Toronto Raptors at Philadelphia 76ers Predictions 11/11/21

by | Nov 11, 2021 | nba

Toronto Raptors (6-6 SU, 5-7-0 ATS) vs. Philadelphia 76ers (8-4 SU, 7-5 ATS)
When: Thursday November 11 2021, 07:00 PM (ET)
Where: Wells Fargo Center: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
TV: NBATV

Point Spread: TOR 2.0/PHI -2.0 (Opened at PHI -2 Bookmaker - Takes bets up to 50K!)
Total: 213.5 (Opened at 213.5 )
Money Line: Toronto 115/Philadelphia -135
Power Rating: PHI -2

Probable Starting Lineups

Raptors: PG Fred VanVleet, SG Gary Trent, SF Scottie Barnes, PF OG Anunoby, C Precious Achiuwa

76ers: PG Tryese Maxey, SG Seth Curry, SF Danny Green, PF Tobia Harris, C Andre Drummond

Recent Form

The Toronto Raptors enter today’s game, having lost three straight games. As of late, the Raptors have struggled to pick up wins, having won just five of their past ten games.

As the road team, the Raptors travel to Philadelphia with a positive plus-minus of rating 7.4 points. Overall the Raptors are ranked 12nd among NBA teams in point differential (-0.5).

Among NBA teams, they have played the 17th toughest schedule.

For bettors, taking the Toronto Raptors to cover the spread has been a losing bet as they cover the spread in 41% of their games.
Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is -17.5.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is SF OG Anunoby. So far, Anunoby is averaging 18.5 points per game. Anunoby is also the team’s best three-point shooter, connecting on 2.83 three-pointers per game. This output places him 12nd in his position group.

Precious Achiuwa has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 9.5 boards per game.

The Philadelphia 76ers come into their matchup with Toronto, having lost two straight games. Even though the 76ers are on a losing streak, they have an above .500 record in their past ten games. Going 7-3. This has come while playing the 24th toughest schedule.

As they get set to host the Raptors, Philadelphia has a positive home plus-minus of 4.3 points. Overall the 76ers are ranked 5th among NBA teams in point differential (5.9).

For bettors, taking the Toronto Raptors to cover the spread has been a winning bet as they cover the spread in 58% of their games. Their season-long plus-minus against the spread is 16.5.

On offense, the team’s leading scorer is C Joel Embid. So far, Embiid is averaging 21.4 points per game. This output places him 12nd in his position group.

The 76ers’ best three-point shooter has been Seth Curry, connecting on 3.0 shots from downtown per game. Andre Drummond has been in charge of cleaning up the glass, hauling in 10.0 boards per game.

An Eye On Pace

Toronto comes into this game as the league’s slowest-paced team. Games involving the Raptors average just 95 possessions per game. This game has the potential to be played at an especially slow pace, considering Philadelphia is the second slowest team, averaging 96 possessions per game. These tendencies should favor the 76ers, who win 65% of their games vs. slow-paced opponents.

Defensive Impact

This season, Philadelphia has a slight edge in defensive rating, holding their opponents to an offensive rating of 107 points per 100 possessions. Toronto comes in, allowing 108 points per 100 possessions. Both of these outputs are near the league average. These numbers point to the 76ers having a better night defensively. On average, the 76ers win 71% of their games vs. teams similar to the Raptors offense.

Offensive Impact

Even though this game will be played at a slow pace, I expect Toronto to be efficient with their opportunities. When playing good defensive teams, they score 3 points per possession above average. Unfortunately, this won’t be enough to win as Philly scores 4 points per possession above expectation against average defensive units.

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The Historicals

The Raptors and the 76ers met up for three games last season, with Philadelphia taking the series 2-1. Combined, the Sixers scored 312 points to Toronto’s 305. Overall, these were tightly contested games, with the largest margin of victory being 7 points.

How the Public is Betting the Trail Blazers vs. Clippers

60% are betting the Sixers against the spread.

67% are wagering on the game to go under the posted total of 214.

Betting Trends Worth Noting

  • The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a road underdog.
  • The Raptors are 5-1 ATS in their previous six road games.
  • The 76ers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a favorite.
  • The 76ers are 11-4 ATS in their previous 15 games following an ATS loss.

Joe’s Pick to Cover the Spread

With Joel Embid still working his way back from COVID, I am taking Toronto to cover the spread. On offense, Toronto prefers to work the ball inside. Without Embid in the paint, the Raptors should get plenty of easy shots at the rim. This will also provide them an advantage in the rebounding department. For the Sixers, they are still looking for someone to step up without their go-to scorer. Bet your NBA picks for free ALL WEEK by taking advantage of a 100% REAL CASH bonus on your first deposit of $100 to $300 at MyBookie Sportsbook! (Must use bonus code PREDICT100 when signing up!)

Prop Bets Worth Wagering

My favorite prop bet of the night is to take OG Anunoby to surpass his line of 18.5. Anunoby is at his best when he can get to the rim. Without Embid in the paint, the Raptors guard should get some uncontested looks near the basket. For a huge list of NBA props, check out Bovada Sportsbook! They offer a 50% real cash bonus, rebates on ALL your bets; win, lose or draw AND have the fastest bitcoin payouts on the web!