15th in the NBA. Defensively, the 76ers have been one of the best units in the NBA, allowing just 107.33 points per game. So far, they have done an excellent job defending the 3-point arc, allowing teams to hit just 34.56%.

    Joel Embiid is the top scorer for Philadelphia, averaging 33.6 points per game. This season, his field goal percentage is 53.4%. The team’s second-leading scorer is Tobias Harris, averaging 16.4 points per game.

    Betting Trends

    • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up loss.
    • The Thunder are 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • The 76ers are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games following a straight-up win of more than 10 points.
    • The 76ers are 16-5 ATS in their last 21 home games.

    Joes Pick To Cover The Spread

    The Oklahoma City Thunder haven’t won a road game in quite some time (6 games). I don’t expect that to change Thursday night on the road against the Philadelphia 76ers, who present major matchup problems for OKC. I rarely ever lay this many points, but I am tonight with Philly at -9.5.